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Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

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Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#261

This $27.8 billion dollar valuation tells me that somewhere along the line, my job and lifestyle have caused me to detach from a significant chunk of society. I've never used Snap or their platform. I don't even really know what the benefit of their service. I am curious if I'm in the minority or if there's lots of developers like me who aren't able to comprehend these valuations.

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Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The MySpace argument is tired and stale and not even that insightful. MySpace made several mistakes as a company that had nothing to do with their premise (connecting people, the same as Facebook). It just turned out that Facebook had better execution in the long run.

Just because the myspace argument is stale doesn't mean it's wrong. I don't know if you remember how that went down, but people loved myspace. It worked well, then all the cool kids jumped to Facebook. It was herd mentality. Definitely a trend situation over product features. With network effects, you live by the sword and you die by the sword.

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Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like most social networks, getting value from it depends on following high-quality content creators. Mark Suster is a good one on Snapchat.

I thought the value of social networks was mostly in following your friends?

Most of the value I get from Twitter, Instagram, and Whale is from people I don't know in real life. Facebook is the only social network for me that's mostly real life friends.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#264
post #257

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It could be an indicator that a lot of people invest without regard for foundational questions like "does this valuation make sense" or "does my ownership interest grant me any control of the company?" And I'll be the first to raise my hand on that front. On the face of it, I'm not really interested in owning a stock like this. But I've stopped picking stocks entirely, now I just invest in the stock market through in…

Is Snap big enough that indexes tracking the S&P 500 would buy up Snap? If not, what index funds would?

...very much so. The minimum market cap for S&P is 5B, Snap is currently 6 times that.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#265

Economics novice here. How did we get such a huge difference (40%!) between the IPO price and the current price, when both sides had $3.4 billion at stake on getting that price "right"? Is there some huge information disparity here? Moreover, if investors feel that $24 a share is a fair price, why weren't they swooping in before the IPO and, say, offering $20 a share for the whole chunk? Sorry if this seems like a ri…

A big % of the shares purchased at the IPO price came with a requirement to hold the shares for at least 6 months. The people that bought on the open market today can sell whenever they feel like it. Not having that requirement is worth something. That explains part of the delta.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> And yesterday on eBay, 22 pairs of Spectacles were sold, with one pair went for $229 and 2 others went for $200 each... Snapchat isn't making any additional money from the Spectacles resellers though.

The point is Snap knows how to make things people want. Contrast with GearVRs or Oculus Rifts. They're not selling for above retail on eBay.

I don't think scarcity indicates anything more than a supply-demand imbalance. Some people buy products in this area just to resell even if they don't actually want it. It's tough to make an apples to apples comparison when one company artificially limited the early supply while the others didn't.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#268

Can someone comment as to what kind of payday this IPO translates to for say the 30th engineer hired by Snap? (I realize that this is impossible to answer accurately, and that there is still a 4 month lockup)

Interviewed with Snapchat about 3-4 years ago (sub-100 employees). Did not get an offer, but their interview process was pretty standard and professional. They were giving out 0.001% equity at the time. I'd say it would come out to 250k-500k, but it's very hard to extrapolate.

They were already a mega hit with like 10 employees so I doubt anyone that hasn't been there super early (like first 5 employees) will become a millionaire off this IPO.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#269

Looks like they are going to close with a market cap approximately three times that of Twitter...

It's interesting to compare the two IPOs. Twitter opened at $26 and closed at $44 at a valuation of $25bn. Twitter had $650M revenue in 2013 for EBITDA of -$525M. Snap closed at $28bn valuation, had $404M in revenue in 2016, and EBITDA of -$460M. Twitter had roughly 100M DAUs and 230M MAU whereas Snap has 150M DAU and over 300M MAU. Snap is also 2 years younger than Twitter was and the number of minutes spent on the platform per user is much higher.

So, all the numbers are wacky and who knows.

Re: Snap Jumps in Debut After App Maker Raises $3.4B in IPO

#270
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So now we know that there is atleast some appetite for shares with no controlling interest and no indication of paying out a dividend any time soon. A current market cap of 30 Billion is a pretty darn big accomplishment! This is really disturbing. I don't know if its an indicator of too much money in the market, or just the fact that the market itself has expanded so much. Why would investors be OK with losing powe…

Note that Google and Facebook have effectively the same level of founder control, albeit with different implementation details. Google even had to issue a new share class in 2014 so that the company could issue more shares without the founders giving up voting control. Snap's approach seems like a more robust long-term way of telling investors that they don't have a say in things.

Yeah, that was especially shady IMO, and I was surprised back then as well. But I thought that was an exceptional case since it was the only company doing that, and it is so profitable etc. But if companies/founders can get away with this, what stops it from becoming the standard?
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