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WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

wtfhappenedin1971.com

281–290 of 477 posts

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#281
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And energy is a massive component in the price of almost everything we consume. Is it really? What would be different if energy was much cheaper? Would we have more advanced rockets or robots or phones? Better CPUs? More and cheaper housing built in dense cities? Cheaper education or medicine? More job security? Even more food? I realize that energy is an important input into some industrial processes, but I don't…

It was only a single point of the OP's that you're targeting but I have to agree (I agree with other OP points though). Would a lower energy cost bring wages up? No reason to believe that would be the case. Would it lower the cost of goods so that at least the working poor could have a better standard of living? Perhaps, but how much of the cost of a good is the energy, how much labor and raw materials? Would we see…

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=36754 claims about 5% of GDP is energy costs. It is on a mild downward trend since increasing since the 1970s.

Considering that percentage is higher than margins in quite a few businesses I'd say it has a limiting effect on the economy.

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#283

The beginning of the failed neoliberal politics.

Social welfare spending, as a percentage of GDP, has massively increased since 1972. On the regulatoey side, major regulatory agencies, including the OSHA and EPA, were also created in the 1970s. Every broad-based measure of regatory burden shows increasing since 1971. So if anything, post 1971 United States has demonstrated the failure of abandoning economic liberalism in favor of central economic planning.

Taxes on the wealthy have decreased substantially in the US since the 50's. Even if social welfare spending is increasing, the wealthy are paying for less of it then they did before the 70's.

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#284
post #239

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If gas was $.10 / gallon, everything we consume would be cheaper because every single thing we buy is transported in trucks. A huge portion of what you pay for at the supermarket is the raw cost of getting a good to the shelf from the farm/factory. If gas was $.10/gallon, cars would be cheaper. We wouldn't need ridiculously complex gas engines tuned to yield another 1 mpg, or electric cars with $30,000 of Lithium-ion…

And we could destroy the habitable world even more rapidly than we're doing. Sounds great.

Yes, but that's besides the point.

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sounds like you are going down with the ship. Its completely irrational to believe you can print yourself into prosperity. I could just as easily point to Tech stocks, Tesla, gold, silver, bitcoin or any other inflated commodity as a counterpoint.

> Its completely irrational to believe you can print yourself into prosperity. This is clearly a straw man. MMT provides an alternative theoretical basis that might explain the apparent disconnect between money supply and inflation: https://www.investopedia.com/modern-monetary-theory-mmt-4588... > According to MMT, the only limit the government has when it comes to spending is the availability of real resources, like…

MMT promises money for nothing and the debt for free. The idea isn't modern - its just debasement with a new name. As old as humanity.

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#286

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People always underestimate the cost of regulations. Even when good, the cost is big. Health care is a good example. Keeping patient data private is a good thing. However it’s also absolutely crushing in its impact in the industry. Tiny projects can take months or years. HIPPA terrifies so many IT people. Driving away top developers.

I'm OK with the "Move Fast & Break Shit" crowd staying far from my medical history thankyouverymuch.

"move fast and break things" was Facebook's internal engineering motto when I started working there, but it was later (~2016) changed to "move fast and be bold"). The new motto is really just saying what the old motto meant but in a less hyperbolic way.

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#287

The author obviously wants you to believe that it was the abandonment of the gold standard, but there are several other theories that have more credence with mainstream economists. The early 70's was the start of a horrible period of stagflation: stagnation coupled with inflation. Some do blame the loss of the gold standard, but the leading theory is the OPEC oil crisis. Others blame market regulations, the EPA was p…

Or it could be that the stats are cherry-picked and there is no decoupling.

The concept of household income is fuzzy and not necessarily related to rewards to labor. Measuring by hours is the appropriate way to measure. Among other issues.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottwinship/2014/10/20/has-ine...

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#289
post #246

The author obviously wants you to believe that it was the abandonment of the gold standard, but there are several other theories that have more credence with mainstream economists. The early 70's was the start of a horrible period of stagflation: stagnation coupled with inflation. Some do blame the loss of the gold standard, but the leading theory is the OPEC oil crisis. Others blame market regulations, the EPA was p…

> The author obviously wants you to believe that it was the abandonment of the gold standard How is that obvious? I see a lot of data, but not many conclusions. And even the data presented doesn't seem to me to present a particularly compelling case that it was the abandonment of the gold standard, among the many, many historically pivotal things that happened in or around 1971, that caused the systemic changes that…

The quote at the end of the page is suggestive, both for its content and its authorship:

> “I don’t believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can’t take it violently out of the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can’t stop.” – F.A. Hayek 1984

Re: WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)

#290
post #18

Amazed that the site does not call out Nixon completely abandoning the gold standard in 1971. Financial investments thusly did not need to be backed by actual assets anymore, to the point of today where the whole of money is loans against loans against loans.

That theory would explain financial gains going up faster (eg the pie getting bigger, more return to capital), but not a stall in wages for workers. Worker productivity went up, but wages for workers did not. ~1970 is about when the % of workers in unions really started to fall in the US.

> but not a stall in wages for workers

see: https://news.ycombinator.com/reply?id=25189476&goto=item%3Fi...

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