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A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

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Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#331
post #279
post #277

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> there is no way the insurance payout is anywhere near the actual cost of the satellite Why not?

Well, in this case it looks like it is $0 :-( https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/771409425475174400 https://twitter.com/pbdes/with_replies

He says it was covered under marine cargo insurance.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#332

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can get cheap consumer cameras now with pretty absurd zooms. The $600 Nikon P900 [1] has an 83x optical zoom lens, giving it the 35mm-equivalent focal length of 24-2000mm: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4SC_2yD6wKk . [1] https://www.bhphotovideo.com/c/product/1127274-REG/nikon_264...

How good is the photo quality? Is it close to entry-level DSLRs'?

Not even close to a DSLR. It uses a small compact-style sensor (6.17 x 4.55mm), which is about 14 times smaller than an APS-C sensor (e.g. Nikon D5500 at 23.5 mm x 15.6 mm).

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#333
post #168
post #141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not what happened - the rocket went out of control due to a software bug allowed by over-reliance on unit testing, and was quite properly deliberately destroyed. But yes, Cluster was run on the cheap, hence the use of the Ariane 5 test flight, and didn't have insurance.

"Over-reliance on unit testing"? I have a somewhat different read from the inquiry board report, which says it was a "systematic software design error." Yes, inadequate testing, and a belief the working code for Ariane 4 meant it was validated for Ariane 5 were certainly contributory, but I think it's unfair to single out an over-reliance on unit testing. The board argues that there was a bias towards believing the s…

You have quite fairly picked me up on a cheeky exaggeration.

Lots of things had to go wrong to cause the Ariane 5 failure - including bad handling of overflow, as you mention. But to my mind, the universal last line of defence against any kind of mistake is an integration test: put all of the parts of the system together, feed them real input, and verify that you get correct output. Arianespace did not do that.

Well, until they actually launched it. It was a test flight, right? It proved to be an essential and very effective test.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#334

Here's good video of the test/failure: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_BgJEXQkjNQ#t=1m10s

No sign of a fire extinguishing or pad deluge system, such as NASA had for the shuttle. Maybe Space-X needs that. Fire crews can't approach until the fire burns itself out - too toxic.

The point of those systems was to limit damage from vibration and rocket exhaust on a normal launch, not to allow the pad to withstand an explosion. (And SpaceX does have them as well; the pad deluge system is more visible than usual in this video of the Dragon pad-abort test, which was conducted at the same launch pad they use for Falcon 9s, though without the rocket itself or any of its mobile support equipment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1_FXVjf46T8 -- the large streams of water kick in a few seconds before the Dragon abort thrusters kick off.)

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#335
post #204

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It takes years to build a satellite, the bus, and every component is purposely built each component and the satellite itself goes through months of testing and even if they could build one within 6 months all of the contracts would expire by then which will require Spacecom to open the bids again. All of the contracts were based on AMOS-6 being operational by a given date, AMOS-6 has been "under construction" for pro…

That's why you always build two.

> That's why you always build two.

They very seldom do, at least for non-constellation projects. Cheaper just to pay the insurance premiums for loss of hardware and loss of earnings.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#336
post #309

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Updates... Elon tweeted: "Loss of Falcon vehicle today during propellant fill operation. Originated around upper stage oxygen tank. Cause still unknown. More soon." [1] SpaceX tweeted: "At approximately 9:07 am ET, during a standard pre-launch static fire test for the AMOS-6 mission, there was an anomaly at SpaceX's Cape Canaveral Space Launch Complex 40 resulting in loss of the vehicle. The anomaly originated around…

Upper stage, so, unrelated to the reused first stage. Rocketry is hard... And very unforgiving.

The first stage for this launch was brand new. They have not launched a reused stage yet (they just announced a contract with SES about such a launch).

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#337
post #183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not quite. The Broken Window Fallacy hinges on the fact that the son breaks the window for a reason that doesn't further any other economic cause. That is, he didn't break the window for research, so nothing new was gained from it. Resources were merely shifted from the shopkeeper to the glazier. When it comes to innovation, however, failure is often the impetus to more efficient design. Not only was that $200m shift…

You can't say that all mistakes are worthwhile just because they reach us that we shouldn't make those mistakes... We already knew that. That wasn't research, it was a prelaunch test, and it failed.

That's not what we're learning. We're learning how not to make those mistakes. That yields: 1) Lower risk launches in the future through better process and better design 2) Possibly cheaper/better hardware redesigned due to the issues uncovered today.

Yes, it is probably lower ROI than that payload getting into space, but it does mean it's not a total loss and not simply a broken window fallacy.

It's more akin to if the window maker also tried to learn/test harder to break windows with each one she installed. Then, each broken window would be an experimental outcome instead of just a lost window.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#338

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Let me point out in a nicer way what dogma1138 said below: Why would they want to do it in such a way when they could have stopped it just with formalities. I know Israel isn't right all the time but there is little reason to believe they are stupid.

Same reason they did a false flag bombing attempt on US and British targets in the 50s instead of simply asking for support?

"Same reason they did a false flag bombing attempt on US and British targets in the 50s instead of simply asking for support?"

-> This is not the 1950's

Enough with the conspiracy theories here. Unless you have some evidence and a strong thread of logic - please leave it be.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#339
post #61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There were no personal injuries, so I can't really be sad about a piece of electronics.

That's tons of work. Lots of heart and soul went into that. I can still be sad for people even if we didn't lose people.

The actual chips may have to be made again, but code that has been written once should be fine to just load on again.

Yeah it sucks, but it could have been a lot worse.

Re: A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket has exploded at Cape Canaveral

#340

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This disaster may have bigger implications for Spacecom. They were in the middle of being acquired by Beijing Xinwei and the successful launch of Amos 6 was supposed to be a factor in closing the deal[1]. I have no idea what blowing up on the pad means for the merger. 1. http://www.satellitetoday.com/technology/2016/08/24/spacecom...

It's irrational to argue that you would pull out of a merger because a 3rd party's rocket failure delayed a launch. Contracts almost invariably include escape clauses to avoid liability for matters that are outside the control of the parties. If the launch was already scheduled at the time of the merger agreement (which seems likely, a rocket launch is not the sort of thing you arrange at the last minute) then Beijin…

"It's irrational to argue that you would pull out of a merger because a 3rd party's rocket failure delayed a launch."

Maybe, maybe not. A lot of things intertwined - moreover, M&A is not the most rational area of business.

Also - one side may 'cancel', huff and puff about it, then use it as a premise to come back to the table and negotiate a much better deal.

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