Hacker News Board Hacker News, browsed like a classic message board
Live data from Hacker News

I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

verdikapuku.com

Post reply on HN
Print view View original

21–30 of 75 posts

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#21

Post by dmitrygr »

AuthAuth wrote: post #8
agentifysh wrote: post #3

The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. Same situation with internet, we saw a bubble but ultimately those that changed their business around it monopolized various industries where they were slow to react. Some jobs will be replaced outright but most will use AI tools and we might see reduced wages/positions available for a very long time…

AI tools will get easier and easier to use. There will be no skill level required to use them effectively.

Just like internet... completely safe to use, no malicious downloads, no scams to spot, totally safe and easy to use with no skill...oh wait...

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#24

Post by dinobones »

I’ve felt the same. Also the AGI outcome for software engineers is:

A) In 5 years no real improvement, AI bubble pops, most of us are laid off. B) In 5 years near—AGI replaces most software engineers, most of us are laid off.

Woohoo. Lose-lose scenario! No matter how you imagine this AI bubble playing out, the musics going to stop eventually.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#25

Post by jeswin »

This has already been discussed so many times. No good discussion will come out of this - and it'll just be people moping.

There's much better content on Show HN, one of which won't hit the homepage because this has more votes. It's a problem that HN has to fix - people upvote because they agree, and that vote carries the same weight as another which required far more effort (trying a product, looking at code etc).

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#26

Post by quirkot »

Avicebron wrote: post #22

I pretty much agree but using "As an AI engineer myself" or a variation of that in your blog post should get you ridiculed. Who exactly are you trying to impress/differentiate yourself from?

I think he's trying to differentiate himself from all the people who are not AI engineers

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#27

Post by Lerc »

kittikitti wrote: post #5

None of the predictions have any substance. It's always vague. Where are the ideas around which algorithms will be next after Transformers? Why is there no thought around the real planning on HBM memory and what we will do with the increased throughput? The forecasts, as the author aptly mentioned, are for the headlines.

Algortithms: State space models, diffusion models, KANs, hierarchical attention. There are no shortage of ideas. Determining what works well is a process that is going on right now.

The question on planning on HBM is too vague to really address, but people are separately working on providing more bandwidth, using more bandwidth, and figuring out how to not need so much bandwidth.

Re: I am just sooo sick of AI prediction content, let's kill it already

#28

Post by criley2 »

bigstrat2003 wrote: post #20
agentifysh wrote: post #3

The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. Same situation with internet, we saw a bubble but ultimately those that changed their business around it monopolized various industries where they were slow to react. Some jobs will be replaced outright but most will use AI tools and we might see reduced wages/positions available for a very long time…

> The only prediction that I think is robust is: Those who use AI as tool today will replace those that aren't tomorrow. That's not a robust prediction. Many people who don't use AI today simply don't do so because they've tried it, and found it subtracts value. Those people will not be replaced tomorrow, they will merely reevaluate the tool and start using it if it has started to add value.

If jobs were based on self-perceived value addition there would never be a layoff ever

Your executive team is going to "remove" non-AI folks regardless of their claims about efficiency.

Just like they forced you to return to office while ignoring the exact same efficiency claims. They had realestate to protect. Now they have AI to protect.

Post reply on HN