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GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

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431–440 of 692 posts

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#431

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes there are actual "legal" notions of driver assistance "levels," but out of those 3 companies Tesla seems to be taking it the most seriously. Elon has a high conviction in the product and has continued to pour billions of dollars in GPUs, talent, supply chains, etc to make it happen. Other manufacturers don't take it nearly as seriously, unfortunately. Sure you might not be able to legally claim that a Tesla is to…

From what I've seen, Tesla FSD would fail a driving test here in the EU within the 1st minute. Even the latest and greatest version behaves like a drunk teenager.

Or course it would fail a driving test designed for humans.

Humans would fail a driving test designed for autonomous driving too. We don't have the reaction time comparable to computers to ..say.. avoid oncoming traffic or an object/animal on the road within a few milliseconds. Or identify dark objects easier to see in infrared. Or maintain an exact speed, to a few significant digits. Or manually do a good job with traction control.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#432

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it will be Tesla. Regulatory pressures for them just lifted, and they move faster than all the other driverless companies, courtesy of Elon's fairly hardcore mode of operation. It may not be a perfect driving solution (probably 1:1 teleoperator to car in the beginning), but their go to market speed is undeniably better than Waymo et al. Waymo, Cruise, etc have to map out an entire region and have long rollout…

Tesla will likely kill lots of people, but the regulatory environment will be so loose no one will care.

As a Tesla customer I’m inclined to agree. I paid in full for FSD six years ago, but never received anything even remotely usable in my region. They just took my money and kept lying. The feature is actively dangerous.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#433

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you look at the lifecycle analysis of ICE cars, burning the fuel is the major contributor. So if you drive an average amount with those cars you're not saving the planet by continuing to drive them. In a well functioning system you'd be selling them on to people who drive very little and are old and set in their ways and replacing them with an EV.

> If you look at the lifecycle analysis of ICE cars, burning the fuel is the major contributor (Genuine question, not whataboutism...) what about the environmental aspects of manufacturing and distributing a vehicle other than CO2 emissions ? > old and set in their ways I fear I may be approaching this stage myself! :)

EVs have a way higher initial CO2 footprint. The crossover depends on car and where you get the energy from. I think it's often around the 100 000 km mark where an EV gets the smaller footprint. But like I said, many variables factor in.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#434

Earlier quoted context omitted.

More than that, even -- Waymo is already transitioning to having partners that do the operations & maintenance work while they focus on the tech. I read this as a confidence in the tech timeline, strategy, and maturity. Meanwhile, Tesla's strategy is "hype, ???, deal with it." I know which one I'd back.

Confidence in the timeline is one read. Lack of confidence and finding partners to shoulder the financial burden at the cost of lower upside is another.

Or, identifying core competencies.

Yeah, I could be wrong and they're just looking for the lowest risk profile. But, riders seem to be pleased and accident rate has been impressively low.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#435

> GM said in a statement that “... an increasingly competitive robotaxi market” were the reasons for the change. Isn't there basically Google/Waymo and then, seemingly much further behind, Tesla Cybertaxi, Amazon/Zoox, and Uber/Yandex? Cruise allegedly has one of the most sophisticated autonomous driving platforms, and GM's Super Cruise (if they share any tech) is comparable to Tesla FSD. Strange that they would bow…

> Isn't there basically Google/Waymo and then, seemingly much further behind, Tesla Cybertaxi, Amazon/Zoox, and Uber/Yandex? Global-wise, there are also a few Chinese companies in the robotaxi market. Pony.ai and WeRide both recently went in public market.

And I think some in Germany as well.

Not yet with customers, but in the testing phase.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#436

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> it's just not a compelling offer I drive (and have driven) a fair number of rental cars due to travel, and I have to say I feel that way about many new vehicles in their entirety . So much vehicle tech is at best unimpressive and at worst positively in my way as a driver. > It's wickedly expensive We own two cars, 6 and 10 years old respectively, yet I've never felt less motivated to look at new cars than I do now.…

As long as your old cars are like Toyota corolla/camry’s and not like giant gas guzzling SUV’s or trucks keeping them on the road is better than buying a new EV IMO. I think the current EV gen is kind of doomed because of the fact the next EV gen is going to have massive QOL features the current one doesn’t and waiting for a more compelling car is worth doing IMO

>the next EV gen is going to have massive QOL features the current one doesn’t

Like what?

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#437
post #271

Earlier quoted context omitted.

..the exact same way every other traffic rule is enforced? How do you stop cars from driving on the wrong side of the road or running a red light?

Those things are easy to detect. It's much less easy to prevent a simple lane change. Some cities have "bus only" lanes, which cars use anyway, but it's easy to detect them since they don't look like busses. How are you going to detect that my car isn't autonomous?

Have speed cameras with license plate recognition and add "is_av" bit associated with a license plate.

Or maybe just issue license plates with a different color to avs. Like taxis/public transport having yellow license plates in some jurisdictions.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#438

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It seems like drivers did not find the feature compelling and were not renewing. IMO, it's largely because BlueCruise (and all of the similar services) is not sufficiently better than the non-subscription driver assists. I have the option of BlueCruise on my vehicle and it's just not a compelling offer. * It only works on major highways. Beyond actual coverage, major highways are places where the standard driver as…

> it's just not a compelling offer I drive (and have driven) a fair number of rental cars due to travel, and I have to say I feel that way about many new vehicles in their entirety . So much vehicle tech is at best unimpressive and at worst positively in my way as a driver. > It's wickedly expensive We own two cars, 6 and 10 years old respectively, yet I've never felt less motivated to look at new cars than I do now.…

> Guess our part towards saving the planet may well turn out to be 'driving that existing ICE vehicle for just a little bit longer'...

Yep, or selling it and buying a more efficient one, so the person buying yours upgrades their less efficient car as well.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#439

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If you look at the lifecycle analysis of ICE cars, burning the fuel is the major contributor (Genuine question, not whataboutism...) what about the environmental aspects of manufacturing and distributing a vehicle other than CO2 emissions ? > old and set in their ways I fear I may be approaching this stage myself! :)

EVs have a way higher initial CO2 footprint. The crossover depends on car and where you get the energy from. I think it's often around the 100 000 km mark where an EV gets the smaller footprint. But like I said, many variables factor in.

Are you claiming manufacturing an EV emits as much CO2 as driving ICE for 100 000 km? That's really hard to believe, you need to cite your sources.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#440

> After spending more than $10 billion on its robotaxi unit, General Motors is abandoning its Cruise driverless ride-hailing service. Where is the money? I don't mean to be as snarky as Cruise founder, but how can you burn that amount of money and not show results?

It's relatively easy, take a cutting edge problem that can't be solved, hire engineers paid 500k-1m/year, put them in a fancy office for 10 years.
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