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SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

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Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#491

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Exactly and that's not mentioning the benifit of being able to easily recover a failed prototype or even just analysis of a failed prototype. Imagine trying to diagnose a problem that comes up 10 months into the program after the probe is no longer in a direct visual path or while communications via microwaves start taking 10-20 seconds from point to point. There are too many questions to be answered before we can ju…

I don't understand why the human cost of space travel is always weighted so heavily. All exploration costs lives. How many died conquering America? Exploring the poles? The Everest? To this day people die in the Everest. It's their choice to risk their lives in such a way. Yet I don't hear people saying "don't go there". Space is riskier, but also has more rewards.

Yeah lots of volunteers could be found for a one-way to Mars.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#492
post #196
post #168

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Do you have a source stating that the people crewing the Dragon would need to do anything at all? Won't it just be on autopilot, what duties is the crew of the capsule expected to perform?

If something bad happens, you don't want to say "oh well, guess I should have sent an expert with them after all."

Why do we expect that an "expert" could do anything for an automated craft? Will there be soldering involved? Changing batteries? Rather than allowing for such things, just build more redundancy. Unlike Apollo, this program will have access to powerful computers and other electronic components.

Where would one find an expert in lunar circumnavigation?

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#493

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An elected government, at least i theory, is tasked with doing good by its people. That isnt always true, but at least there are elections. An individual person suffers no such limitation. That can act purely in thier own interest without even a tueoretical check. If they want to ride a rocket to the moon, while children on earth starve, there is absoluely nothing we poor can do about it.

There is the possibility that the wealth of an individual was acquired through voluntary trade. In that case, the person has already done so much good for other people that asking them for philanthropy instead of self-indulgence is renegotiating a deal that has already closed. In contrast, most governments have acquired massive wealth through taxation of their subjects. Those subjects are less likely to tolerate the…

Nobody can make billions through work. There are no billion-dollar medical doctors or even lawyers. Billions can only come through passive income, through owning shares of a growing company rather than hard graft.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#494
post #441
post #421

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Musk sends partially re-usable rockets into space for a few years now. A decade ago, all he had were some fancy powerpoint slides. We sure have different definitions of "delivering".

We're still not 100% that they're reusable in a meaningful way that actually reduces costs. The landings are awesome but if it costs too much to reuse them it's more a stunt than anything because as good as it is to not just chunk that hunk of metal in the ocean every launch if it's cheaper that's how it'll be done.

An interesting outcome is that SpaceX has been able to analyze the rockets post-landing so that they can learn more about the stresses on the rocket during launch. Of course they have to in order to re-launch the rockets, but this is already a capability that no other space agency has had. This ability could end up paying for itself if it means they can feed the knowledge of the rocket back into the design and launch of a new rocket.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#495

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Being the first to land on the moon was never intended to be cheap. So many things had to be invented simply to get there. Just imagine how economical space flight would be if all of that 1960s technology had been incrementally improved on for efficiency, manufacturing ease, and scale instead of a lot of it being almost literallly mothballed.

There was never any reason to spend that kind of money. It was worth going to the moon once to see what was there, but I have yet to see anybody articulate a reason to go back that doesn't rely on soaring rhetoric and implausible money-making schemes.

Rare-earth mineral security?

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#496

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Rockets (or any research) > bombs any day of the week. Yes, my tax dollars going towards research (even indirectly) is better than the way most of my money is spent

The military is something like 20% of the budget. That's not where most of your money is going.

You're including social security and medicare/aid, which is not entirely money that can be easily diverted. Especially social security. Without those, defense is the lion's share of the budget, and with Trump's new proposal, even more so.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#497

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Isn't Earth closer to Mars half a (lunar) month ?

No. The Moon is in orbit around the Earth and both the Earth and Mars are in orbit around the sun. The Moon varies between 360,000 and 400,000 km away and the closest Mars gets to us is 54,600,000 kilometers. Those numbers are a bit of an exaggeration because how much fuel you need is just as important as absolute distance/time to travel and for that you need 4 km/s of delta-v to get from Earth orbit to Moon orbit an…

I meant that the Earth is closer to Mars than the Moon is, not that Mars is closer to Earth than the Moon is (of course it isn't, that would make for a big, big blood moon)

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#498
post #441
post #421

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Musk sends partially re-usable rockets into space for a few years now. A decade ago, all he had were some fancy powerpoint slides. We sure have different definitions of "delivering".

We're still not 100% that they're reusable in a meaningful way that actually reduces costs. The landings are awesome but if it costs too much to reuse them it's more a stunt than anything because as good as it is to not just chunk that hunk of metal in the ocean every launch if it's cheaper that's how it'll be done.

Actually, we're pretty sure (based on what SpaceX has announced) that the engines can be reused, and they're a reasonable % of the booster cost.

Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#499

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I didn't know about ullage motors, thanks for the link. The link also says that only very tiny accelerations are needed - so this shouldn't be a big problem for a tanker. Like I hypothesized, the problem has been solved.

Bearing in mind that the ullage motors need to be of a type that won't suffer from ullage problems. That implies they cant use the main motor fuel. The saturn 5 used small solid rockets as ullage motors. Alternatively you could use externally pressurised bladder tanks for a range of non-cryogenic fuels. Cold gas or possibly h2o2 as a monopropellant come to mind. Either option has a comparatively low specific impulse,…

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Re: SpaceX to Send Privately Crewed Dragon Spacecraft Beyond the Moon Next Year

#500

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> Can't wait to hear who booked this trip! Definitely one of the coolest ways to spend a lot of superfluous money :) Imagine it ends up being some celebrity, like Leonardo di Caprio (who has shown interest in space IIRC) or Lady Gaga. Don't you think it would somehow tarnish the whole thing?

Not Leonardo di Caprio, he will stay behind even though there is enough room for two people on that return vehicle. Also, hopefully not Matt Damon.

But if it's Matt Damon, there's bound to be a much bigger mission to go rescue him, so, more progress.
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