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GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

cnbc.com

401–410 of 692 posts

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#401
> After spending more than $10 billion on its robotaxi unit, General Motors is abandoning its Cruise driverless ride-hailing service.

Where is the money? I don't mean to be as snarky as Cruise founder, but how can you burn that amount of money and not show results?

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#402

Waymo needs competition. Who else is even close to being able to provide it? I'd hate to think Tesla is next in line because they haven't even started a commercial pilot program yet.

There’s no evidence that this is even going to be a viable business model, commercially or technically. There’s no “moat” around it or obvious first mover advantage. It seems very early to worry about competition.

I mean Waymo already has competitors, Uber, Lyft, and regular taxis. Right now Uber and Lyft are typically strategically priced to be slightly cheaper than taxis are but I think Uber has enough margin to cut costs to compete with Waymo as they enter more markets, and Waymo needs to get people on board to make robotaxis a real thing people use and to offset their dev costs.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apparently they have been surprised at how few photons are required to see for these sensors. They are skipping the image computer vision step and going from photons to car control in as few layers as possible.

Apparently they're using this CMOS sensor: https://www.onsemi.com/products/sensors/image-sensors/ar0136... It's not an event camera, so it's very much taking images, which are then being processed by computer vision algorithms. Event cameras seem more viable than CMOS sensors for autonomous vehicle applications in the absence of LIDAR. CMOS dynamic range and response isn't as good as the human eye. LIDAR+CMOS is cons…

Nah thats old. They now use https://www.sony-semicon.com/files/62/pdf/p-15_IMX490.pdf and they run multiexposure on every frame. Stupid high dynamic range

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#404
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no proof that tesla can make FSD work with the level of safety they would need for a robitaxi service. Especially with camera only. If they do pull that off, or are able pivot to a fused sensor architecture then I do think their hardware potential will make them a good competitor.

I agree completely with everything you've said, but it's worth keeping in mind that if legal/compliance requirements were to be loosened, a company could expand their offerings with a less robust safety record. And someone close to the incoming presidential administration would be in a position to influence what those requirements are.

Self driving cars don't have to be on par with human drivers, they have to be WAY WAY safer else public backlash is likely to ban them.

It's not like Waymo couldn't be rolling out faster, but it's obvious they're doing everything they can to maintain the public's trust in them because once that's lost it'll be incredibly hard to get it back again.

And ultimately the law is one thing, but if people legitimately see Cybercabs as dangerous to them personally they'll take things into their own hands. Someone assassinated a CEO in New York a few days ago, you think pissed off people won't molotov a cybertaxi?

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#405

> After spending more than $10 billion on its robotaxi unit, General Motors is abandoning its Cruise driverless ride-hailing service. Where is the money? I don't mean to be as snarky as Cruise founder, but how can you burn that amount of money and not show results?

Just hire a bunch of AI experts which earn the NHL-star-level amounts...

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#406
post #117

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The latter is closer to a Waymo or Cruise than it is to a Mercedes or GM driver assist. It depends how you look at it, but in the (super limited) cases where you can use Mercedes Drive Pilot you can legally and safely read a book, watch a movie, or work while in the driver's seat. [1] That's not the case with any Tesla product. [1] https://www.mbusa.com/en/owners/manuals/drive-pilot

Yes there are actual "legal" notions of driver assistance "levels," but out of those 3 companies Tesla seems to be taking it the most seriously. Elon has a high conviction in the product and has continued to pour billions of dollars in GPUs, talent, supply chains, etc to make it happen. Other manufacturers don't take it nearly as seriously, unfortunately. Sure you might not be able to legally claim that a Tesla is to…

> Elon has a high conviction in the product and has continued to pour billions of dollars in GPUs, talent, supply chains, etc to make it happen

But that has been invested in X.ai not Tesla.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#407

> After spending more than $10 billion on its robotaxi unit, General Motors is abandoning its Cruise driverless ride-hailing service. Where is the money? I don't mean to be as snarky as Cruise founder, but how can you burn that amount of money and not show results?

>not show results?

They operated a robo taxi fleet for a time (until they got involved in an accident and mislead the following investigation), what other results would you like to see?

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#408
post #368

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Exactly. Easy solution.

Sounds like a dystopian hell to me. Best of luck contacting the robo help support for the robo taxi trying to explain your unique human scenario that it’s never seen I guess. You bled all over the car because you were shot and then crawled out looking for help because the AI had no clue wtf to do? Ok good luck sir, you owe us 10 days of metered fairs. No there’s no human to get help from.

Yes we should be building every technology with serving this exact scenario in mind. tf is going on in your brain buddy

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#409

> GM said in a statement that “... an increasingly competitive robotaxi market” were the reasons for the change. Isn't there basically Google/Waymo and then, seemingly much further behind, Tesla Cybertaxi, Amazon/Zoox, and Uber/Yandex? Cruise allegedly has one of the most sophisticated autonomous driving platforms, and GM's Super Cruise (if they share any tech) is comparable to Tesla FSD. Strange that they would bow…

I cease to understand how the average HN commentator doesn’t see Tesla as the leader in this space, and my only guess is all the FUD media around them. If you have a Tesla, you know that it’s far and above the best driver-assist software in the entire market, and next place isn’t even close. Sure FSD isn’t Waymo, but it’s entirely different tech and it can drive infinitely more places than the two cities Waymo suppor…

V13.2 is probably close to 1000 miles per critical intervention now. Geofence it, avoid stupidly dangerous UPLs and fix some map issues and they're already on par with Waymo. Next version has 3x the number of parameters and 3x context length. If you know anything about scaling laws you wouldn't be betting on Waymo right now.

Re: GM exits robotaxi market, will bring Cruise operations in house

#410

Which cities in which countries and climates have robotaxis (or have had robotaxis) now? It felt like there was a lot of buzz around it a while back but then it only happened in a couple of cities which were just US cities with favorable climate. Did it ever move beyond that? You'd think that if the market is really competitive, then operators would bring it to cities where it doesn't exist, rather than just all comp…

I actually think robotaxis will never really catch on widely in the US outside of big cities or maybe very poor people with no other option or misc use cases like if you own a car and drop it off at the dealership or if you’re out with friends and want to go home early. Most of the US is designed for you to own a car and drive it everywhere, just because cars can drive themselves now isn’t going to make self driving taxis more convenient than driving yourself without changes to how cities are already set up. Eg if you use a taxi you have to drag all your stuff with you and it’s less convenient if you live in a place where parking is effectively guaranteed. I think it will displace the existing app based taxi market and regular taxis by offering lower prices but greed will prevent companies from pricing them low enough for them to truly get people to stop driving personal vehicles. They’re really going to do well in parts of the world where taxis are already very popular because parking is limited or expensive like Singapore, Japan, China, and Europe.
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