Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010) • Hacker News Board

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#351

Post by Aperocky » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 4:57 PM UTC

TheKarateKid wrote: post #238

Aperocky wrote: post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Civil liberty and rule of law are orthogonal mostly. China has used a decade to make most court cases publicly accessible through internet, all corporation and their holding/debt status similarly accessible, a host of other governmental information available. While there are still a significant amount of corruption, the law enforcement would have been at most transparent in history. Civil Liberty is on a different tr…

And you actually believe the accuracy of those published documents?

Yes. Most of these are not related to politics at all, 99.9% of cases in China is the same as the west, traffic, violence, contract breach etc.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#352

Post by mbesto » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 4:59 PM UTC

moltar wrote: post #147

windowshopping wrote: post #119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is it not easier to start something now than ten years ago? I would say he was correct on that one.

Maybe analysis paralysis? Facebook was started as a silly php script. Now you “need” half of npm, react, backend, devops etc to get started.

> Now you “need” half of npm, react, backend, devops etc to get started.

Says who? You can literally spin up nearly any server computing infrastructure imaginable in a matter of seconds. Just because software is getting bloated under the covers, doesn't mean its any harder.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#353

Post by banads » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:11 PM UTC

DevKoala wrote: post #40

> Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp. That'll be a watershed moment: the politics of information are going to start being the kind of core liberal issue that environmental issues currently are. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025703 This poster saw it.

Is the politics of information a liberal issue? Other than their complaints about Russia, it doesn't seem like there's many speaking out against the inordinate political power wielded by information overlords like Facebook and Google

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#354

Post by crimsonalucard » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:20 PM UTC

dnautics wrote: post #166

crimsonalucard wrote: post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The majority of programming today is not functional at all. I think Functional programming became sort of a tertiary elitist buzzword similar to drunken style kung fu. The effectiveness of the style is well known among practitioners and those that don't practice it look upon it as if it was a foreign and strange art. What people don't realize is that functional programming is mixed martial arts. The art of combat bro…

> The majority of programming today is not functional at all. That's probably true. > I think there is little chance FP will become mainstream That's demonstrably not, as React has basically gone full FP. I would argue that the majority of bootcamp students are now taught functional programming.

Boot camp and react aren’t mainstream programming. Also react isn’t full FP.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#355

Post by arrosenberg » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:25 PM UTC

skinkestek wrote: post #199

arrosenberg wrote: post #187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Hillary Clinton. The Trump campaign claims their data operation is how they won in the Rust Belt.

To me it seems obvious that Hillary Clinton was the one who pulled (or pushed) the victory in Trumps direction, snatching defeat from the jaws of victory by some really interesting remarks about her core voters. (Disclaimer: Not an American, don't like Hillary Clinton and definitely not Donald Trump.)

I can see how one would get that impression based on our media, but it would be an oversimplification to say the least. The history of Hillary Clinton is too complex and long to get into for the purposes of this discussion.

Suffice to say the Trump campaign made a concerted effort to use data to target ads at specific groups in the Rust Belt with the intention of de-legitimizing her as a Presidential candidate.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#356

Post by igouy » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:27 PM UTC

jashmatthews wrote: post #121

ratww wrote: post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, it's pretty fast [1]. Chrome and V8 were released in 2008, and Node.js (which leverages V8) in 2009. V8 was already considered fast back then. Mozilla and Apple also focused on optimizing their JS stack in the following years. [1] I'm not a fan of linking to benchmarks, but that's the best I can do: https://benchmarksgame-team.pages.debian.net/benchmarksgame/... / https://benchmarksgame-team.pages.debian.net/benc…

Google’s marketing for Chrome and V8 was incredibly effective. We’ve basically forgotten that Mozilla, Adobe and Apple were pushing JS perf long before V8 was released. Memory usage of early V8 was atrocious and real world performance was barely improved over Safari and Firefox but Google dominated dev mindshare for a decade.

fwiw n-body 2009

10x JavaScript V8 211.76 secs

100x Ruby 1.9 #2 34 min

106x JavaScript TraceMonkey 36 min

http://web.archive.org/web/20090705014239/http://shootout.al...

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#357

Post by rjsw » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:35 PM UTC

netcan wrote: post #347

Quick listing some top predictions & my take on right/wrong Iran will Change : I’ll call it NO RFID-Everything : Basically NO… not in consumer-land, at least Cheap Flat Panel Displays : YES Ubiquitous & Wireless/Mobile: YES Ebooks Take Over & Pirates Win: NO. Surprisingly, the opposite happened. monolithic legal markets did really well. Electric Cars Event Horizon: ALMOST Driverless Cars Go Live: NO. Still No Fusion…

> RFID-Everything : Basically NO… not in consumer-land, at least

Contactless payment systems grew out of RFID, I would categorize that as a YES.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#358

Post by andrepd » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 5:43 PM UTC

rodolphoarruda wrote: post #340

spectramax wrote: post #230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One more to add: - Hong Kong's protests on scale that world has never seen

And the collapse (in a matter of weeks) of Chile as the most prosperous, richest, free/open society in Latin America.

Chile has massive income and wealth inequality. What good is being "rich" in terms of raw GDP if in practice that wealth goes to a small elite?

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#359

Post by jonny_eh » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 6:19 PM UTC

ancarda wrote: post #350

calcifer wrote: post #276

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"No Way To Prevent This", Says Only Nation Where This Regularly Happens [0] [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%27No_Way_To_Prevent_This,%27_...

On that thought, is there any way to prevent shootings without making guns harder or impossible for citizens to own? Seems many will not disarm in the US, so should we be exploring other options rather than repeatedly saying the US should be more like other countries?

Is it so bad to make guns as hard to own as a car? Simple licensing would go a long way to reduce the risk of guns.

https://www.vox.com/2019/9/11/20861019/gun-solution-backgrou...

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#360

Post by dash2 » Fri, Jan 03, 2020, 6:21 PM UTC

andrepd wrote: post #358

rodolphoarruda wrote: post #340

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And the collapse (in a matter of weeks) of Chile as the most prosperous, richest, free/open society in Latin America.

Chile has massive income and wealth inequality. What good is being "rich" in terms of raw GDP if in practice that wealth goes to a small elite?

Apparently quite a lot. Poverty has gone down six-fold in a generation: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.DDAY?end=2017&lo...