Now I really want physical loaded dice which follow the gambler's fallacy! Is it too crazy of an idea?
Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
41–50 of 243 posts
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#42A great application for this is in randomizing playlists. My friends, who are also CS grads and should know better, have often complained that their MP3 players, CD carousels, etc play the same music too often claiming that the random is broken, when a song repeating in a short period of time or other songs never playing is what you would expect from a truly random selection. Using this algorithm, you'd be sure to he…
I actually tested the random distribution of Spotify's shuffle functionality: http://michaelmcmillan.net
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#43Now I really want physical loaded dice which follow the gambler's fallacy! Is it too crazy of an idea?
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#44You can actually play it right here and go direct to the Boss Fight if you wanted to: http://briancable.com/clock-legends/
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#45A great application for this is in randomizing playlists. My friends, who are also CS grads and should know better, have often complained that their MP3 players, CD carousels, etc play the same music too often claiming that the random is broken, when a song repeating in a short period of time or other songs never playing is what you would expect from a truly random selection. Using this algorithm, you'd be sure to he…
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#46Now I really want physical loaded dice which follow the gambler's fallacy! Is it too crazy of an idea?
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#47Earlier quoted context omitted.
I actually tested the random distribution of Spotify's shuffle functionality: http://michaelmcmillan.net
I have a theory that Spotify doesn't do random shuffling, but weighted shuffling, so that new items are more likely to be at the top of a shuffle (or maybe even popular items). I also believe that this will satisfy users better than true random shuffling. About your linked post: You don't test the randomness of the shuffling, you only test if a shuffled list contain one and only of each original item.
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#48Earlier quoted context omitted.
I actually tested the random distribution of Spotify's shuffle functionality: http://michaelmcmillan.net
Spotify's shuffling is most certainly not random. Every once in a while I get a bug where it simply shuffles through various songs from 4-5 albums and will never pick songs outside that set. Restarting the app corrects the behaviour. To me that's some level of proof, because the songs are all there. So what's the algorithm really doing?
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#49Earlier quoted context omitted.
There almost certainly is but you can’t collect the data. At some point quantum effects will come into play too. Theoretically all physical processes are predictable, but in practice there is a limit.
> Theoretically all physical processes are predictable If you count a radioactive decay event as a physical process, then this is not so.
Re: Show HN: A Set of Dice That Follows the Gambler's Fallacy
#50Now I really want physical loaded dice which follow the gambler's fallacy! Is it too crazy of an idea?
Make them from a substance that leaves a tiny amount of residue on any surface it's left on for more than a small amount of time. Any time a die is rolled (and then left unperturbed for a short amount of time), that face becomes lighter.