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It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

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Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#361
post #355

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All behavioral genetic studies heretofore rely on statistical analysis to draw correlations from datasets. Even ones that identiy specific SNPs are often unable to identify the physiological mechanism by which, say, Gene X influences intelligence. Without that, it's impossible to conclude that expression of Gene X isn't environmentally-influenced, and only has positive effects on intelligence when a certain diet is c…

>Without that, it's impossible to conclude that expression of Gene X isn't environmentally-influenced Conclusions do not require certainty. Science is about converging to the best explanation, not about unimpeachable conclusions. But when there are no plausible causal paths to explain measured correlations aside from, e.g., gene->phenotype causation, then causation along the available causal path is a valid tentative…

>Conclusions do not require certainty.

If certainty has not been achieved, then you should remain skeptical. The lack of a causal explanation is a massive discontinuity in logic which suggests that our conclusions may be very wrong ("retrograde action" wrong).

>Height has a heritability measure of around 80%, which leaves 20% for environmental factors.

This is what I mean. The studies that determined this used datasets from wealthy Western countries that are more ethnically homogeneous than average. Similar studies done in less wealthy countries found measures of environmental influence as high as 40%. In countries of similar wealth, average height can be predicted by measuring the level of economic inequality, suggesting that environmental factors such as healthcare, nutrition, and fitness access are all significant inputs.

>Nothing you've said demonstrates this claim.

Dutch average height for men grew 8 inches in a century. For comparison, average height for men worldwide has grown around 3 inches in the last millennium. There is evidence to suggest that pre-agricultural male height was similar to where it is now, if not taller; the structure of our civilization is the difference between the average man being 5'6" and 6", i.e., more than one SD from today's average in either direction.

I understand that it is harrowing to think that even our basic physiological attributes may be determined in no small part by the way we're treated by society (that is to say, that decisions could be made to improve your quality of life but are not), but it is very much a possibility.

>Nope. Emergentism is his avowed conceptual framework, a lens through which he analyzes evidence and draws conclusions. But if the conceptual framework is vacuous, which it is, then that undermines the value of conclusions based on that framework.

You are literally invoking a textbook ad hominem fallacy.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#362
post #361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Without that, it's impossible to conclude that expression of Gene X isn't environmentally-influenced Conclusions do not require certainty. Science is about converging to the best explanation, not about unimpeachable conclusions. But when there are no plausible causal paths to explain measured correlations aside from, e.g., gene->phenotype causation, then causation along the available causal path is a valid tentative…

>Conclusions do not require certainty. If certainty has not been achieved, then you should remain skeptical. The lack of a causal explanation is a massive discontinuity in logic which suggests that our conclusions may be very wrong ("retrograde action" wrong). >Height has a heritability measure of around 80%, which leaves 20% for environmental factors. This is what I mean. The studies that determined this used datase…

>If certainty has not been achieved, then you should remain skeptical

This is like saying you should be skeptical of all scientific claims. But such a claim is in tension with the obvious successes of science and engineering despite the inherent tentativeness of scientific conclusions. Clearly we need something more nuanced. We can draw tentative conclusions and move forward with knowledge while also acknowledging the tentative nature of said knowledge. Global skepticism regarding all scientific results is paralyzing.

>The studies that determined this used datasets from wealthy Western countries that are more ethnically homogeneous than average.

It has to be for any such measure to be meaningful. For example, if you put a toddler in a box and starve it to death, its development stops completely. But this doesn't mean that environmental influence is 100% for all phenotypes. Heritability is a blunt measure for something highly multidimensional. As such, care must be used in its interpretation. What heritability tells us is that given similar environments, what variation in measurable traits is due to variation in genetics or variation in environment. An ideal measure of heritability is a function of environment and would be proportional to the rate of change of environmental influence at every step change in environment.

Of course, such a measure is impossible and so we're left with our current blunt measure. But we can reason about some features of the ideal measure. For example, environmental influences have diminishing returns, thus there comes a point at which the rate of change of environmental influence is zero, meaning better or worse environment has no bearing on the trait and genetic variation dominates outcomes. On the other extreme, environmental influences are dominant. The relevant questions for the validity of heritability is whether the rate of change of environmental influence is steep at the current average environment. If it is steep, then it invalidates drawing conclusions based on measured heritability as the value is unstable.

But your point about Dutch average height does not bear on this. The heritability measure is blind to global average changes in quality of environment. The fact that average height grew so substantially implies that the average environment changed substantially over that period. The Flynn effect is another example, where the average IQ across the population grew substantially over a similar time period. But this doesn't have any direct relevance to the heritability measure of IQ. The question is whether current measures of heritability are stable for typical variations in environment. Regarding height, I would guess yes as calories are abundant in the western world, even among the poor.

>You are literally invoking a textbook ad hominem fallacy.

Notice the word fallacy. Identifying logical fallacies by name is to help recognize patterns of invalid arguments. Ad hominem is only relevant if the argument is not valid. But my point a vacuous conceptual framework leading to specious conclusions is a valid argument.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#363
post #358
post #352

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> standard of American healthcare in price-gouging patients They were charging MediCare, not patients, and they were charging MediCare according to the price schedule dictated by MediCare, which was significantly less than insurance companies paid. The problem was there were poorly worded rules for adjusting prices when one doctor was simultaneously treating multiple patients, particularly around how multiple discoun…

Thank you for speaking frankly about your dad's situation. It doesn't confirm what I thought, but speaks to the spirit of it in that the presence of private insurance unnecesarily complicated what should have been a simple fee-for-service. Likewise, I'm sorry to hear that your father and other anaesthesiologists, as well as many other American workers across many fields, fell and fall victim to a systemic deficiency…

Having lived in Hong Kong for the past 9 years, the US medical insurance situation is the main thing that gives me pause about moving back to the U.S. The whole situation is a tragic mess.

It's not even a free market run amok. There's essentially zero price transparency, which is necessary for an efficiently operating free market.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#364

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s the ultimate problem and why these schools are harmful. Letting in another thousand cognitive elites isn’t going to change anything.

Ah. You're not wanting to change to multiple Harvards, you're wanting to change to zero Harvards. And I kind of sympathize with that position. Education is helpful for society as a whole. Letting "elites" network so that they can position themselves to have outsized impact? Maybe not so much.

Correct. Even making UTAustin guaranteed acceptance to the top 14% of the class instead of 7% would be better than adding another Harvard in Texas.

The non linearity of the rewards is the problem. I’m orders of magnitude worse off than my valedictorian, who went to an Ivy, because I didn’t get into any good schools. Abolish all of the top schools.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#365

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, yeah that is elitist especially because the point of college is education not to compete together as a team. I went to CC in high school and a non selective engineering school. I’ve seen non-elitist and non-elite institutions.

> that is elitist especially because the point of college is education not to compete together as a team I don't understand how the latter implies the former ?

Colleges should aim to educate not compete with each other. The team analogy doesn’t work.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#366

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not, but I went to a public high school with a similar atmosphere as what I hear TJ is like. At least at my school, if you decided to do a lottery for students from across the city and set 3.5 as a threshold for lottery entrance, the competitiveness of my school in national competitions would have suffered severely. Anecdotally, the people I knew with 3.5-3.6 middle school GPAs were just uncompetitive when doing…

All I can do is share my experience. I do find it weird how many people who have never interacted with TJ have developed incredibly strong opinions about it (so much so that several of my friends regularly receive hate mail from strangers who don't live in virginia). > the point of these schools is that you put all the best of the best in the same place and network effects happen and push them to even higher levels o…

> All of us got deficient humanities educations at TJ.

Perhaps. For those of us who didn't even receive a mediocre STEM education at our take-all-comers schools and still certainly got a significantly worse humanities education than you, it engenders bitterness and anger that you're arguing for pulling up the rug behind you and preventing the next generation of children from having access to a high quality education.

> A ton of my friends who are TJ alumni now share stories (well over a decade later) of how TJ was the most toxic learning ecosystem they have ever been in.

Is it more toxic than having classes where kids turn up drunk and threateningly brandish knives?

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#367
post #231

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Not quite what I'm getting at. My point is more that the value proposition of the undergraduate programs of Ivy Leagues is partly the elite social circle you buy into. Being trained for an elite social circle is the entire value proposition of a finishing school, not sure where you see a disagreement. > Secondly, some of these ideas of "fixing" Ivy League admissions would just send those circles elsewhere, because…

>Being trained for an elite social circle is the entire value proposition of a finishing school, not sure where you see a disagreement. Gaining access to elite social circles is not the same thing as being trained for those circles. There are plenty of institutions that enable elite networking that have nothing to do with finishing school, so it's a false equivalence.

> Gaining access to elite social circles is not the same thing as being trained for those circles.

Sure but this is pedantic and both are aspects of a finishing school or elite university...

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#368

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All I can do is share my experience. I do find it weird how many people who have never interacted with TJ have developed incredibly strong opinions about it (so much so that several of my friends regularly receive hate mail from strangers who don't live in virginia). > the point of these schools is that you put all the best of the best in the same place and network effects happen and push them to even higher levels o…

> All of us got deficient humanities educations at TJ. Perhaps. For those of us who didn't even receive a mediocre STEM education at our take-all-comers schools and still certainly got a significantly worse humanities education than you, it engenders bitterness and anger that you're arguing for pulling up the rug behind you and preventing the next generation of children from having access to a high quality education.…

> Perhaps. For those of us who didn't even receive a mediocre STEM education at our take-all-comers schools and still certainly got a significantly worse humanities education than you, it engenders bitterness and anger that you're arguing for pulling up the rug behind you and preventing the next generation of children from having access to a high quality education.

My wife went to a public school in Fairfax County. Her humanities education was much better than the one I received at TJ. I believe that this is the least controversial thing I've said on the topic. The humanities at TJ was just bad. Only two years of history. Curricula rigidly defined by the College Board. No approaches designed to really stretch students, since faculty were told that the humanities were a second class citizen and students should have more work time allocated to STEM. I know at least one teacher who resigned in protest (from what was otherwise a dream job) because of how terribly the humanities were treated.

Even if you believe that the only way to get a quality education in northern virginia is to attend TJ (which is just false), the proposed changes do not change the number of people who are able to attend. Different children would attend TJ, yes. But nobody is taking a stick of dynamite to blow up the school.

> Is it more toxic than having classes where kids turn up drunk and threateningly brandish knives?

I'm not sure you are super familiar with the rest of FCPS. The other public schools offer a large suite of AP or IB classes (depending on the program) that make it very very easy for smart students to avoid what you are describing. If you are actually concerned about this, go complain about the accelerated middle school programs - which are largely designed to stick accelerated programs in the lowest performing schools so they can bring the grades up.

TJ also had its fair share of this stuff. I know some people a few years off from me who had class with a kid that would regularly masturbate in class. I know students who were preyed on by teachers.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#369

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> that is elitist especially because the point of college is education not to compete together as a team I don't understand how the latter implies the former ?

Colleges should aim to educate not compete with each other. The team analogy doesn’t work.

While I agree, I don't see being selective as necessarily being about a team competition. They have 100 applications for each spot; they have to select them.

FWIW: I recently saw the applications to several American elite colleges. All asked, one way or the other, 'how will our institution in particular help you in particular?', and 'how will you in particular contribute to our institution in particular?'. They seemed focused on the finding students who would benefit most and contribute most, not on a contest to see who gets the best credential.

Re: It’s time to break up the Ivy League cartel

#370

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Some top colleges now admit much more economically and ethnically diverse students. Yes, there are lots more black and Hispanic students than before, and since the universities refuse to share the data we can’t be sure that this increase in diversity mostly means more children of Nigerian doctors and Colombian lawyers, mostly paying full international student fees but that’s the way to bet. Regarding economic diver…

> Harvard[1], Yale[2], Princeton[3] Stanford[4] all have average family incomes above $160,000. That doesn't tell us if the economic diversity is increasing or decreasing. My understanding is that it is significantly increasing for (at least some) elite schools, but I don't have cites so ... > Selecting by standardized test scores would result in a substantially less socially elite student body than the current syste…

I’m aware of the general wisdom. If you can find any research supporting it my email is in my profile. Selecting by SAT and GPA alone would be very much against the interests of the socially elite. They wouldn’t be able to stop so many Asians getting in. See what happened in California after ending affirmative action in college admissions, a 20% jump in Asian admissions. That is the reason for the big push against the SAT and ACT. You can pay for higher grades by selecting the school with lower standards, you can pay for all the extracurriculars you want, you can lean on your connections for letters of recommendation but the gains from SAT tutoring and coaching are trivial no matter how much you pay. Holistic admissions is for the less gifted children of privilege.

The SAT, GRE, LSAT and similar lightly disguised IQ tests are designed to be as close to culture fair and uncoachable as possible and they do pretty well. Mostly the children of the well educated and rich get higher scores on them than the less fortunate for the same reason the children of professional basket players are tall. People resemble their parents.

The anecdote you recount about a question with a yacht never happened. The analogy question was removed in 2005[1].

[1] https://www.clearchoiceprep.com/sat-act-prep-blog/the-most-i...

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