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Fable 5 is Back

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Re: Fable 5 is Back

#433

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But nobody has nailed "this is a game anyone wants to play" or "professional game development life cycles are shorter" so it's not particularly impressive. I'm still waiting for any evidence of LLM economic impact in the real world.

Yeah, well I doubt any economic impact will from LLMs will ever come. I doubt anyone is working on nailing those things as we speak. I doubt the results my team and I are getting with agentic engineering are real. I doubt anyone can take increasingly better tools and translate that to economic value.

If you're doing such amazing things why the need to gush about Minecraft tweets?

Re: Fable 5 is Back

#434
post #421

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Safety in the context of a nuclear reactor concerns human lives. “Safety” in the context of LLMs concerns not offending certain individuals.

> “Safety” in the context of LLMs concerns not offending certain individuals. It absolutely concerns not destroying the world.

How?

Re: Fable 5 is Back

#435
post #196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

OTOH: “our product is so good it was banned for being too good” is the best advertising possible. OpenAI would kill to get that. I’m not falling over myself to test out Sonnet 5, but I am very interested in Fable.

I really don't think this is effective advertising, reactions have been negative virtually everywhere. The security bugs were real (see the Open Source projects struggling to keep up) so I think gradual rollout was sensible originally before the ban. But people have always resented safety steps.

Their valuation and revenue don't reflect that.

For the purposes of technical excellence, you are absolutely correct that this has been bad. For the purposes of money-getting, this has very much been a case of "there's no such thing as bad publicity".

Anthropic is very much in the money-getting business right now.

Re: Fable 5 is Back

#436

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We've been told models are too dangerous since gpt2. There comes a point where you not only want the boy to stop crying wolf, but hopefully be eaten by one.

That example is brought up a lot, but in retrospect the concerns about Gpt2 were pretty valid: https://techcrunch.com/2019/02/17/openai-text-generator-dang... >OpenAI said its new natural language model, GPT-2, was trained to predict the next word in a sample of 40 gigabytes of internet text. The end result was the system generating text that “adapts to the style and content of the conditioning text,” allowing the us…

> or automating abusive or spam comments on social media.

Actually, the biggest problem is the automation of inane comments on X. Which is admittedly quite surprising - I would have agreed with OpenAI at the time.

Re: Fable 5 is Back

#437

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, well I doubt any economic impact will from LLMs will ever come. I doubt anyone is working on nailing those things as we speak. I doubt the results my team and I are getting with agentic engineering are real. I doubt anyone can take increasingly better tools and translate that to economic value.

If you're doing such amazing things why the need to gush about Minecraft tweets?

Why wouldn't I be?

Those demos are put out by non-engineer AI-bros who start from a blank slate and just test raw one-shot performance of the model.

In comparison I'm aware of how much additional performance you can extract out of models with a team of professional engineers that are balls-deep in harness engineering.

That delta is very large.

It's exciting.

Re: Fable 5 is Back

#438

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah this is wild stuff. Seeing Anthropic free fall after building up such good will is shocking.

Free fall? None of this recent Mythos / Fable drama is going to even slow Anthropic down. The HN bubble strikes again.

They are slowing down. Sonnet 5 is nothingburger.
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