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Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

arstechnica.com

571–580 of 581 posts

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#571
post #570

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your argument seems to make sense. If it's the case, though, why are Waymo only in a small part of Phoenix?

They’re rolling out a revolutionary new technology that people aren’t used to or don’t trust yet. Phoenix provides that easy testing ground in terms of good roads and great weather year round. Last thing Waymo wants is to tackle too many things at once and cause a disaster. Remember how a single death effectively ended Uber’s self driving efforts? They’re also offering a commercial service. Which means figuring out o…

They've been running Waymo One in Phoenix for more than 2 years already, and driving in Phoenix for about 5 years. It just seems to be taking a bit more time than I would expect, but I suppose it could be that they're trying to get it to the point where it can be extremely efficient to scale.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#572
post #534
post #484

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That particular attack had been fixed, but I remember people disabling those warnings with oranges: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYZrehVQouc It's an arms race between Tesla being legally on the safe side, and drivers using the car as Tesla advertises it.

> That particular attack had been fixed Which one? > drivers using the car as Tesla advertises it. I'm confused, How exactly is Tesla advertising the car where you don't have to pay attention? It even explicitly tells you to keep your hands on the wheel and pay attention.

They call it Autopilot. On their car configuration tool, the text that appears in the biggest font says "Full Self-Driving Capability". The fine print doesn't matter - Tesla is advertising more than it can deliver.

Or this wonderful paragraph: "Navigate on Autopilot: automatic driving from highway on-ramp to off-ramp including interchanges and overtaking slower cars."

https://www.tesla.com/models/design#autopilot

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#573
post #562

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It could pay off your (very expensive) Tesla in the matter of a year or two. .. while lota of people unknown to you sit with their butt in your precious expensive car. People who themselves can't (or want to) afford such a car. Not gonna happen. Nobody will throw that much money behind such an expensive gadget, being happ about their precious toy and then let complete strangers user it most of the time. Do you rent…

The entire point of Airbnb was to let people rent out their spare housing capacity - it just became so wildly successful that people used the system to become pseudo-landlords. My car sits idle 22 out of 24 hours a day. If someone else handled the insurance issues and found drivers willing to pay to use it outside of the times I utilize it, I'd have no qualms about lending it out for an appropriate price. The low end…

Yes you do. You will need to share your car with strangers. Some morning you will open the door, see an oily stain from a thai takeaway lunch in the driver's seat and the last 3 people who rented the car will all claim it wasn't them.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#574
post #427

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At that point it will be just another smart investment and not a “shiny toy”.

Ok but then you are not renting out your car that you are really normally using yourself, but are participating in a taxi scheme. That's ok, but let's be honest about it. And why stop at one car? Keep investing, soon enough you'll have 10 cars on the streets raking in money for you. Similar with Airbnb which is more a professionalized hotel business platform than renting out your place while you are on vacation.

Correct. It’s more like a bring-your-own-car ride sharing (which already exists here, SnappCar) but a lot nicer in all aspects.

They estimate covering the cost of the car in 1-2 years, so you won’t be expanding your fleet that fast... there is a lot of discussion about this online, a lot of comments here cover that too. It’s just a step, eventually they won’t sell cars to consumers anymore.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#575
post #562

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The entire point of Airbnb was to let people rent out their spare housing capacity - it just became so wildly successful that people used the system to become pseudo-landlords. My car sits idle 22 out of 24 hours a day. If someone else handled the insurance issues and found drivers willing to pay to use it outside of the times I utilize it, I'd have no qualms about lending it out for an appropriate price. The low end…

Yes you do. You will need to share your car with strangers. Some morning you will open the door, see an oily stain from a thai takeaway lunch in the driver's seat and the last 3 people who rented the car will all claim it wasn't them.

Have the car drive to a cleaning station between rides.

But really, for $35,000, I would not mind investing in a $300 seat cover.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#576
post #534

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> That particular attack had been fixed Which one? > drivers using the car as Tesla advertises it. I'm confused, How exactly is Tesla advertising the car where you don't have to pay attention? It even explicitly tells you to keep your hands on the wheel and pay attention.

They call it Autopilot. On their car configuration tool, the text that appears in the biggest font says "Full Self-Driving Capability". The fine print doesn't matter - Tesla is advertising more than it can deliver. Or this wonderful paragraph: "Navigate on Autopilot: automatic driving from highway on-ramp to off-ramp including interchanges and overtaking slower cars." https://www.tesla.com/models/design#autopilot

> They call it Autopilot. On their car configuration tool, the text that appears in the biggest font says "Full Self-Driving Capability".

I don't think you understand. "Autopilot" and "Full Self-Driving Capability" (FSD) are two completely different features. Autopilot comes free as standar. While FSD is an optional feature, that adds things like: Navigate on Autopilot, Summon, Auto Park, Auto Lane Change etc.

FSD Beta can take you from point A to B with minimal to zero interventions.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaJCYYiDzQQ

> Navigate on Autopilot: automatic driving from highway on-ramp to off-ramp including interchanges and overtaking slower cars."

But it current does that. I used it everyday on my commute! That feature is called "Navigate on autopilot".

https://youtu.be/j6S_-35O_w8?t=406

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#577
post #316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sorry, you are clueless. Yes, some aspects of his personality are obnoxious, but he’s built multiple companies that have delivered real innovation, his customers are largely happy, and I’m sure his engineers don’t care how much credit he takes.

His companies have few innovations, at best they are iterative, and often actively worse. and he did none of it himself, he deserves zero credit people think he is innovative because he sold decades old tech to people who didnt pay attention before, because he is a glorified marketing exec and hes not even good at that consumer satisfaction is a poor way to measure quality

You just like trolling Elon fans, don’t you?

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#578
post #576

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They call it Autopilot. On their car configuration tool, the text that appears in the biggest font says "Full Self-Driving Capability". The fine print doesn't matter - Tesla is advertising more than it can deliver. Or this wonderful paragraph: "Navigate on Autopilot: automatic driving from highway on-ramp to off-ramp including interchanges and overtaking slower cars." https://www.tesla.com/models/design#autopilot

> They call it Autopilot. On their car configuration tool, the text that appears in the biggest font says "Full Self-Driving Capability". I don't think you understand. "Autopilot" and "Full Self-Driving Capability" (FSD) are two completely different features. Autopilot comes free as standar. While FSD is an optional feature, that adds things like: Navigate on Autopilot, Summon, Auto Park, Auto Lane Change etc. FSD Be…

"Autopilot" and "Navigate on Autopilot" are separate features? "Automatic driving" actually means "carefully supervised driving"? "Full self driving" means the exact opposite and requires your full attention?

If you can't see how this is massively confusing and misleading to consumers you've been a Tesla user for too long and need to step back for.some objectivity.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#579
post #47
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah yes, the "more data will magically solve self driving" argument.

More data makes it easier to train and evaluate systems but will not fix an inadequate approach. Humans can drive with vision alone because humans are way way smarter than glorified regression models. We have a higher order model of what is happening. I am skeptical that you can replicate this with current AI. The approach of using LIDAR to compensate for dumber AI with more and better data seems more sound.

“Seems” That’s all it is to you LIDAR fanboys.

You simply do not know what you are talking about.

Re: Waymo CEO dismisses Tesla self-driving plan: “This is not how it works”

#580
Self-driving doesn't work until we develop AGI with a self preservation drive akin to that of human beings.

Doesn't matter how good your sensors are if you can not efficiently integrate sensor inputs into a model of the world that is useful for driving including so called "edge-cases." (Edge-cases are the whole problem by the way...)

Lets use this analogy. Imagine a person with severe mental retardation or a person zonked out of their mind on a dissociative drug. Their eyes (sensors) may work just as good as anybody else...but would you trust them to drive a car?

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