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Moving Forward on Basic Income

blog.ycombinator.com

401–410 of 1001 posts

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#401
post #60

So, a question for the BI fans: I've seen it said repeatedly that BI will save us money (or at least, not be so outrageously expensive) in part because we can eliminate existing welfare programs. "Just cut a single check, no more overhead from several agencies", they say. But riddle me this: what do you do when someone on BI has a financial emergency or, as will happen with some regularity, just flat-out blows all th…

What happens in that situation now?

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#402
post #384

I do not really know where I stand on BI yet, but my concern is that if the BI is coming from taxes, why not tax income less and tax consumption more? This will encourage people to still be productive members of society rather than trying to find ways to live off the BI forever.

> This will encourage people to still be productive members of society rather than trying to find ways to live off the BI forever.

It sounds like you have a fairly narrow definition of productive member of society. A lot of volunteer work has little or no monetary value (things like dog walkers at your city's animal shelter) yet still are good for society.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#403

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You completely side stepped the question. I find it absolutely amazing how naive BI supporters are. I grew up poor in a ghetto in New York. Studied, went to university, became an engineer and am no longer in that socioeconomic bracket. However it is very apparent that the people in my current bracket (the one's that support BI), have no idea about the issues of the poor. Poor people are mostly poor because of the dec…

> ... mental illness ... This is hardly a "decision somebody made".

True or not, it doesn't matter for the purpose. If somebody is mentally ill, it doesn't matter what the cause is or who we can blame it on, it's still the case that cutting them 4 figure checks monthly is not going to magically get them out of their situation.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#404

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Tough shit" sucks when parents blow their handout on lottery tickets and drugs, leaving their children in perpetual poverty.

> "Tough shit" sucks when parents blow their handout on lottery tickets and drugs, leaving their children in perpetual poverty. Seems to me that with a universal unconditional benefit that is sufficient for adequate support of both parents and children (which, incidentally, I don't see as likely in any early-phase UBI, though over time it would hopefully grow to that level), failure to provide adequate support for ch…

You're taking on a whole new rat's nest of complex problems if you propose to push a much larger set of children into "the system."

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#405

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This really isn't a good riddle. First, Unconditional Cash Transfers (UCT) work better than most people expect ( http://www.economist.com/news/international/21588385-giving-... ). As noted in the article, UCTs work surprisingly well in scenarios where lack of capital is the primary problem. A UBI (at least as usually is discussed in the US) is a de-scaling UCT. Second, most proponents of a UBI see it as more efficien…

You completely side stepped the question. I find it absolutely amazing how naive BI supporters are. I grew up poor in a ghetto in New York. Studied, went to university, became an engineer and am no longer in that socioeconomic bracket. However it is very apparent that the people in my current bracket (the one's that support BI), have no idea about the issues of the poor. Poor people are mostly poor because of the dec…

In my experience, your characteristization of why people are poor is wrong and ignores the daily struggles the working poor faces. I agree that most people are flawed but that's because we are not taught in school how to deal with adversity or how to live life. People in general have poor critical and analytical thinking skills, and get trapped in a vicious cycle with no hope for a better life.

I grew up poor and my mother worked to get us into the middle class. As an adult, I have been poor and wealthy, and have good friends that are decent people but are trapped in a system of poverty, or a community of gangs and a cycle of jail. Life is incredibly hard and it's not as easy as saying that poor people have vices.

Last year, I'd buy breakfast for homeless friends on Hollywood Blvd. then go eat the free breakfast on the 28th floor of the Ritz-Carlton Residences. I lived there and I can assure you, wealthy people are as crazy, addicted and ignorant as any poor person. The amount of criminality and corruption within the 1%, and how the police and even retired high-level government officials protect them, is astonishing.

I wrote a previous comment on why I think if rich people were smarter then there'd be less poor people. We need a society with better systems where there's less friction and challenges for people to overcome. And for many reasons, I see Basic Income as one of those better systems.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11469080

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#406
post #12

> In our pilot, the income will be unconditional; we’re going to give it to participants for the duration of the study, no matter what. This is omitting one crucial detail: for how long will the basic income last. At least for myself, my decisions would be completely different if I was to receive unconditional income for e.g. 10 years (or less), vs. for the rest of my life.

The 5 years they are going for just doesn't seem long enough for the reason that if you actually choose not to work during that time, you will very likely be completely screwed at the end of the study when you need to get a job again (similar to mothers leaving the work force for multiple years to raise kids). A person evaluating their options in this program is thus much more likely to use the UBI as supplemental income than as a job replacement like they might if it was guaranteed to retirement age. This is still great, but I don't think the results will be overly indicative of outcomes in a nation-wide rollout scenario.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#407
post #60

So, a question for the BI fans: I've seen it said repeatedly that BI will save us money (or at least, not be so outrageously expensive) in part because we can eliminate existing welfare programs. "Just cut a single check, no more overhead from several agencies", they say. But riddle me this: what do you do when someone on BI has a financial emergency or, as will happen with some regularity, just flat-out blows all th…

I'm actually shocked that someone would ask such a riddle. It's not clear to me if you actually thought that question through, or if you're just trying to take down BI from any angle you can.

As many others have pointed out - that's a straw man argument. The existing system doesn't cover your riddle either. Yes, people will abuse systems, and yes, systems will sometimes fail. But that alone is not a reason to stop pursuing it.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#408
post #310

Does YCombinator have an Institutional Review Board? Musing about this study, it feels like it could very much run aground with some of the ethical concerns regarding consent that have dogged some studies with high participation incentives, in that withdrawing from the study potentially represents a financial catastrophe, so participation in the study becomes less than fully consenting.

Y Combinator does not have an internal IRB, but we will absolutely go through an external IRB.

That's good to hear.

Re: Moving Forward on Basic Income

#409
post #33
post #5

I think it's great YC is funding some interesting research. I'm a bit curious as to why they didn't partner with some established academics in this area (there's plenty of economists who have done excellent research here) rather than start a new program - but it's YC's money, and they can choose how to spend it. How open do you plan to be about things like datasets/analysis plans and so forth? I think this would be a…

We did consider it, and we are working with some established academics. However, I think it's a good idea to push forward alternative models of doing (and funding) research. Frankly, most of the existing institutions we thought about partnering closely with were somewhat bloated, and it would have made the whole study significantly more expensive and slower.

Based on your tweet about 2 hrs ago, you seem to be in favor of equality of opportunity. What's your opinion about about parents who want to give their children the best opportunities in life?
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