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Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

reuters.com

51–60 of 156 posts

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#51
post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I read the exact same thing. Thought their pipeline was on Kubernetes.

Same. We must have some shared PTSD.

Dontcha know, with the new release of kubeflow, all this is possible :)

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#52

I never knew until recently how tied up Russia's oil strategy was to their military / political thinking. If others are interested, this video has a great overview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=If61baWF4GE

More convinced that the only thing stopping wars will be energy abundance not reliant on fossil fuels. Countries will still fight over natural resources, but probably less

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#54

Looking at the data, I am wondering why the invasion is triggered now, as reserves are about to start being refilled, instead of earlier. From the graph ( https://agsi.gie.eu/#/graphs/DE ) it seems like the storage starts being refilled as the weather warms near the end of march. IE Putin looses some bargaining power. What am I missing?

Putin’s and his inner circle’s plan was that it will take 1-4 days to take Kiev and two weeks to take most of Ukraine. Minimal resistance was expected. The window of opportunity with this expectation is from mid-December until end of February. They picked a date with this plan.

Plus China said no war during the Olympics. Plus COVID for 2 years..... Plus the russian asset known as the Orange Moneky lost the ellections in the US.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#55
post #46
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Funny thing is that something like half of Russian gas goes through Ukraine and some more is just across the border in Belarus. AFAIK that hasn't stopped. Just goes to show you the complexity of international relations. Map: https://www.nationalgeographic.org/photo/europe-map/ It's a bit misleading since it doesn't show Nordstream 1 which runs under the Baltic sea to Germany. EDIT: Here's a better map. The above is o…

Makes you wonder if one side or the other will “accidentally” damage those pipelines. Like obviously they can’t overtly do it but you know, stuff gets damaged every day in combat zones… it would certainly immensely hurt Russia’s strategic position to have their gas exports cut off.

If Polish-Russian gas trade is anything to go by, they won’t. They will just one day cut off deliveries and communicate that there is unknown technical difficulty and they are working on resolving it.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#56
post #29

What i didn't realize until very recently was that natural gas can be liquefied and sold on an open market like a barrel of oil. With that in mind, these pipelines are not as critical. Additionally, pipelines operate by contracts which offer very generous discounts years in advance; Liquefied gas, on the other hand, is a commodity and is sold at market prices. Seems logical to assume that Russian gas will still be so…

This is like comparing buying bottled water instead of using the taps in your house. Yes, technically you can do this, but transporting that bottled water is painful, and at the scale of a whole country doing it, is a huge logistical challenge. You could eventually get to the point where LNG replaced the pipelines, but that's not going to happen overnight, and the European energy grids need to heat homes this winter.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#57
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's been my argument to friends and family this week. If an extra dollar per gallon is what it takes for fewer Ukrainian children to die then that's what it takes.

I don't mean just the cost of energy but also potential blackouts. But as you say, it's a price worth paying.

There will be no blackout due to gas issues. Power generation from gas is not a problem. Heat generation from gas could become one though. Luckily Germany will likely mandate a switch to electricity driven heatpumps for all buildings soon.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gas and oil is all they have to trade and they have a lot of it.

If only they used the profits to build a great economy with more to offer. They have no shortage capable and even brilliant people, but they've got a management problem at the national level.

See also: Louisiana.

It's understandable that there are a ton of chemical refineries near the mouth of the Mississippi because it allows for easier transport of refined goods to other countries. Less understandable when they're everywhere else in the state, except for the part where local governments give quarter-century and longer sweetheart tax break deals for these companies to come in, pollute the local environment, and pay no taxes on the real estate they're operating on. One of the main reasons that the education and social services systems in the state are so horrendously poor is because there's no tax revenue.

And even by those standards, Russia is a kleptocrat's wet dream.

Re: Russian gas flows via Yamal pipeline to Germany halt, bids remain

#60

Looking at the data, I am wondering why the invasion is triggered now, as reserves are about to start being refilled, instead of earlier. From the graph ( https://agsi.gie.eu/#/graphs/DE ) it seems like the storage starts being refilled as the weather warms near the end of march. IE Putin looses some bargaining power. What am I missing?

Putin’s and his inner circle’s plan was that it will take 1-4 days to take Kiev and two weeks to take most of Ukraine. Minimal resistance was expected. The window of opportunity with this expectation is from mid-December until end of February. They picked a date with this plan.

> Putin’s and his inner circle’s plan was that it will take 1-4 days to take Kiev and two weeks to take most of Ukraine.

This is being said a lot these days, but I haven't seen any proof of it. I'm not saying that proofs don't exist nor that it's wrong, just that I've been reading it everywhere, and haven't seen evidence. So I'd be happy if someone reading this could point out to some clues

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