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A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

sebastianrushworth.com

41–50 of 340 posts

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#41
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

the german gdp is down over 10 percent. A decade of growth is gone because of this failed policy. The young generation will suffer from this for a long time. Seems like the current politicians dont care about our future.

>the german gdp is down over 10 percent. A decade of growth is gone because of this failed policy. The swedish GDP is down 9% despite them (according to the article which is misrepresenting a lot of things) not locking down at all. Even if Germany took a completely different approach (which would have led to a New York Style situation in the whole country) there would basically not be a difference in gdp numbers.

Where are you getting those numbers? Swedish GDP is up this quarter, as about the only nation in Europe

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#42
post #16

" Covid has at present killed less than 6000 in Sweden. It is very unlikely that the number of dead will go above 7,000. An average influenza year in Sweden, 700 people die of influenza. " The average number of people who die of influenza in the US is about 35,000. So we should expect 350,000 deaths and then we'll be all good?

I think his point is you can't compare the impact of the flu because 1) it hits every year (versus a quick outbreak) and 2) many people are vaccinated.

Don't forget the '17 flu seasons was 65k deaths in the US. So we're at a little under 3x right now. So yes, Covid is worse, but we don't bat an eye at 65k deaths due to the flu.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#43
post #41
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>the german gdp is down over 10 percent. A decade of growth is gone because of this failed policy. The swedish GDP is down 9% despite them (according to the article which is misrepresenting a lot of things) not locking down at all. Even if Germany took a completely different approach (which would have led to a New York Style situation in the whole country) there would basically not be a difference in gdp numbers.

Where are you getting those numbers? Swedish GDP is up this quarter, as about the only nation in Europe

The official numbers from the statistic agency in sweden https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subje...

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#44

The author doesn't state (and I don't know the real-time info) about whether the country is locked down and social distancing/masks, etc. If so, it's not like their laissez-faire attitude (the previous months) is the success he's making it out to be. They only have stabilized because they adopted the recommended measures finally, if that's true.

The Swedish government never locked down or encouraged any sort of social distancing. Their plan was herd immunity and they appear to have gotten it right.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#45
post #8

Sweden is effectively as locked down as anywhere else. The prevalence of the virus is diminishing there because people are not going out and getting sick, rendering R_t<1. I don't participate in social distancing because my government says to, and I certainly don't stop because my government says to either.

Sweden is effectively as locked down as anywhere else.

Is that true? Are all the schools closed? Are most people working from home? Are most businesses shutdown?

That's not what I've read (outside this article).

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#46
Finland has roughly half Sweden's population but 5% of their COVID deaths. Sweden's economy contracted 8.6% to the EU's 11.9%.

Hope those 5000+ unnecessary deaths were worth 3.3%.

"Considering that 70% of those who have died of covid are over 80 years old, quite a few of those 6,000 would have died this year anyway."

Wow.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#47

This is an absolute fucking nonsense article from start to finish, full of outright falsehoods. It is terrifying that this person is a doctor.

Can you elaborate? He explains correctly what is happening right now in countries with hard lockdowns, like Spain.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#48
> "it is nonsensical to compare covid to other major pandemics […] Covid will never even come close to those numbers. And yet many countries have shut down their entire economies"

> "That makes covid a mere blip in terms of its effect on mortality."

This sounds wrong to me for several reasons. First of all, it's silly assuming that other countries are shutting down their economies without a very good reason for doing so. As I understood it, the "good reason" for doing so was that the infection & death rate was growing so fast, that it was putting hospitals & morgues way beyond their capacity. At the same time, the situation was keeping non-COVID, hospital-worthy visits out of the healthcare system, thus creating a massive public health problem.

(Let's not forget the improvised hospitals, improvised morgues, etc. These were very real.)

It'd be interesting knowing why somehow the COVID cases 'vanished' from this doctor's hospital. But instead of looking into why this happened, this doctor is just saying "turns out that the problem went away, so in the end it was good that we didn't bother too much about it".

And the thing is - we're not through it yet. Thankfully the death rate seems not being as bad as we thought it could be, but this could very well be down to current measures such as isolating elder people, testing at-risk populations, higher awareness levels, and the fact that the average infection age is now much lower than it was in March. So, now, healthcare systems are not collapsing.

There's a myriad of variables that likely affect the virus spread and outcome. For example, the age and characteristics of the populations where the virus is spreading, how population is distributed around the territory (and its density), how frequently this population "comes together" (social behavior - ever seen a swede profusely hugging and kissing?, public transportation, remote working…), and so on.

And when it comes to the healthcare system capacity debate: Sweden frequently put elder, infected people straight in palliative care (http://archive.is/VC5vb), bypassing hospitals. Other countries did admit elder people into hospitals, thus putting more strain into the healthcare system, which later on prompted a lockdown to prevent said system from collapsing.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#49

"COVID is over in Sweden" is a pretty bold claim with ~400 daily infections, and increasing again as per https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/09f821667ce64bf7be6... Just like in other EU countries, it is now the younger population which seems mostly affected, and thus the mortality is lower - which is ultimately some good news. Summer holidays are now almost over though, so people are traveling home from vacation…

https://www.google.com/search?q=sweden+covid+deathrate&oq=sw...

Sweden's death rate is down to zero today and has been trending down since mid April. Summer Holidays did not start until late May where deaths were already half of what they were in mid April. This post isn't aging, it's already aged.

Re: A Swedish doctor's perspective on Covid

#50
post #10
post #5

its time to stop this! I am so proud to see my fellow germans rise up: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=htDrDieOgh0

> proud to see my fellow germans rise up: That is (luckily imo) only a tiny minority of Germans. I would be very interested: are the current restrictions really that bad? You need to wear a mask in supermarkets, do you think that's actually that big of a deal?

It's the patronizing way things get pushed that is a problem. Including you pointing out someone being in the minority, followed by asking a question: the answer is kinda moot if you already established might being right as valid in your view. It's a very thin veneer of good faith, and completely transparent to the person it's done to.

If I told you to list 3 things you're grateful for each day, and hounded and sanctioned you for not doing it, if I talked about all these Nazis I know who incidentally also are not doing it, and meaningfully nodded your way every time, and made fun of you in filter bubbles... wouldn't you just do this minor thing that may actually be beneficial and is unlikely to do harm?

This is the problem, and to use a pandemic to normalize that just makes it worse, morally speaking.

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