Wouldn't it be amazing if we had a viable third party? I can dream, can't I?
you need a different voting method first, either ballotage or any of the other systems that don't destroy parties with overlapping voters
Trump wins presidency for second time
431–440 of 1001 posts
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#432The main question here is: Did they include into the prediction the fact that in many state mail in ballots have to be counted after normal ballots and that for a lot of reasons Democrats are way more likely to vote by mail. EDIT: Not that it matters anymore by know.
My impression is that that is not the case as it was 4 years ago. Many of the swing states seemed to be committed to having all the results in within a few hours of polls closing, with some small exceptions. I believe that was the case in NC and GA, and with PA being expected to be closer to 4 hours after polls close.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#433On a side note: thank you HN team for fixing the large-number-of-comments issue.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#434What's the best way for someone from one of the groups that Republicans hate to move to a Western European or Nordic nation where they are less likely to be marginalized or threatened? I'm sure there will be plenty of time to analyze exactly what happened, but right now my only concern is getting out.
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Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#435[flagged]
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#436As a foreigner, it seems like both sides are super extremely marginalised. Both sides believe everything will be done and there will be a big change if the other side wins. Reality is really not that radical, people are being lit up by propoganda. Saying this as a Turkish person, this has been happening in our country almost since I was born and it destroyed politics, normalisation and being calm is much better than sensationalising everything. Imho biggest issues are related to economics, like housing, like dark money in elections. Meaningless topics are sensationalised to marginalise people and unfortunately it works every time. Politics shouldn’t be right vs left, it should be rich vs middle class vs poor, as economics is the single most impactful aspect on most people’s lives. But politicians want to rile everyone up and put them against each other.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#437“Ask HN: So who did you vote for?”
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#438From a game theoretical perspective this is a good result. It is a clear reiteration of the message to the Democrats: you won't win by claiming to be 0.1% less bad. The Democrats should have fielded a strong personality in their own right. This is not about left or right. It's about mobilizing people by giving them something to care about. "More of the same" and "not like that guy" isn't very enticing. I don't think…
Quibble on the numbers, not on the basic statement. I'm not sure that campaign promises such as suspending the Constitution, jailing political opponents, etc., really are only 0.1% worse than continuing the Republic as it has operated for nearly 250 years. Looking back a few years from now, we may find a delta of 0.2%, 0.5%, or possibly even more.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#439From a game theoretical perspective this is a good result. It is a clear reiteration of the message to the Democrats: you won't win by claiming to be 0.1% less bad. The Democrats should have fielded a strong personality in their own right. This is not about left or right. It's about mobilizing people by giving them something to care about. "More of the same" and "not like that guy" isn't very enticing. I don't think…
I can't agree this only shows the game theory sometimes fails because despite almost all the advantage to select one version of a thing vs another, often an group or individual will go against their own best interests because of pure emotion. When an option is a little bit better than the previous version of itself and the other option is complete failure of the system with the system destroying itself (democracy) then the winning group loses along with the "losing" group.
Re: Trump wins presidency for second time
#440Foreign policy under Trump will generally be isolationist. - US out of NATO? Trump will at least threaten that. The larger European countries are currently weak militarily by historical standards. There does not seem to be enough will in Europe to spend at US levels, outside of the countries on the front line, such as Poland and Finland. - Ukraine war: Heavy US support for Ukraine probably stops. Whether Ukraine surr…
The US will back Taiwan once musk tells trump that's where the AI chips come from. After that there will be no guarantees.