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Moving Forward on Basic Income

blog.ycombinator.com

611–620 of 1001 posts

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#611

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A "payday loan" usurer would be all too happy to lend someone $1000 in cash, and then take $50 out of each of the next 52 weekly BI checks. I don't see a way to BI without significant buy in from Dept. of Agriculture and Dept. of HHS to provide some of the value of benefit as actual food and as gratis-rent, subsidized-utilities housing. Moving 100% of the benefit as cash leaves too much opportunity for middlemen to t…

> I don't see a way to BI without significant buy in from Dept. of Agriculture and Dept. of HHS to provide some of the value of benefit as actual food and as gratis-rent, subsidized-utilities housing. HHS doesn't provide gratis-rent, subsidized-utilities housing without BI. Section 8 is subsidized-rent (and even so has long waiting lists and behavioral controls, so that many people that are income qualified for it do…

A loan shark can introduce a pipe wrench to your kneecap regardless of whether he can officially record a lien against your BI income or not.

My personal opinion is, like the ancestor post, that BI is unworkable as a cash-only benefit. People forget that money is an economic lubricant. It does not make the gears turn. Possession of cash is economic shorthand for being able to command the disposition of real goods and services.

Having cash is a symptom of providing value to the economy, not the cause of it.

If you take a big chunk of cash from rich folks, and dump it on poor folks, that does not alter the underlying structure of the economy. The real-world supply pipeline for bringing popcorn from a field in Indiana to a bodega in East L.A. remains the same size. You have to divert a lot of cash for a long time before anyone will even consider upping the bandwidth of that specific food channel. Until then, popcorn is just $N more expensive at the bodega.

You're not providing anyone with anything more than a temporary illusory benefit if you don't build some actual infrastructure. Giving cash for rent does little good, unless someone actually builds more houses and apartments as a means to getting some of that cash, or to more of it than their existing landlord competitors.

The same amount of cash, spent on eminent domain compensation and general building contractors, can directly generate a permanent reduction in the local monthly cost of housing, rather than as a potential incentive for someone out there to maybe try to get at it.

If you do not build the economic infrastructure required for the benefit to exist, the amount of cash you have to throw at the free market to provide it can increase without bound. The economy is currently structured to funnel property and luxuries towards the rich. Screwing on a bypass pipe from a rich person's consumption endpoint to somewhere further back in their existing cash flow structure does not accomplish much.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#612

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You'll find there are two voices for BI, the liberal and the liberatian. The liberal would prefer to keep universal healthcare and food programs and put cash on top, making the total distribution to the poor larger. The liberatian would prefer to simply move the complex paternalistic safety net into a simpler cash payment which doesn't disincentivize work while not increasing it's size. As an aside, if you pay attent…

I'm afraid that I'm going to have to disagree with you on Libertarian philosophy. Anarcho-Capitalists are not in the business of advocating that we take money, in the form of taxes, from one group to give it to another.

http://bleedingheartlibertarians.com/

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#613

I find it very naive to assume that basic income will be implemented as a simple, straightforward, clean replacement of our current welfare systems. Our current, messy, complicated, unsuccessful welfare systems is the result of many powerful political, social, and moral tendencies and forces, which will reshape basic income in the same way they shaped the welfare system in the first place. There will be many attempts…

http://www.econtalk.org/archives/2016/05/arnold_kling_on_1.h... Arnold Kling's opined on this point (the particular distortion of the US political process) in his interview with Russ Roberts on the EconTalk podcast: Kling: Well, let me make another point before I get back to that. Which is a point I also make in the book. Which is that, it isn't that the political process kind of just makes random errors. I think it…

It's not just the US that is like this. Every country is.

Put another way: Things are the way they are for powerful reasons (which may or may not be justifiable). You can't just ignore these reasons when you create policy, otherwise those reasons will cause things to revert to the way they were before.

Proponents of basic income will have to overcome many peoples' moral intuitions about who deserves help, and who should have to work for a living.

If these moral intuitions remain the same, basic income won't be basic for long -- people will vote to give more money to the disabled, less money to felons, and so on. Should people receive basic income while incarcerated due to a criminal conviction? Someone will come along who suggests that members of certain racial groups should receive more money in the basic income program as a form of affirmative action, to compensate for past wrongs. Maybe people who choose to work should get more money under basic income, as an incentive for others to choose to work. Should people who inherit a lot of money have their basic income reduced?

I think it's pretty clear that the first time someone makes a change of the kind I listed above, the cat will be out of the bag, and basic income won't be "basic" income anymore. Then the argument that basic income should treat everyone the same will become useless to defend against further changes. You can't really preserve the purity of a policy design when the voters want to change it.

There is also the danger of everyone voting to increase their income, to the extent that the program runs out of money.

I think these moral intuitions can be changed, but only through a gradual phase-in of benefits over time. Of course, that's exactly what has been happening over the past century or so, and it's what led to the welfare systems we have today.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#614

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The best solution I can think of to counter people blowing all their money is to trickle the money to an account, instead of giving it to them as a single fat paycheck every month. So if instead of giving them $1500/30days, give them $50 a day or maybe $25/day and a $750 "rent stipend" bulk at the end, so that they can't blow more than a certain amount a day unless they've been actively saving. This encourages the be…

Isn't 'a $750 "rent stipend" bulk at the end' an essentially direct redistribution of social wealth into the hands of those who don't necessarily need it?

It (and the rest of basic income) is a direct redistribution of social wealth into the hands of everyone, some of whom don't necessarily need it.

One of the things that distinguishes basic income from welfare is that the former is an unconditional transfer payment. That means that some of the folks who receive it don't actually need it. But it gains a lot of advantages over traditional welfare plans in the process - it is much simpler to administer, it doesn't require making politically fraught judgments of who is worthy, it eliminates disincentives to work that come from income cliffs, and it's easier to gather support since everybody sees a benefit.

Presumably those who don't need the basic income will end up funding a greater portion of it through higher taxes.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#615
post #60

So, a question for the BI fans: I've seen it said repeatedly that BI will save us money (or at least, not be so outrageously expensive) in part because we can eliminate existing welfare programs. "Just cut a single check, no more overhead from several agencies", they say. But riddle me this: what do you do when someone on BI has a financial emergency or, as will happen with some regularity, just flat-out blows all th…

The best solution I can think of to counter people blowing all their money is to trickle the money to an account, instead of giving it to them as a single fat paycheck every month. So if instead of giving them $1500/30days, give them $50 a day or maybe $25/day and a $750 "rent stipend" bulk at the end, so that they can't blow more than a certain amount a day unless they've been actively saving. This encourages the be…

My only worry about that is the lack of (enforced) competition in the market to keep rent under control.

How do you 'enforce' competition? Build baby build, and you set how much to build by how much is being charged in an area.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#616

> Although basic income seems fiscally challenging today, in a world where technology replaces existing jobs and basic income becomes necessary, technological improvements should generate an abundance of resources and the cost of living should fall dramatically. I am 100% for this experiment. But the assumption that technology will replace basic jobs seems naive. Throughout human history, we have seen rapid and accel…

> But the assumption that technology will replace basic jobs seems naive.

I think its just misstated. What automation does (absent compensatory policy) isn't to reduce the number of jobs that exist, but rather to drive more of the returns of productivity to those who own the capital and a narrowing class of elite workers, and less to the large body of workers. That's been pretty consistently seen since the industrial revolution, producing occasional major outbreaks of social unrest leading to compensatory public policy to mitigate that effect.

But most of those measures have been short term measures optimized for a narrow set of circumstances that were current at the time they were adopted. A well designed UBI -- particularly one tied to a tax drawn largely from income on capital -- is a more general and long-term compensatory mechanism to address the sources of unrest (hopefully, this time, somewhat proactively, rather than reactively.)

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#617

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People can decide what they need. It is a lot less bureaucracy to say "Here's a check that should be able to get you shelter, clothing, and food -- go find it." rather than trying to place everyone somewhere.

I just see way too many people not doing this. BI would be like winning the lottery to these people. Someone would hand them a check once a month and they'd go spend it on useless stuff. To top it off, they'd be first in line to complain about how crappy "the system" is.

People will complain about anything and everything. What is extremely valuable about UBI, though, is that unlike traditional welfare systems where those who squandered it are often just those who are also the most pitied, there is no ostracism for using a UBI and no social isolation for it because everyone gets it, and those who cannot manage their money have no one to blame but themselves.

Today, the poor are defensive of one another to some degree, defending their "way of life" even when it is exploitative of social safety nets because they have to fight for scraps and every step of the process in getting such benefits is humiliating. It should surprise no one that once people have it, they are happy to blow it and stick an effective fuck you back to the society that ostracizes and criticizes them.

Which is one of the pillars of utility in UBI. It is a panacea solution to negating hostile poverty based cultures like ghetto. There is no more war against the poor, or active emotional attack for needing help. Everyone gets the help, and there is no vector for abuse through it, so those who are aggressive towards it or squander it are no longer fighting the man but are just fools who deserve no pity.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#618
post #60

So, a question for the BI fans: I've seen it said repeatedly that BI will save us money (or at least, not be so outrageously expensive) in part because we can eliminate existing welfare programs. "Just cut a single check, no more overhead from several agencies", they say. But riddle me this: what do you do when someone on BI has a financial emergency or, as will happen with some regularity, just flat-out blows all th…

I wonder what proportion of the welfare programs is just handing out money to the poor.

All the rest, like counseling, helping to find jobs, extra equipment for disabled persons, ... this would certainly stay in place.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#619
post #60

So, a question for the BI fans: I've seen it said repeatedly that BI will save us money (or at least, not be so outrageously expensive) in part because we can eliminate existing welfare programs. "Just cut a single check, no more overhead from several agencies", they say. But riddle me this: what do you do when someone on BI has a financial emergency or, as will happen with some regularity, just flat-out blows all th…

Personally, I'd hope the system would absolutely tell them "tough shit". There's got to be a line where the safety net gives out, because someone is too expensive to help. That's where family and charity hopefully take over. At the same time, I think your instinct is right, and it's something I've never heard mentioned before. It's almost inevitably that there'll then be the "food security" fund, and the "housing gua…

> Personally, I'd hope the system would absolutely tell them "tough shit". There's got to be a line where the safety net gives out, because someone is too expensive to help.

How about if they get a grave disease and need urgent treatments and related resources for that? Is medical treatment supposed to be free in the scenario of BI as well ? Because, THAT, we know how well it works (free medical coverage) in several countries where it's already applied.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#620

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Personally, I'd hope the system would absolutely tell them "tough shit". There's got to be a line where the safety net gives out, because someone is too expensive to help. That's where family and charity hopefully take over. At the same time, I think your instinct is right, and it's something I've never heard mentioned before. It's almost inevitably that there'll then be the "food security" fund, and the "housing gua…

You'll find there are two voices for BI, the liberal and the liberatian. The liberal would prefer to keep universal healthcare and food programs and put cash on top, making the total distribution to the poor larger. The liberatian would prefer to simply move the complex paternalistic safety net into a simpler cash payment which doesn't disincentivize work while not increasing it's size. As an aside, if you pay attent…

> the liberatian would prefer to simply move the complex paternalistic safety net into a simpler cash payment which doesn't disincentivize work while not increasing it's size.

I dont think all libertarians are partisans of BI.

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