Live data from Hacker News

Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

universiteitleiden.nl

381–390 of 786 posts

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#381
post #205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>And the pay would obviously go up. Maybe. Many jobs can be automated, but it was cheaper to just hire minimum wage people to do a job. If the pay required to find people got to be too high, automation would happen more rapidly.

Speaking as someone who has worked in a factory, you couldn't pay me a six figure salary to go back. And most of the things were automated already, at least as much as reasonably could be.

Depends on the factory and what you're doing there. Last time I worked in a factory I was debugging printer-eating robots, shooting high powered lasers at things, and blowing stuff around with blasts of compressed air. (And I got to program all those things).

You haven't really debugged things until your tests involve forklifts and 10t cranes. O:-)

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#382

A link to the actual research paper would be helpful. In this experiment, what amount was given to the treatment group that received basic income? How often? How does that amount compare to the cost of living in their city? > ‘It’s sometimes said that people will sit around doing nothing if you give them free money.’ I’m not an academic, so take this with a grain of salt. If my job requires menial labor or involves g…

> My spouse worked for the state government as part of a benefits/disbursement program. She took phone calls from benefits recipients. Some who are disabled, on unemployment, or generally within the states bar to qualify for tax payer aid. > The pay was slightly above minimum wage. My spouse quit after about a year, during which my souse constantly suffered from verbal abuse and even callers who didn’t qualify threatening to murder my spouse unless they received cash from the state.

This feels like a particularly unfair anecdote in the context of what we're talking about. Imagine for a second that the tables were turned and your spouse was disabled and unable to work: Everything is harder – they can't leave the house without someone to give them a ride; maybe they have to use a wheelchair, which makes everything twice as difficult. They're in survival mode every day.

Not only do they rely on the state for money to eat, to pay rent, to keep the lights on, but doing anything enjoyable is challenging. They have to navigate a byzantine system that is DESIGNED to make qualifying for support extremely frustrating, and then have to stay on top of getting their benefits regularly. The system has literally trained them to react to any issue with anger because they know that whenever a problem occurs, it could be weeks or months until they get the money they need to survive.

I'm not saying that your spouse's experience was justified in any way – dealing with that requires a hell of a lot more than minimum wage! – but (theoretically) this particular problem would go away with something like basic income, where most of these people would have their basic costs covered. They might still have "disability" to help pay for all the other stuff disabled people have to deal with, but at least they aren't relying on a sclerotic bureaucracy to eat, yunno?

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#383
If I had a guaranteed income that allowed me to meaningfully exist and only occasionally work so as to earn enough whenever I wanted to make larger expenses, AND society could more or less ensure that, then yeah, I would probably consider working less if someone is going to pay me to live.

Also enhanced unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic basically proved nationwide that it would create pockets of the economy where people would literally just not work because you would earn more versus going back to work.

Wouldn't you do the same if your unemployment exceeded current market software engineer rates and any rate people offered you in the market? I would. I definitely would. I would work on my own projects while being funded by the state.

Isn't this something you could just ask people?

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#384

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To take a market perspective to this: I think there are some costs that people fail to accommodate for when comparing employment vs welfare. We used to consider homemaking an actual profession, because... it really is. Now that we are expecting households to have dual incomes, we are recognizing that income on paper, when in reality it always was there, it just was not formally recognized. With the cost of childcare…

Good point about the child care. But I disagree with your comment on the second point. As I said, I'm all for welfare/assistance given generously to those in need, but that's different from funding non-working lifestyle of those who have good working options and simply don't want to work. Some part of UBI might overlap with the welfare part, but it's going to significantly increase the number of people who don't work…

> As I said, I'm all for welfare/assistance given generously to those in need, but that's different from funding non-working lifestyle of those who have good working options and simply don't want to work.

I don't really know if that's worth worrying about. We're not living in a subsistence economy where if someone isn't carrying their weight the whole tribe dies. I think it's perfectly acceptable to have a certain amount of non-participatory portion of the population, we should make sure it doesn't get to the point of unsustainability but trying to police absolutely everyone in society is a recipe for disaster.

> But let's not take money from people who need it just so a group of people can quit their job.

The people who need that money aren't going to bear the majority of the burden - when you get down into the range of poverty wages people are already exempt for non-transactional taxation and end up receiving more money than they pay. I don't think it's fair to paint any new expenditure as "But how will the poor bear this cost" - when, in the end, the middle and upper classes are where we look to for funding.

The 1980s perpetuated the idea of a "welfare queen" that we should all be really mad at - there are folks that take advantage of the system but it's such a small cost that, honestly, whatever. Most people can't enjoy that kind of a lifestyle so if a few people get to live content lives that would otherwise be ground into the dust I'm perfectly happy for them.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#385
post #194
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Do you think the rich are rich for no reason at all? No, social immobility and generational wealth transfer. > That their rewards are unfair? Often, yes.

I think it's sort of unfair to reduce the whole argument to a one-liner like that. Sure, many people do take advantage of generational wealth, setting your children up for success is a basic human impulse. There are also a ton of data supporting the case that actually a huge percentage of successful/wealthy people did not get that way through generational wealth but in fact, just worked hard (also luck plays a factor…

> I think it's sort of unfair to reduce the whole argument to a one-liner like that.

My answers had a commensurate level of respect to the questions.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#386
post #140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We've done that experiment. The results are self-evident. Do you mean the Alaska Permanent Fund, or something else?

That’s exactly what I assumed. I think it would be a pretty hard argument to say that Alaskans are lazy because of their permanent fund.

Last year’s APF dividend was $1100. That’s a figure for the whole year, not monthly. Food stamps pay more than that.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#387
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Multiple studies of where basic income was tried in the real world found it to reduce work. Isn't that a good outcome? Humans get more leisure time.

Not for the other group who will have products of their labor "redistributed" to pay for other's leisure time?

You mean for the machine's labour - progressively more and more as more and more is automated, and where people with their UBI are paying into the system (consumers aren't a fuel leak, they're the largest cog in the wheel) and workers will be getting paid adequately on top of the UBI they'll be getting too?

A concept missed by most is that the buying power of "$1,000"/month grows exponentially as more and more gets automated.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#388
What I dislike about these studies is that what they are measuring maps badly to real-world experiences. There was another study before, not long ago, where participants were asked what they would do if they had this and this much UBI. And from that they drew their conclusion. I don't know how and whether they corrected for obvious biases (who would honestly say that they would sit on their ass? People deceive themselves all the time!), but doing a study on imaginary situations just looks pointless to me. You want to do a study, you randomly select people from different walks of life and give them their money for a long enough time for them to feel secure and plan long-term. That's how you know. Yeah, you'd need to get money from somewhere, but who says it's gonna be easy?

I would certainly spend at least a month goofing around. Maybe two. Maybe I'd become a freaking train driver, who knows. Take up a shitty job, blog about it without fear of being fired. Or maybe I'd decide that I should spend the rest of my life goofing around. How should I know? Give me my money and see what I do, not what I say I'd do.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#389

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Another take is that if workers are able to say no to a shit job, then the burden is placed on the employer to either eliminate the job or make it less shit. In the Nordics, there are no manual car washes, yet life goes on. Economically it doesn't make sense because of the high labor costs, and realistically it is a menial job that can be for the most part automated. If you want to live in a world where you can have…

> In the Nordics, there are no manual car washes, This is simply not true, at least in the more densely populated parts of Norway. They are simply very expensive.

Which car washes are we talking about? Self service manual washes, or something more akin to a light detail that includes a hand wash?

In the US, you can drive up and pay $1~/min and spray your car yourself w/ soap and water. You can also do the drive-thru option for about $10. On the upper end, you can pay $50~ for what might start as a drive-thru, but then someone comes out and does a manual touch up where the machine might have missed a spot, and then they will vacuum and wipe down the interior.

At $100+, you're looking at a hand wash and detail, potentially going up to hundreds of dollars for different aftercare options. Detailing can be very lucrative if you get a good referral network established.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#390
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If my job requires menial labor or involves getting berated by customers (many retail jobs), personally I would absolutely not work. Maybe that's a good thing. It's insane how people in service industries are treated - like they're less than human. Shifting some power to them and giving the job a little more of an air of dignity or status would probably help a lot. And the pay would obviously go up. People would be…

Agreed, isnt this exactly whats been observed from pandemic financial aid? Increased pressure on employers to pay more and give workers a better work environment? Maybe someone has a better link to back that up but heres one at least. https://www.forbes.com/sites/bryanrobinson/2021/10/14/employ... Also isnt there some possibly-not-totally-fantasy narrative where at least some of these jobs become automated in respons…

Inflation more than negated any increase in wages.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881600Q

Fewer workers means fewer goods and services. If demand remains constant or increases, you get inflation. The pandemic caused supply chain issues, but this wouldn't have been as big of an issue had demand been artificially pumped with the stimulus. In many places, such as the ports, productivity is at an all-time high, but they're still bottlenecking consumers.

Post reply on HN