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Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#441

Post by jelliclesfarm »

1. I think 2021 will be the year govts will trickle official information about ET, UFOs and aliens from space.

2. Markets will crash around April 2021. Won’t revive until before 2022.

3. The POTUS inauguration will not go as expected. Something unexpected and violent might occur. Current POTUS isn’t done yet. He will gain more power.

4. Possible American civil war(50%)

5. Two governments or some kind of split(USA)

6. Covid subsides but variants emerge at the fag end of 2021.

7. K shaped economy globally.

8. Crypto will reign.

9. Silicon Valley will bounce back.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#442

Post by nnadams »

inigoalonso wrote: post #430
nnadams wrote: post #403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We wanted to do more simulations with Simulink models to help cut back on physical prototypes. We started tracking time spent to get the results of these simulations. Most of our engineers' time was spent finding the right models, setting them up, and configuring these simulations. They didn't have much time left to do modeling and testing work. At first we just created some "Bill Of Models" to define systems and sim…

Thanks for the response, it is a very interesting approach, it sounds more practical than the typical MBSE way of building top down SysML diagrams and adding simulation models afterwards. Are your models liked to other product data in a PLM system or similar for traceability? I'm researching adjacent issues around the flexibility of product platforms and the integration of new technologies in later product variants a…

I don't use any PLM software. Someone in the company might, but I haven't heard of any being used. All of our requirements are maintained in a company-wide tool though. Requirements get decomposed from customer requirements all the way down to subcomponent requirements. Departments/teams get requirements assigned to them. Engineers were spending too much time manually checking and signing off those requirements. Currently the model and BOM metadata includes related requirement IDs. We are working toward having generic tests for requirements. Our goal is to implement tests for a requirement and have an automated signoff of BOMs.

At this point, our group is actively pushing back on SysML, at least for our roles. Each group's system(s) has a well defined interface to the whole, and everything else is decided within the team. We've found SysML mostly just duplicated work for us. Our software is already written in Simulink so we just build models of our system in that, too. We don't get much value from SysML, and whenever someone else tries to use SysML (like an architecture team) they don't know enough of the details our system.

I don't claim to know much about this stuff, but that's been our experience. The speed and flexibility of our engineers has vastly improved. We've started catching integration issues months in advance, when they are still easily fixable.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#444

Post by fogihujy »

brianjunyinchan wrote: post #155
fogihujy wrote: post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Care to elaborate?

The intended meaning might rely on remaining vague. The book Rendezvous with Rama gives the reader a similar feeling—experiencing something so alien that our brains can’t quite appreciate fundamental dynamics or concepts (separate from technology)

Ah, so to rephrase: We'll encounter alien life, so unlike any life that we currently know, that it'll be, well, life as we _don't_ know it?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#445

Post by jlizzle30 »

epicureanideal wrote: post #144
jlizzle30 wrote: post #27

The year of the coworking space: - Substantial number of tech workers remain remote as vaccines role out - Remote workers crave community after covid lockdowns - Commercial real estate is cheap If remote is the future I expect to see mega coworking spaces filled with desks, gyms, spas, bars, workshops, etc. Will have the benefit of being able to choose who you're around every day and without the gaze of your company'…

The ridiculous rise of multiple types of HR people is nuts. And we are paying these people to make us all paranoid about anything we might accidentally say that could be misinterpreted as offensive. We are turning our workplaces into identity politics re-education camps, and paying our own prison guards.

Getting rid of HR is a killer feature of WFH.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#446

Post by dang »

whb07 wrote: post #93
whateveracct wrote: post #89

Democrats will win the GA runoffs Off the back of that, stimulus and other popular liberal policies will be enacted. And they'll be successful and well-liked.

Nothing better than a guy who openly hates that money grubbing race of people. Looking forward to cleansing and sending the undesired to camps to rinse from their evil thoughts.

Can you please stop posting flamewar-style comments to HN? You've been doing it repeatedly lately, and it's what we're trying to avoid here. If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and sticking to the rules when commenting, we'd be grateful.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#447

Post by whb07 »

dang wrote: post #446
whb07 wrote: post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nothing better than a guy who openly hates that money grubbing race of people. Looking forward to cleansing and sending the undesired to camps to rinse from their evil thoughts.

Can you please stop posting flamewar-style comments to HN? You've been doing it repeatedly lately, and it's what we're trying to avoid here. If you wouldn't mind reviewing https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and sticking to the rules when commenting, we'd be grateful.

I’d like to know what exactly I’m “flamewar-style” comments on?

Parent commented on the “liberal GA candidates” one of whom is a known anti-Semite and literally beat/assaulted women, and that they “would be well liked”.

Other comments posts I’ve made have questioned the extreme views commonly held by those in this site, where events like CHOP/CHAZ in Seattle became well favored and liked. Yet obviously, no one then comments on the 2 or 3 black underage teens killed or the women raped/sexually attacked.

Better yet, most people here would still agree with Seattle’s mayor’s comment “it’s the summer of love”.

Perhaps we should fight against those comments and posts?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#449

Post by bananapear »

i_love_limes wrote: post #277
bananapear wrote: post #268

* It will be widely acknowledged that non-pharmaceutical interventions had little effect on the spread of COVID-19, with geographic and demographic factors the principal determinant of countries' death totals. Deaths indirectly caused by lockdowns will exceed deaths attributed to COVID. * Large companies will roll back generous WFH arrangements, claiming that it really is "better for your career" to be in the office.…

The first point is already demonstrably false. Similar countries right next to each other have different death tolls in the order of multiples (Sweden vs. other Nordics). Also, similar geographic and demographic countries have performed vastly different in different parts of the of world (eg. South Korea or Japan vs. UK in order of magnitude)

I think it’s certainly demonstrably complex enough to make drawing a binary conclusion difficult at this point.

This is an interesting study which takes a wide variety of factors into account - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2020.6043...

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2021?

#450

Post by brobinson »

muttantt wrote: post #378
brobinson wrote: post #166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(VIX isn't a dollar value and you can't directly buy or sell it)

Options my friend

Right, I said you can't buy it _directly_. It's still not a dollar value even when you're buying/selling options for it. Strikes don't need to be dollar values.
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