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India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

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Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#571
post #194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Very recently, there was a terrorist attack in Pakistan too: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Jaffar_Express_hijackin... The attackers are allegedly backed by India.(India denies this, just like Pakistan deny involvement with the attacks in India). So probably these bombings won’t solve anything as the issues appear to be a much more complicated. Therefore it is possible that everyone got what they need from thes…

This is attempt to draw a false equivalence between two events which does not stand scrutiny. Islamic terrorists are a keystone pillar of Pakistani society, they walk openly and are supported by the state. Plenty of literature around how Pak Army has adopted the proxy war against India. Unlikely India is involved that much in West Pakistan given the geographical realities. I agree these bombings won't solve anything…

Well, Pakistan apparently downed 5 Indian jets, 3 of which are Dassault Rafale. Hardly cannon fodders. There's a billion dollars loss of equipment.

Anyway, I don't know much about Pakistan or India's backing of respective terrorists but trying to frame this, or any geopolitical situation as Good vs Evil is always wrong. It's O.K. to pick a side or distance yourself from someone if they do things you find immoral but its never good v.s. evil.

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#572

Things most likely will not escalate. These terrorist attacks are always planned by Pak Army with the next steps in mind. Pak Army needs a war to re assert it's dominance. It is under a lot of pressure domestically due to what they did to democratic opposition, so precipitating war with India would provide a chance to consolidate the base. The choice of explicitly targeting people by religion was done to ensure an In…

I'd just like to see the evidence that India claims justified their attack. Between this and the fallout of the Canadian Sikh assassination, it's really starting to feel like Modi's government doesn't care about having a believable narrative at all.

I really do not think the onus is on India to provide evidence every time a terrorist attack happens when it’s official Pakistan policy to orchestrate it. Evidence was provided during previous conflicts Kargil, Mumbai didn’t do much did it.

As for the Canada thing by your logic still waiting on evidence from Canada.

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#574
post #571

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is attempt to draw a false equivalence between two events which does not stand scrutiny. Islamic terrorists are a keystone pillar of Pakistani society, they walk openly and are supported by the state. Plenty of literature around how Pak Army has adopted the proxy war against India. Unlikely India is involved that much in West Pakistan given the geographical realities. I agree these bombings won't solve anything…

Well, Pakistan apparently downed 5 Indian jets, 3 of which are Dassault Rafale. Hardly cannon fodders. There's a billion dollars loss of equipment. Anyway, I don't know much about Pakistan or India's backing of respective terrorists but trying to frame this, or any geopolitical situation as Good vs Evil is always wrong. It's O.K. to pick a side or distance yourself from someone if they do things you find immoral but…

I think it’s early days let’s wait a bit before claiming results, lot of noise. So far only one Rafale has been confirmed, but if India has lost planes it will surely come out. Also goes to show 4th Gen aircraft cannot penetrate a heavily defended airspace, and besides Pakistan Air Force is perhaps the most capable element of their armed forces, very well trained. Highly likely their air force had access to Qatari Rafales so prob had the chance to create better counters.

By cannon fodder I meant the terror camps, nothing will change by targeting that. Besides I don't think India was able to restore deterrence here with the current set of strikes. If they are going to put expensive assets in play they should have attacked actual military assets.

And I’m not taking a side at all, I don’t care nor do I have a horse in this race. Just find geopolitics fascinating.

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#575
post #61

I believe it's mostly overstated. Pakistan is not economically strong enough to participate in a war, and India is not interested either. However, the Modi government wants to project strength. They were unable to locate the terrorists even after two or three weeks and needed a distraction. So, they targeted some areas in Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK). In response, Pakistan claimed to have shot down four Indian air…

> Pakistan is not economically strong enough to participate in a war They have nukes. They don't need to be rich to do massive damage. Sure doing so would have terrible consequences, but cooler heads sometimes don't prevail. Or only prevail after much suffering and pain.

my worry is the nukes too

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#576

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Pakistan is not economically strong enough to participate in a war They have nukes. They don't need to be rich to do massive damage. Sure doing so would have terrible consequences, but cooler heads sometimes don't prevail. Or only prevail after much suffering and pain.

There aren't a lot of examples of a country being unwilling or unable to fight in a full-scale war, and instead launching nukes at their next door neighbor. I don't think this is part of the playbook, or based on evidence, I think it's coming from anxiety.

Consider: willing but unable to fight any more, overpowered, and unwilling to surrender. That's where launching nukes, the ultimate weapon of retaliation, could look very enticing.

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#577

The bad news: there is some real potential for escalation due to the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/indias-water... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indus_Waters_Treaty Wasn't there something in the intro of "Mad Max fury road" about water wars?

This is probably the only real dangerous point at the moment. Neither side gains to win much from a conflict, but should India really tamper with the water supply I hope they consult their economists first. Otherwise Pakistan has little choice but instantly commit to a full war. The reason: A significant amount of the food produced in Pakistan directly depends on the water from the river Indus. Even a moderate water…

>By all measures India is the more powerful state, but as Ukraine demonstrates: Desperation can make up for a lot of disadvantage.

The question is whether China would prop up Pakistan like NATO did for Ukraine

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#578
post #71
post #61

I believe it's mostly overstated. Pakistan is not economically strong enough to participate in a war, and India is not interested either. However, the Modi government wants to project strength. They were unable to locate the terrorists even after two or three weeks and needed a distraction. So, they targeted some areas in Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK). In response, Pakistan claimed to have shot down four Indian air…

Thanks for stating these forecasts so authoritatively. Or maybe we should admit this is uncharted waters and we shouldn't downplay what is possible?

Its not the first time these two have been at war.

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#579
Even if Pakistan wanted to do something to reign in the extremists near the borders, they don't have the resources. Pakistan required a $7 billion loan from the IMF last September just to function. This is a very precarious situation for towns near the border or the tribals.

"Violent extremist groups continue to plot attacks in Pakistan".

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/traveladvisories/...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62rv7le52lo

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/PAK/pak...

https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/ind/ind...

Re: India launches attack on 9 sites in Pakistan and Pakistani Jammu and Kashmir

#580

Hoping for a quick resolution and diplomatic victory for all people there. I’m scared of the geopolitical effects. On a side note.. Can we get the Peace and Prosperity update next, ASAP? Let’s bring out the aliens issue and work on interstellar travel and galactic survival instead of terrestrial disputes. I just want to live in a chill world. And for me that’s science and tech tree maxed out.

> and for me that’s science and tech tree maxed out. Hate to ruin it for you, but as soon as the economic elites don't need the masses anymore (eg because AGI produces goods and entertainment better than we do), we'll become a liability, dead weight, so they'll quickly use that same maxed out tech that made us obsolete to make us gone.

Wouldn't it make them dead weight, too? Their status as merely "economic" elites seems like a shaky position if the world becomes post scarcity.
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