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Why Web3?

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Re: Why Web3?

#51
post #12

What is the name of this cognitive bias that shows up in all web3 conversations about how internet/web2 ended up being a success and therefore web3 will too? If X led to Y, then Z that (we say) is similar to X will also lead to Y.

Maybe hindsight bias? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias

Re: Why Web3?

#52
post #23

I read this as yet another article stating how great web3 is going to be and how important the decentralization aspect is, without making it clear exactly why this is the case, and what concrete examples of things we'll be able to do with it (that we're unable to do today) are. Web3 sounds to me like one of those soap opera startups PG talks about. They sound like a great idea when you propose them, but do people rea…

It was "sitcom" startups[0], something like "uber for dogs". I guess some of web3 qualifies, but I don't think something like Ethereum would fit that category at all.

0 - http://www.paulgraham.com/startupideas.html

Re: Why Web3?

#53

This article is filled with absolutely 0 reasons why Web 3.0 should be taken seriously. All it says is: Web 3.0 matters because I say so. And we will prove it, Yes.. and?

the hn crowd really needs to stop amplifying these authors with buzzwords in the title sort of things.

Re: Why Web3?

#55
be wary of any person talking about you're going to have this big distributed consensus, based on some kind of buy-in to something, without first finding out who has the most buy-in, and just what it takes to overcome their %.

Re: Why Web3?

#56

Let's say all crypto goes down in value 10% year after year in 2022 indefinitely. This shouldn't necessarily affect the value or necessity (or lack thereof) of Web3. Can Web3 practically succeed under these conditions? Unfortunately after engaging with many in person and on this forum, I've yet to hear a coherent strategy or purpose for Web3 that doesn't rely on centralized entities at any part of the chain, or rely…

Consider that lots of companies have relatively small market caps relative to their profit mandate, and yet they still provide a crucial value to their customers.

GE with a workforce of over 174,000 employees sells 75 billion dollars in goods and services, yet has a price to sales ratio of 1.37.

Re: Why Web3?

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The currently most popular implementation of this "open database" (Bitcoin) is indeed slow and scales poorly. But if you start looking into the new ideas, you'll find there are plenty of still decentralized blockchains with much faster confirmation times (even as low as 5 seconds) today.

Which coins have confirmation times that low with the volume of Bitcoin?

The volume has nothing to do with the confirmation time, it's a constant no matter if it's 1 or 10000 transactions. Avalanche, Algorand, Polygon and more fits the bill of very fast transactions, in case you're interested in looking into the matter further.

Re: Why Web3?

#58
"Permissionless data" is actively harmful to people who do not want their data put into an immutable datastore. It smacks of "moderation-free content" which is simply a nonstarter.

If web3 is truly about privacy and data portability, then 90% of the people working on DeFi should shift their efforts to making a better browser, possibly one that incorporates IPFS natively and quickly.

Re: Why Web3?

#59

I think it's really easy to be doubtful about web3, especially given how much BS is floating in the space, and the high amount of pure speculative trades having been made so far. I still believe that there's something there, but I'm not sure what it is. I am also unsure that the current wave of companies will be able to find it. The different between the early adoption of web2 and this current web3 cycle is that web2…

In many countries real estate transactions are validated by a notary elite that has a lot of political clout. Technical superiority is not even a factor here.

Which countries?

Re: Why Web3?

#60
I think the VCs are stuck between a rock and a hard place. It makes sense to invest in "web3" because of the potential power law returns if someone figures out how to make something useful. However, I think we've had enough time to evaluate enough of these technologies to claim that the emperor has no clothes. It may take a few years but I think every single web3 investment will have to be written off as a complete loss. There is just no problem being solved there that couldn't be solved more efficiently elsewhere.
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