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The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

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Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#331
post #3

So.... For people who have followed this story more closely then i have, did the hostile actor ever get identified? Last i checked it was a toss up between USA, Israel and France, was a conclusion ever drawn?

If anything, France would be helping Iran. I don't think they had anything to do with this.

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#333

I'd argue that Google Search is much more sophisticated than Stuxnet. Windows is much more sophisticated. Linux is more sophisticated than Stuxnet. The list goes on. We tend to ignore the sophistication of things we are familiar with, and hype those that surprise. But that's not a fair measure of anything.

In my view, the sophistication is implied by the breadth of expertise required to put the whole thing together. Google Search and the OS landscape are for sure broad and sophisticated. However, their development was accomplished by computer scientists. In order for stuxnet to be effective, it was necessary to employ expertise in: - Uranium enrichment methods and processes - Capital equipment control systems and their…

Well, in the case of windows, I recall that maintaining backward compatibility with a variety of applications required a knowledge of the resource demands of each of those applications, with those applications each operating in a different domain. Similarly, creating memory allocators is something of a "black art" - it's a matter of generically good allocator but one which doesn't generate fragmented memory in "normal usage patterns" and then you have to learn what those normal usage patterns are, which involves understanding however many applications.

So the question of "sophistication" is both subtle and difficult to call.

Edit: And the production of a algorithm that's a conglomeration of ad-hoc processes might qualify as another sort of sophistication, see "the hardest program I ever wrote":

http://journal.stuffwithstuff.com/2015/09/08/the-hardest-pro... http://journal.stuffwithstuff.com/2015/09/08/the-hardest-pro...

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#334

I'd argue that Google Search is much more sophisticated than Stuxnet. Windows is much more sophisticated. Linux is more sophisticated than Stuxnet. The list goes on. We tend to ignore the sophistication of things we are familiar with, and hype those that surprise. But that's not a fair measure of anything.

The code base for the International Space Station is probably also VERY complex

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#335

Stuxnet changed history. Any "game of chicken" style equilibria is broken if the probability a nuclear actor's command and control drops below 100%. If there is even a 1% chance that when a Big Red Button is pushed the missiles fail to launch the game becomes unwinnable. Simulations of imperfect information in dynamic brinkmanship where both players are known to have advanced cyber capabilities results in a single dr…

After the first couple of sentences I came to the opposite conclusion: perhaps the greatest nuclear powers have all had their launch systems compromised already, and if people started pushing buttons nothing would happen. Comforting thought.

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#338

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is not everyone on the world stage is a rational game theory nerd that links to papers like we want them to be. Also 60 years of treating every other country as a box in a threat model to be manipulated against other boxes has been a completely unmitigated disaster, so maybe we should stop that.

> 60 years of treating every other country as a box in a threat model to be manipulated against other boxes has been a completely unmitigated disaster Has it? The last 60 years have been relatively peaceful, by historical standards.

You want to ask all those who lost their lives in any of the numerous conflicts. Only, because the big clash didn't happen (it nearly happened three times in 1983), this doesn't mean that there weren't any conflicts. E.g., the biggest air war in history, in Laos, even was conducted in secrecy, African politics is just a single mess, etc.

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#339

I'd argue that Google Search is much more sophisticated than Stuxnet. Windows is much more sophisticated. Linux is more sophisticated than Stuxnet. The list goes on. We tend to ignore the sophistication of things we are familiar with, and hype those that surprise. But that's not a fair measure of anything.

[deleted]

Re: The Stuxnet worm may be the most sophisticated software ever written

#340

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But do those things really contribute to the sophistication of the software? For example imagine some code written with no understanding of uranium enrichment: const int CENTRIFUGE_RPM = 500; And then some other code written with a deep understanding of uranium enrichment: const int CENTRIFUGE_RPM = 1203; Can you really say that the second bit of code is more "complex"? Same goes for stolen driver signing keys and so…

> const int CENTRIFUGE_RPM = 1203; As the linked article points out, it wasn't just raising the speed, it was raising it in a subtle enough way to ruin the process while other experts routinely monitored the system

Most importantly it worked very successfully. With Windows, Google search, or most of the others mentioned here, they have had a huge number of problems. The word used was "sophisticated." I think that also implies some level of near-flawlessness in the end result.
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