Live data from Hacker News

The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

effectiviology.com

41–50 of 152 posts

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#41
post #6

This will be controversial, but this is true everytime there is a pitchfork-inducing "the rich got richer in 20XX" thread. But it's not that the rich stole from the poor in order to become richer (though undoubtedly people will argue this). If I stick a million dollars in an index fund and passively get richer, am I stealing from the poor? Wealth is not zero sum, yet we seem to treat it like it is (in order for poor…

Say the top 1% increase their proportion of wealth from 20% to 40% of the money supply. Since there's only a finite amount of stuff to buy (productivity), this means the rich can also buy a proportionally bigger amount of stuff. Now, yes, this money gets in the hands of whoever is selling but in our current world this is increasingly also the rich. They're slowly buying up all real estate, companies, securities etc.…

> Say the top 1% increase their proportion of wealth from 20% to 40% of the money supply. Since there's only a finite amount of stuff to buy (productivity), this means the rich can also buy a proportionally bigger amount of stuff.

yes, the money supply and real productivity are disconnected from each other, but it's hard to imagine such a huge change in control of the money supply over a period where real productivity is held constant.

> It's not entirely zero sum, some investments increase productivity and thus create actual wealth. Unfortunately investment in stocks and real estate don't increase productivity at all while rent-seeking only directs an ever increasing proportion of available wealth towards rich people.

if there are some investments that increase productivity, but they aren't stocks or real estate, what investments do increase productivity?

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#42
post #6

This will be controversial, but this is true everytime there is a pitchfork-inducing "the rich got richer in 20XX" thread. But it's not that the rich stole from the poor in order to become richer (though undoubtedly people will argue this). If I stick a million dollars in an index fund and passively get richer, am I stealing from the poor? Wealth is not zero sum, yet we seem to treat it like it is (in order for poor…

Not that I necessarily agree with them, but some people would say that your index fund is stealing from the poor in a sense, because corporate profits (distributed to you, the shareholder, as dividends) are derived from exploiting the working class, when they could be raising wages instead. This is obviously not the entire story, because the economy certainly has grown historically and continues to grow, and that gro…

Technically yes, but the key difference is that those index funds are equally available to rich and poor, and the returns are the same for everyone (mostly).

Contrast that with the plethora of wealth-increasing opportunities that are not available without a large initial investment or the connections or power that comes with existing wealth.

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that I necessarily agree with them, but some people would say that your index fund is stealing from the poor in a sense, because corporate profits (distributed to you, the shareholder, as dividends) are derived from exploiting the working class, when they could be raising wages instead. This is obviously not the entire story, because the economy certainly has grown historically and continues to grow, and that gro…

Well labour prices (for whatever the industry is) is driven by market forces. The Salary / Rate has to match the market expectations. If the market rate is artificially inflated (minimum hourly wage) then companies will find a way to automate those jobs away. I am sure people will say that this would have happened anyway with certain unskilled labour jobs but you could argue that this only further incentivises them.…

I wonder how people can think "we must let the companies oppress us as hard as possible or else they will fuck us entirely" and not think we live in a literal dystopia.

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#44
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well labour prices (for whatever the industry is) is driven by market forces. The Salary / Rate has to match the market expectations. If the market rate is artificially inflated (minimum hourly wage) then companies will find a way to automate those jobs away. I am sure people will say that this would have happened anyway with certain unskilled labour jobs but you could argue that this only further incentivises them.…

I wonder how people can think "we must let the companies oppress us as hard as possible or else they will fuck us entirely" and not think we live in a literal dystopia.

[deleted]

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#45
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that I necessarily agree with them, but some people would say that your index fund is stealing from the poor in a sense, because corporate profits (distributed to you, the shareholder, as dividends) are derived from exploiting the working class, when they could be raising wages instead. This is obviously not the entire story, because the economy certainly has grown historically and continues to grow, and that gro…

Technically yes, but the key difference is that those index funds are equally available to rich and poor, and the returns are the same for everyone (mostly). Contrast that with the plethora of wealth-increasing opportunities that are not available without a large initial investment or the connections or power that comes with existing wealth.

Your claim is the flip side to the joke that goes something like, "The law is blind to class: it is equally illegal for a rich man to sleep under a bridge as it is for the poor man."

The point being: a large fraction of the population in the US is living paycheck to paycheck and has no money to spare for investing in an index fund.

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#46
post #35

The textbook example of zero-sum thinking is how most people (specially those involved in politics) talk about imports and exports.

All trade is a victim of this. In reality, trade always creates value, and you can argue that all wealth in the world is created from trade, most of it interpersonal. But people still feel instinctually that each transaction has a winner and a loser.

That'll likely depend on the definitions of trade and winning/losing.

If you're starving and I'm the only one around and I sell you a loaf of bread for a million dollars, did we both win? Sure, you'll live another week, but I sold you a bread that you'd usually pay a few bucks for and got a million in return.

If I'm paying the mafia for protection, do we both win? Sure, my restaurant doesn't burn down, but if the mafia didn't exist, it wouldn't burn down either.

What about forced trades without perceived value, like a mandatory membership in organizations whose services you don't care for? What do you gain, besides not being thrown into jail?

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#47
post #35

The textbook example of zero-sum thinking is how most people (specially those involved in politics) talk about imports and exports.

All trade is a victim of this. In reality, trade always creates value, and you can argue that all wealth in the world is created from trade, most of it interpersonal. But people still feel instinctually that each transaction has a winner and a loser.

Are you including "daytrading"/algorithmical short term trading when you mean trading creates value?

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Say the top 1% increase their proportion of wealth from 20% to 40% of the money supply. Since there's only a finite amount of stuff to buy (productivity), this means the rich can also buy a proportionally bigger amount of stuff. Now, yes, this money gets in the hands of whoever is selling but in our current world this is increasingly also the rich. They're slowly buying up all real estate, companies, securities etc.…

> Say the top 1% increase their proportion of wealth from 20% to 40% of the money supply. Since there's only a finite amount of stuff to buy (productivity), this means the rich can also buy a proportionally bigger amount of stuff. yes, the money supply and real productivity are disconnected from each other, but it's hard to imagine such a huge change in control of the money supply over a period where real productivit…

I just meant the 20% and 40% as an illustration how increased wealth can make others lose out if productivity doesn't increase proportionally, I wouldn't read too much into it.

Starting/growing a company is the obvious investment that increases productivity (pg isn't wrong). But selling your labor also increases it on a smaller scale, as long as you don't replace someone else. Actually literally anything that creates anything increases productivity. Even creating bitcoins in a sense does (but trading them doesn't)... until they crash.

But real estate and stocks only move ownership from one person to another. They don't create anything. Even issuing new stock only moves ownership.

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#49
post #21

Modern Life is so complex. And in many situations , telling whether they're zero sum, is uncertain, and hard. Look at the debates here for example. So people default to what they already generally know. They know that society is very competitive. The job market is very competitive. The mating market is very competitive. Zero sum games are everywhere. So it's no wonder they have this cognitive bias.

It's not just that.

Zero sum let's you shift blame for your own failures. You can say someone else took it from you (nefariously).

When the game is positive sum, the cause of failure must be internal. You just couldn't do it and there's nobody to blame but you. A lot of people can't handle this.

Entire philosophies and like outlooks are driven by this. The external locus of control.

Re: The Zero-Sum Bias: When people think that everything is a competition

#50
"People sometimes view gender hierarchies in the workplace as being zero-sum, which can cause them to be more opposed to gender-fair policies."

Can someone explain why this isnt zero sum? If the hierarchy moves from being women at the bottom, men at the top to a fair mix, the 'gains' that women make are balanced out by 'losses' for the men. There isn't extra power/prestige/influence introduced to the system by being gender fair.

To clarify, I'm pro equal opportunities, this isn't a sexist rant.

Post reply on HN