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China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

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Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

About re-education camps and imprisonment for being critical of the government. Horrible acts are occasionally better than the alternative, if you think of the number of lives lost compared to the number of lives saved. I am not sure that these actions by the Chinese government are perfectly justified by this argument. But I think it's possible . Often, governments fall and civil wars start from a tiny spark of seemi…

What's up with Yugoslavia? Last war (genocide really) was stopped and it's now in one of the most peaceful periods of its history. Also, what's wrong with Georgia? The revolution there made lifes of people immeasurably better and gave the country huge push. It seems that you are arguing in bad faith. The problem with organ harvesting isn't that they harvest them from those sentenced to death; it's the discrepancy bet…

I didn't mean that Georgia and Yugoslavia are doing badly now. I meant that the civil war there erupted from very minor issues, and it was very painful to the generation that experienced it. I have those places as examples of how easy a seemingly stable country can fall into chaos.

In a country like China, US, or Russia, it's much harder to stop a civil war or chaos, and the damage from that is immeasurably greater. So avoiding it is really important.

I didn't understand what you meant about the discrepancy. If you don't mind explaining, I'd appreciate.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#262
post #237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Human rights are not US-norms, there are many pitfalls that have been detected in last couple of centuries in the US and in representative democracies all over the world. Supressing freedom of speach, basic economic freedoms, due process... lead invariably to disaster, being it dictatorships, coups, generalized corruption, etc. There is nothing special with Chinese people that makes dictatorship good for them while i…

> Human rights are not US-norms In the main, they are not. But they are general platitudes, whose interpretation is left to the individual countries, and is subject to the power relations between them. A country, then, might be seen accusing or even bombing another (supposedly) in defense of those rights, when itself doesn't follow them. > There is nothing special with Chinese people that makes dictatorship good for…

If only it was so simple. First, there are different concepts of what's OK and what's not. A crude example: US people don't like kings.

It is so simple because I'm not talking about US people and what they like. Not everybody in a country likes the same things... that does seem like too much simplification btw.

I'm talking about flaws that make a political system a tyranny. And they're the same for every country as History has repeteadly shown.

there could very well something special with China as a country, and it's constitution of people's, history, antagonisms, etc, that a change would unleash hell.

It's difficult, but by no means impossible to make a peaceful transition from dictatorships to democracy. There are many examples: Spain, Portugal, many South American countries, East Europe... most likely cause of hell unleashing is nothing cultural or historic, but money.

The West has been externalizing manufactures to China the same way we've been buying oil from Saudi Arabia. Those regimes are now armored with tons of money from any pressure to open.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or alternatively space warfare will trigger Kessler Syndrome, and we'll be trapped on this planet until we find a way to clean up all the debris.

The risk of Kessler Syndrome is being exaggerated a lot on HN. These new, very large satellite constellations aren't in stable orbits, they only last for a few years before decaying naturally. So even if every satellite there were to be destroyed by some magical event, the debris would re-enter the atmosphere within at most a couple of years. It would be quite bad if geostationary orbits became unusable, but there ar…

You might want to double-check your claim about orbits -- everything but SpaceX's 2nd constellation is not in orbits that "only last a few years".

  Iridium: 781 km
  O3b: 8000 km
  OneWeb: 1200 km
  Starlink: 1,125 km and 340 km

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#264

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because keeping a large diverse country stable and safe is very difficult, and a failure causes enormous tragedy. The approach that works to keep the US stable does not always work well in other countries. To keep the billion people who live in China safe from civil war and rampant terrorism is already a great achievement -- even it comes at the expense of some nice things such as human rights. In fact, China manages…

Unfortunately there is a false equivalence in your post: you implicitly equate "prosperity of a family" with "having a huge all-powerful nation state". There is no such link; if anything, life of Russians improved after the collapse of USSR (undoubtedly in a middle term, arguably even in a short term; source: am Russian). That equivalency is a linchpin of any aspiring fascist state. Please try and question it, you wi…

They are not always equivalent. But in the case of China, changing from the current state to some new form of government carries a high risk of a prolonged chaos, which would destroy safety and prosperity for most families.

Russia risked that chaos, but it had little choice: the USSR was a complete economic disaster. If China today was as bad economically as the USSR in 1985, a big part of my argument would disappear.

In some limited sense, I might even say that the Chinese economy today with the old regime is more promising than the Russian economy today after all the changes. And even if I'm wrong on that, still the Chinese economy is at least decent. So the people in China have a lot more to lose from chaos than the people in the USSR did.

Another thing. You're saying Russia is in a better state today than 30 years ago. Yes, but Russia is governed by a strongman, who doesn't allow much political dissent. Are you sure that without him Russia wouldn't be in chaos?

And if you think that what is going on in Russia is an acceptable compromise, then why would you be uncomfortable with the Chinese government? The difference is not that great.

By the way, authoritarian governments had been around for millennia before fascism was even a thing. I don't see why you would equate the two.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

1) Absolutely agree, the Chinese government after the war was absolutely horrendous. That, however, is only slightly relevant to the question of what to do today. 2) You can always use the excuse "I don't want a billion people that I care about to go through the hell that is Syria." 3) I don't rule out that possibility at all. I'm just saying the risk that it won't work seems too high given how bad the outcome would…

It's a false dichotomy, as e.g. the prospering former East Bloc countries who are now part of the EU demonstrate.

Of course it's possible. And much better examples of that are post war Japan and Germany. The changes there literally made them global leaders.

I'm not saying it's impossible. I'm saying it's risky, especially for China which hasn't had a history of being successful without an authoritarian government. And which had a terrible history of chaos when it didn't have a strong government.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#266

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When people rhapsodize about the aesthetic appeal of densely packed cities, I always wonder how that translates into quality of life for the majority of residents, especially those below the poverty line.

Poverty exists within cities and without. I’m not sure how suburban sprawl is helpful to those in poverty.

Maybe it doesn't cause poverty so much as it allows you to see poverty, so it's natural to assume that cities must have created it.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#267
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Probably referring to the hatred many in the United States have towards urban development. In pretty much every city in the United States development has been slowed to a crawl due to zoning restrictions, despite increasing huge demand. People love to use SF as a prime example but I will point to my city, Somerville MA where rents have been soaring, yet there are only 22 lots that meet the residential zoning requirem…

> In pretty much every city in the United States development has been slowed to a crawl You don't think that's far too much of a generalization? Houston has added a city the size of San Francisco since 1980. Austin and Charlotte doubled in size since 1990, and are both now comparable to SF in size. Las Vegas grew by 140% or so since 1990. Seattle's population curve goes vertical the last decade, they added about 16%…

There overwhelming evidence that labor mobility has decreased drastically over recent decades, that this is a tremendous drag on economic growth, and that local land use restrictions are a primary cause of it.

http://neighborhoodeffects.mercatus.org/2017/01/26/why-the-l...

https://www.citylab.com/equity/2017/06/the-other-side-of-har...

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

there are a number of mounting structural dangers though. Due to decades of the one child policy, their population is rapidly aging, without a strong youth base to replace them. China, though nominally a communist state, has no social safety net akin to Social Security for the elderly. Additionally, their economic rise has contributed to higher wages and hence a relatively weaker position in the price sensitive globa…

Hence their concerted focus on upgrading and automating their industry. They're aiming for more production for domestic consumption (enticing their middle class buy Chinese rather than foreign brands) and higher value-added exports.

I've mentioned this elsewhere — everyone points to automation as the savior, but where is the Chinese Bosch? As far as I can tell, they still rely primarily on companies from the US, Japan, and Germany for their automated heavy industry.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#269

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The ruling ethnic elite (and fully 91.51% of the population as of 2010) are Han Chinese, and you could say they enforce somewhat of an ethnostate. Foreigners cannot become citizens even if they marry a native Chinese and contribute to their economy.

Pretty strong cases have been made that the Han Chinese ethnicity is an invention. This makes some sense given China's pre-CCP plethora of wildly different languages, and quite distinct appearance differences between provinces. That's hard to explain if one adopts the "majority ethnicity" view. Of course, from a practical perspective, once everyone believes the myth then it's a de facto reality https://www.hrichina.o…

"Han is a social construct" doesn't change the fact that they operate as a de facto ethnostate that keeps foreigners out and their more phenotypically distinct ethnic minorities out of power.

Re: China's Xinjiang surveillance is the dystopian future nobody wants

#270

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The idea that lack of direct political participation must entail repression is very much a modern Western mindset. As a Chinese-American, I see both sides of this issue, but China's own long political development sees the role of the state explicitly as a paternal protector. The state represents and protects the people's interests, without their explicit participation. This is obviously alien to a modern Western mind…

To frame democracy as a "Western mindset" is naive, democracy is a global value devoid of geographical distinctions. This kind of thinking is also used as a defensive tool against real debate about the morality of what China does. What Britain or the US did in the 18th or 19th century is not relevant to the discussion, what matters is today. It is not a Western mindset to think that lack of participation in the polit…

> To frame democracy as a "Western mindset" is naive

Who invented democracy? Who were its earliest proponents, and later 'rediscoverers' and adopters during the late Enlightenment? Does not the culture and the government co-evolve with one another over time, such that they form a single functioning unit?

On the contrary, it is the idea that the formal system of government can be completely shorn of the context of the society and the cultural mores from which they arise that is naive.

The failure of the majority of states outside of the West to be democracies in actual fact even when they have the formal process of elections should demonstrate that simply imposing a foreign system of rule on a nation that has no experience with it is highly unwise. How well have the democracies in Iraq and Afghanistan turned out?

I find it pretty surprising that you speak with such certainty and conviction about Western liberal democracy when the

I'll leave you with this quote from Aristotle, who certainly believed there was a relationship between the people and the form of governance they could attain:

"The nations inhabiting the cold places and those of Europe are full of spirit but somewhat deficient in intelligence and skill, so that they continue comparatively free, but lacking in political organization and capacity to rule their neighbors. The peoples of Asia on the other hand are intelligent and skillful in temperament, but lack spirit, so that they are in continuous subjection and slavery. But the Greek race participates in both characters, just as it occupies the middle position geographically, for it is both spirited and intelligent; hence it continues to be free and to have very good political institutions, and to be capable of ruling all mankind if it attains constitutional unity." [1]

Agree or disagree with his (perhaps chauvinistic) assessment of his own people, but he at least realizes that governmental forms do not exist in a vacuum.

> This kind of thinking is also used as a defensive tool against real debate about the morality of what China does.

I would love to have a moral debate about what China is doing, but that would require moving beyond a reactive 'they are not a democracy, and hence automatically wrong'. I am saying this as a Chinese person whose family personally greatly suffered during the Cultural Revolution.

Let's have a real conversation about, what the proper role of government is, what its ends ought to be, and how that interacts with the experience of its host civilization and its history.

[1] http://www.perseus.tufts.edu/hopper/text?doc=Perseus%3Atext%...

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