The fact that people here are looking at these numbers and saying "this is fine" is absolutely bonkers. Basically, it's a company that's not sustainable for two separate reasons. The first one is that they have an extremely high overhead. SG&A of 55% is really bad. The seconds reason is that their R&D costs are truly astronomical. They could probably cut those costs to some extent, but they're not going to cut them t…
They're not really losing ground to Anthropic. 5.5 was a bit better than 4.8. Fable was good, and was a jump over 4.8, but only incremental over 5.5. Anthropic is also likely losing money, right?
OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
311–320 of 425 posts
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#312Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#313Earlier quoted context omitted.
Everyone else will be 5% more productive. Then no one is "more" productive. So everyone has a higher output, but the same wages and hours worked. There was only a gap when usable AI first came out, some contractors could do the same quantity of work in less time and enjoy time off or do more jobs. Now the gap has closed or is closing. And using AI now is more about not being less productive than peers who do use it.
That's not how productivity works. It's not a zero-sum game. If all construction workers can build houses 5% more efficiently, that's not the same as nothing changing. Depending on supply and demand, it means 5% more houses are built, or houses are 5% cheaper, or maybe 5% bigger, or some combination. Whether or not the construction workers all get a raise or 5% get fired (or both) depends on that supply and demand, b…
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#314Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is the venture model now though. Spend until profitable. Uber did it. It seems OpenAI could do it as well given we seem to be in a 2 horse race for foundation models and having capital to get better pushes them further ahead. Gemini is number 3 in this race
Uber’s situation was different, though. The reason Uber were bleeding money is because they purposefully made all their rides cheap to undercut the taxi businesses. People used Uber because it was cheaper than renting a taxi. Now you can’t really find taxis anywhere, even at airports it’s a lot more difficult than it used to be. Once the taxi business was disrupted enough, Uber’s pricing skyrocketed and customers had…
They just consistently cost more and have worse service even after uber increased prices.
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#315Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's not how productivity works. It's not a zero-sum game. If all construction workers can build houses 5% more efficiently, that's not the same as nothing changing. Depending on supply and demand, it means 5% more houses are built, or houses are 5% cheaper, or maybe 5% bigger, or some combination. Whether or not the construction workers all get a raise or 5% get fired (or both) depends on that supply and demand, b…
Why would the company pay more when they can just not pay more? The only things I can see happening is they might lower prices as competition ramps up, or in general as there is more supply for the same cost.
To try and explain one path: Company A doesn't raise wages but makes 5% more money. Company B pivots from Industry B into construction (because suddenly construction is having 5% fatter margins), and hires workers at more competitive wages to poach them from Company A. Company A forces to raise wages.
If there's a demand ceiling on housing it's a different story though.
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#316Earlier quoted context omitted.
This. The fact that no one seems to understand that Anth and OAI don’t have a moat is beyond me.
Or they do. If their moat is so weak, where's Grok and Gemini in this race?
Grok is only used when you want to sexually harass people on Twitter.
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#317Earlier quoted context omitted.
That's not how productivity works. It's not a zero-sum game. If all construction workers can build houses 5% more efficiently, that's not the same as nothing changing. Depending on supply and demand, it means 5% more houses are built, or houses are 5% cheaper, or maybe 5% bigger, or some combination. Whether or not the construction workers all get a raise or 5% get fired (or both) depends on that supply and demand, b…
Why would the company pay more when they can just not pay more? The only things I can see happening is they might lower prices as competition ramps up, or in general as there is more supply for the same cost.
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#318I'm really curious about something: how far will you go to support AI? Clearly they'll need to monetize things further, would you still use [whatever AI you are paying for] if the price was doubled? Tripled? Where would you stop and would you stop using AI altogether or would you look at competitors?
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#319The fact that people here are looking at these numbers and saying "this is fine" is absolutely bonkers. Basically, it's a company that's not sustainable for two separate reasons. The first one is that they have an extremely high overhead. SG&A of 55% is really bad. The seconds reason is that their R&D costs are truly astronomical. They could probably cut those costs to some extent, but they're not going to cut them t…
These companies are clearly calling things that are R&D that aren't R&D. If you're building a model that lasts a few months before it's no longer the most current one, and maybe a year before it's completely unusable by anybody, then that should just be COGS. Doing that, however, would betray the real problem with this business model.
Re: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, with Spending Hitting $34B
#320Earlier quoted context omitted.
I’d easily pay multiple hundreds. Possibly a thousand a month. If I were really forced to. LLMs provide me about the same value as a car does.
Paying a thousand a month for a car is also very stupid.
How many months is this car loan? What was the down payment? What's the interest rate? We haven't even asked what kind of car it is yet.