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I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

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Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#31

Post by risyachka »

agentifysh wrote: post #3

The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. Same situation with internet, we saw a bubble but ultimately those that changed their business around it monopolized various industries where they were slow to react. Some jobs will be replaced outright but most will use AI tools and we might see reduced wages/positions available for a very long time…

Everyone uses or will use ai, there is no learning curve so this is not an advantage

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#32

Post by angst_ridden »

righthand wrote: post #15
agentifysh wrote: post #3

The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. Same situation with internet, we saw a bubble but ultimately those that changed their business around it monopolized various industries where they were slow to react. Some jobs will be replaced outright but most will use AI tools and we might see reduced wages/positions available for a very long time…

Have you considered the inverse? Those who use AI as tool today will be replaced by those that aren't tomorrow.

Those who know how to fix the messes made by AI today will replace those who don't tomorrow.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#34

Post by nosianu »

frde_me wrote: post #11
AuthAuth wrote: post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI tools will get easier and easier to use. There will be no skill level required to use them effectively.

Has this been true for any technology, ever? In that the curve of skill to output quality will be completely flat? I would be suspicious of this claim.

> Has this been true for any technology, ever?

Yes?

Try abacus, slide rules or mechanical calculating machines vs electronic calculators.

Or ancient vs modern computers and software. They didn't even have "end-users" like we understand them now, every computer user was a specialist.

Programming.

Writing. Quill vs. ballpen, but also alphabets vs what you had to write before.

Photography, more than one big jump in usability. Film cameras, projectors/screens.

Transportation: From navigation to piloting aircraft or cars. Originally you had to be a part-time mechanic.

Many advanced (i.e. more complex than e.g. a hammer) tools in manufacturing or at home.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#35

Post by xoac »

criley2 wrote: post #28
bigstrat2003 wrote: post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. That's not a robust prediction. Many people who don't use AI today simply don't do so because they've tried it, and found it subtracts value. Those people will not be replaced tomorrow, they will merely reevaluate the tool and start using it if it has started to add value.

If jobs were based on self-perceived value addition there would never be a layoff ever Your executive team is going to "remove" non-AI folks regardless of their claims about efficiency. Just like they forced you to return to office while ignoring the exact same efficiency claims. They had realestate to protect. Now they have AI to protect.

I upvoted both posts

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#36

Post by yesfitz »

frde_me wrote: post #11
AuthAuth wrote: post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI tools will get easier and easier to use. There will be no skill level required to use them effectively.

Has this been true for any technology, ever? In that the curve of skill to output quality will be completely flat? I would be suspicious of this claim.

Skill to effective output quality.

I'm sure there are people who are more skilled at using a cell phone than I am. It doesn't matter.

Similarly, we all have had co-workers or friends who aren't very good at using search engines. They still use them and largely still have jobs.

Now that I think of it, most regularly-used technology is like this. Cars, dishwashers, keyboards, electric shavers. There is a baseline level of skill required for operation, but the marginal benefits for being more skilled than the baseline drop off pretty quickly.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#37

Post by aj_hackman »

dinobones wrote: post #24

I’ve felt the same. Also the AGI outcome for software engineers is: A) In 5 years no real improvement, AI bubble pops, most of us are laid off. B) In 5 years near—AGI replaces most software engineers, most of us are laid off. Woohoo. Lose-lose scenario! No matter how you imagine this AI bubble playing out, the musics going to stop eventually.

The glee I see in many people over this possibility is quite chilling.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#38

Post by rvz »

quirkot wrote: post #26
Avicebron wrote: post #22

I pretty much agree but using "As an AI engineer myself" or a variation of that in your blog post should get you ridiculed. Who exactly are you trying to impress/differentiate yourself from?

I think he's trying to differentiate himself from all the people who are not AI engineers

Problem is, he isn't even remotely an AI engineer™ himself.

The entire article is a complete joke and is ragebait.

Flagged.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#39

Post by tines »

mgrandl wrote: post #19
frde_me wrote: post #11

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Has this been true for any technology, ever? In that the curve of skill to output quality will be completely flat? I would be suspicious of this claim.

Does everything always need precedence?

Thank you. AI is different from tools we've seen before. There won't always be a precedent to refer to.
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