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An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

thelancet.com

41–50 of 335 posts

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#41
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> An intentional lab leak makes no sense to me at all. Very few people are arguing that it was intentional. I agree that an intentional lab leak is highly, highly unlikely, but I think an accidental lab leak is at least just as likely as the wet market hypothesis and CCP certainly acted extremely suspicious.

Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. All major world governments do illegal and shady acts when faced with situations that may result in the need for extreme ass-covering. (cf. "righteous strike") If it were an accidental lab leak: so what? How does that change things? If anything, it would accelerate a {trade,cold,cyber,shooting} war with China, which is universally a bad thing, even in pursuit of justice…

> If it were an accidental lab leak: so what?

> pursuit of justice

It has nothing to do with a pursuit of justice, at least not for me. It's about understanding where the disease came from and how it jumped to humans, so that we have a better shot at stopping something like this happening again.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#42
post #32

I've never worked in virus research, but my understanding is that any researcher would be keeping meticulous records of every virus they're studying, as well as detailed information about genetic differences with any variants they have produced. So if the Chinese govt simply seized access to all research projects at the lab at Wuhan they would have been able to compare all viruses within the lab with SARS-Cov-2 withi…

The lab did do that (...or just claimed they did, if you're inclined to believe there's been a cover-up):

>Shi instructed her group to repeat the tests and, at the same time, sent the samples to another facility to sequence the full viral genomes. Meanwhile she frantically went through her own lab’s records from the past few years to check for any mishandling of experimental materials, especially during disposal. Shi breathed a sigh of relief when the results came back: none of the sequences matched those of the viruses her team had sampled from bat caves. “That really took a load off my mind,” she says. “I had not slept a wink for days.”

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-chinas-bat-wo...

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#43
post #22
post #4

It's so interesting to me that people can't even imagine that covid could be intentionally created and let out. Not a leak, not an accident. Is it because people don't understand that actual evil exists outside of movies? That there are extreamly powerful people in the world that will throw babies into fires because they believe in occult entities? This is not imaginary. We live in a world where very evil people exis…

I think you're right to question authority, but it doesn't seem fair to make the claim that > "there are extreamly powerful people in the world that will throw babies into fires because they believe in occult entities" What makes you believe that is in any way prevalant? Maybe I'm an optimist, but it seems hard to believe that throwing babies into fires is considered okay, even at the highest social echelons.

That is probably an allusion to the ancient cult of Moloch, but that, AFAIK, has died out a long time ago. Romans stamped out human sacrifice really hard. (They themselves used to practice it, but after approx. 100 BCE, they not only stopped, but turned against it and stopped tolerating it among subjugated nations.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moloch

The closest phenomena we have in modern world is suicidal jihadism, but its practicioners generally cannot be described as extremely powerful, even if they managed to tire out Western powers in Afghanistan.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#44

From the lancet of all places. They completely destroyed centuries of reputation for cheap political points in all this. Too little too late.

The Lancet's reputation is in a downturn since the Wakefield case

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#45

The amount of censorship, especially among the qualified scientific community in just about every facet of this disease is alarming. Even if the origins were accidental or lab-born or whatnot, the response has been so politicized worldwide that pure science has been largely thrown out the window. Every possibility should be analyzed & tested, even if it goes against the interests of a ruling party and all parties are…

Nothing compared to censorship about race and intelligence for example.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#47
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. All major world governments do illegal and shady acts when faced with situations that may result in the need for extreme ass-covering. (cf. "righteous strike") If it were an accidental lab leak: so what? How does that change things? If anything, it would accelerate a {trade,cold,cyber,shooting} war with China, which is universally a bad thing, even in pursuit of justice…

> If it were an accidental lab leak: so what? > pursuit of justice It has nothing to do with a pursuit of justice, at least not for me. It's about understanding where the disease came from and how it jumped to humans, so that we have a better shot at stopping something like this happening again.

I suppose a better question in that case would be: is it possible to engineer something like SARS-CoV-2 in a lab (perhaps via existing GOF techniques) if it were one's explicit intent to cause a damaging pandemic?

That's a more important question about whether or not this particular virus came out of a lab or not, because, if the answer to the above is "yes", then we need to take whatever your/whoever's proposed mitigation/prevention steps even if this thing came about via natural pathways. Even banning GOF research in labs might not be sufficient, if malicious people (wooo "bioterrorism") could go about doing this outside of labs.

Also, we need to plan and prepare for the next global respiratory pandemic in any event, as we know they happen periodically regardless of origin. That's true even if we never authoritatively understand the origin of this one.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#48
post #7
post #4

It's so interesting to me that people can't even imagine that covid could be intentionally created and let out. Not a leak, not an accident. Is it because people don't understand that actual evil exists outside of movies? That there are extreamly powerful people in the world that will throw babies into fires because they believe in occult entities? This is not imaginary. We live in a world where very evil people exis…

If it were evil, they'd have tried harder. Which is also the argument against it being a bioweapon - most pathetic bioweapon ever if it was.

It has certainly taken the attention off the Wests' incredibly heinous war crimes and crimes against humanity.

See for example, the genocide of Yemen.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#49
post #17

It's well known that local Chinese authorities silenced a doctor (Li Wenliang) who was giving early warnings about the virus. That to me is a more grave mistake than an accidental lab leak, because they lost a chance to nip it in the bud. Accidents happen and quick response is essential. An intentional lab leak makes no sense to me at all. Its like starting a fire in your house to spite your neighbour.

> An intentional lab leak makes no sense to me at all. Very few people are arguing that it was intentional. I agree that an intentional lab leak is highly, highly unlikely, but I think an accidental lab leak is at least just as likely as the wet market hypothesis and CCP certainly acted extremely suspicious.

> and CCP certainly acted extremely suspicious.

They would have acted the same regardless of what the initial case was caused by. That's just the way they roll.

Re: An appeal for an objective, open, transparent debate re: the origin of Covid-19

#50
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If it were an accidental lab leak: so what? > pursuit of justice It has nothing to do with a pursuit of justice, at least not for me. It's about understanding where the disease came from and how it jumped to humans, so that we have a better shot at stopping something like this happening again.

I suppose a better question in that case would be: is it possible to engineer something like SARS-CoV-2 in a lab (perhaps via existing GOF techniques) if it were one's explicit intent to cause a damaging pandemic? That's a more important question about whether or not this particular virus came out of a lab or not, because, if the answer to the above is "yes", then we need to take whatever your/whoever's proposed miti…

Your argument is that we should take very stringent preventative measures whether or not COVID leaked from a lab.

While I agree with that, what this misses is that knowledge of if and how the virus escaped is valuable knowledge that helps us by showing us where the flaws in our current processes are.

Flight safety is a fitting analogy. You need to analyze exactly why a plane crashed so that you can see the gaps in current safety processes. It is that iteration (crash -> analyze -> improve -> crash -> analyze -> improve) over many generations that is why flying is so safe. Without this, it's armchair theory and you are not left with a system that is robust to the real world.

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