Live data from Hacker News

Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

universiteitleiden.nl

261–270 of 786 posts

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#261

I strongly suspect that the lion's share of UBI would go directly to landlords or existing property owners.

Why stop at 'Basic income'? Why not 'Basic Housing', 'Basic Food' and others?

This is what the military does. Of course, you’re expected to work.

Income Basic Allowance for Housing Basic Allowance for Sustenance

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#262
post #22

Just look at the billionaires. They are all still working even after reaching retirement age.

You’re mixing cause and effect. They became billionaires in large part because of their work ethic.

> They became billionaires in large part because of their work ethic.

Tell me you're an American without telling me you're an American. :)

Thomas Piketty wrote a book on this topic (which I highly recommend) called "Capital in the Twenty-First Century".

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#263

For me these studies are utterly meaningless without real world long-term data. > would not reduce people’s willingness to work > The psychologists also found an indication that people with a basic income look for work that suits them better. Note how the authors use the word *willingness" to work. 0 people want to clean toilets or public restrooms for a living. Or be waiting staff at a restaurant. Yet those "grunt w…

Agreed. The way I see it is that UBI has all the makings of an abusive relationship. One party supports the other, while there is no reciprocation. You don’t have to contribute to the society - the society will support all your basic needs.

Without a strong incentive for reciprocation we are solving half of the problem, while ignoring the negative consequences.

In a way it’s similar to how large mental institutions were closed in the US (the idea that had some merits), and now just ignore people with severe mental problems until they either injure themselves or someone else.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#264
One of the touted benefits of UBI is that individuals are better able to allocate money to meet their needs than some outside entity. However some results from Canada showed that some people continued to spend "irresponsibly". Rather than spending money on food, shelter, medicine and clothing, some continued to spend on maintaining addictions and/or entertainment, then still required assistance from the system. Can a society rely solely on UBI to help the down-trodden? I don't think so, in some cases you have to directly give food, medicine and shelter.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I also think in general all the research around basic income misses an incredibly important piece that is being proposed in policy changes. Basic income experiments usually game it like this: We will give you x years of payments monthly for just being alive. Then they see what happens. The problem is, policy has one huge difference. It doesn't end. The difference between, I'll give you 2 years of payments monthly and…

"It doesn't end." To be more precise, it has no specific end date, but in a democracy, it can be repealed again with every new parliament. Or possibly via a ballot initiative. At which moment the net recipients are in for a major shock.

The bigger danger is its just a path to the end of democracy. If the 50.1% can just vote themselves a bigger piece of the pie, how long before the morlocks decide they don't like supporting a bunch of eloi. If the morlocks decide eloi votes don't count, what are they going to do? Go on strike?

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#266
Even if it wouldn’t reduce people's willingness to work (which the article doesn’t prove in any way), people would work on whatever they feel like, not on what our society needs.

Because in the job market, wage signals work like price signals in other markets: they incentivize people to move in the direction most valued by the economy. Like IT right now.

So we may be doomed to a society of grasshoppers with nobody willing to be the ant - like in the old fable.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#267
post #9

>They simulated the reward structure of different forms of social security in an experiment. ‘We got people to do a task on a computer,’ says De Kwaadsteniet. ‘In multiple rounds, which represented the months they had to work, they did a boring task in which they had to put points on a bar. The more of these they did, the more money they earned.’ "short term experiments done in a lab" seems to be psychology's equival…

Yep. Meaningless. Yet the paper will be blasted from one end of the earth to the other by people who care more about their agenda than the universe's frequently unhappy truths. Probably the same people who said that increasing the money supply wouldn't cause inflation because MMT or some other tendentious garbage.

I suspect the parent post is downvoted because it's guessing that bad behavior will occur, and then criticizing the anticipated perpetrators.

I'd prefer a comment that simply and politely argues for a particular interpretation.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#268
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>And the pay would obviously go up. Maybe. Many jobs can be automated, but it was cheaper to just hire minimum wage people to do a job. If the pay required to find people got to be too high, automation would happen more rapidly.

If a job doesn't need doing, why waste a human's labor on it? Though that said, I remember not too long ago a lot of people saying "oh if minimum wage goes over $15 we'll just automate the jobs" and now the McDonalds by my house is offering $23/hr for entry level work and robots are nowhere to be seen.

Pandemic driven wage increases haven’t been happening long enough to drive just too much automation yet - supply chains and all that would greatly limit how fast that will roll out. It will be interesting if in 5 years I’d wages stay at current levels how much automation displaces them.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#269

A link to the actual research paper would be helpful. In this experiment, what amount was given to the treatment group that received basic income? How often? How does that amount compare to the cost of living in their city? > ‘It’s sometimes said that people will sit around doing nothing if you give them free money.’ I’m not an academic, so take this with a grain of salt. If my job requires menial labor or involves g…

Another take is that if workers are able to say no to a shit job, then the burden is placed on the employer to either eliminate the job or make it less shit.

In the Nordics, there are no manual car washes, yet life goes on. Economically it doesn't make sense because of the high labor costs, and realistically it is a menial job that can be for the most part automated.

If you want to live in a world where you can have a cheap hand wash in your back yard, then you have to also admit to wanting structural inequalities to keep people trapped in those carwash jobs. It's delusional to believe that the people washing your car have a path out through hard work alone; my observation is that they already work pretty hard.

UBI is much more about giving workers power than giving them free money. And yes, there will be dole bludgers. Unfortunately any system is going to have inefficiencies, you just have to pick which ones and live with it. Alternatively, you can get tough on crime and house a prison population.

Re: Basic income would not reduce people’s willingness to work

#270
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>And the pay would obviously go up. Maybe. Many jobs can be automated, but it was cheaper to just hire minimum wage people to do a job. If the pay required to find people got to be too high, automation would happen more rapidly.

If a job doesn't need doing, why waste a human's labor on it? Though that said, I remember not too long ago a lot of people saying "oh if minimum wage goes over $15 we'll just automate the jobs" and now the McDonalds by my house is offering $23/hr for entry level work and robots are nowhere to be seen.

Well, not common. However, I wouldn't say 'nowhere'.

https://misorobotics.com/flippy-2/

Looks like it's a work in progress.

Post reply on HN