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Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

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Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#251
post #207

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AI is truly perfect for internal tooling. Security is less or no concern, bugs are more acceptable, performance / scalability rarely a concern. Quickest way to get things done, and speed up production development, MVP development etc.

> Security is less or no concern [waits for chickens to come home to roost]

Anthropic seems to be doing fine :)

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#252

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have some coworker who says something similar, he vibe coded tons of cryptic code, which indeed solves some problem though could be way more compact and well structured. Now it is hitting complexity limitation, since llm now cant comprehend it, and human cant comprehend it by large a margin.

Just wait a month, Opus 4.8 will comprehend it for sure.

it will comprehend it well enough to complicate it further into a rats-nest that only Opus 4.9 can comprehend, and so on. Good luck if you run into a bug before the N+1 version launches.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You know what's also really hard in a vacuum? Dissipating heat Correct. The economics of space-based DCs comes down to permitting delays versus radiator mass. At ISS-weight radiators (12 to 15 W/kg (EDIT: kg/kW)), you need almost decade-long delays on the ground (or 10+ percent interest rates) to make lifting worthwhile. Get down to current state-of-the-art in the 5 to 10 W/kg (EDIT: kg/kW) range, however, and you…

Would you want more wattage per kg for a better radiator?

[deleted]

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#254

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s what’s needed when you go from $9B in ARR … to $30B in ARR literally just one quarter later . That kind of insane growth & demand is unprecedented at that scale. https://www.anthropic.com/news/google-broadcom-partnership-c...

What is all this AI doing? People are spending 10’s to 100’s of billions and no service or technology seems better or cheaper. Everything is more expensive and worse.

Where I work:

- Development velocity is very noticeably much higher across the board. Quality is not obviously worse, but it's LLM assisted, not vibe coding (except for experiments and internal tools).

- Things that would have been tactically built with TypeScript are now Rust apps.

- Things that would have been small Python scripts are full web apps and dashboards.

- Vibe coding (with Claude Desktop, nobody is using Replit or any of the others) is the new Excel for non tech people.

- Every time someone has any idea it's accompanied by a multi page "Clauded" memo explaining why it's a great idea and what exactly should be done (about 20% of which is useful).

- 80% of what were web searches now go to Claude instead (for at least a significant minority of people, could easily be over 50%).

- Nobody talks about ChatGPT any more. It's Claude or (sometimes) Gemini.

- My main job isn't writing code but I try to keep Claude Code (both my personal and corpo accounts) and OpenCode (also almost always Claude, via Copilot) busy and churning away on something as close to 100% of the time as I can without getting in the way of my other priorities.

We (~20 people) are probably using 2 orders of magnitude more inference than we were at the start of the year and it's consolidated away from cursor, ChatGPT and Claude to just be almost all Claude (plus a little Gemini as that's part of our Google Whateverspace plan and some people like it, mostly for non-engineering tasks).

No idea if any of this will make things better, exactly, but I think we'd be at a severe competitive disadvantage if we dropped it all and went back how things were.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#255

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You know what's also really hard in a vacuum? Dissipating heat Correct. The economics of space-based DCs comes down to permitting delays versus radiator mass. At ISS-weight radiators (12 to 15 W/kg (EDIT: kg/kW)), you need almost decade-long delays on the ground (or 10+ percent interest rates) to make lifting worthwhile. Get down to current state-of-the-art in the 5 to 10 W/kg (EDIT: kg/kW) range, however, and you…

Would you want more wattage per kg for a better radiator?

Yes! Thank you–fixed.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#257
post #143

$40B. Numbers mean nothing anymore

Yup. You can actually buy several European airlines with that kind of money. For example, you can buy KLM Air france for less than $3B. It is a profitable business that does $30B in sales and $1B in profit. (and has been profitable since for the past 4-5 years)

It has $40B in liabilities.

[PDF] https://www.airfranceklm.com/sites/default/files/2026-02/202...

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#258
post #62

It feels like the market is full Wiley Coyote on frontier model makers, and I like Anthropic's B2B business model. But all progress points to a commodification of foundation models--Google first named it as "we have no moat, neither does anyone else." So there must be some secondary play driving this, right? Hardware sales? Hedging for search ad revenue? Still feels mispriced. I think asset inflation leaves too much…

Google does have a sort of temporary moat. They have a much better hardware supply line story than anyone else and the revenue to maintain that edge indefinitely.

This is the thing - Google is a real company with well established business, money of their own, hardware, server farms, etc. ChatGPT and Anthropic have none of that in the same way google does. They have an incentive to lie and 'fake it till you make it' so they can get out of the 'risk zone' of collapsing back in on themselves. Google can throw money at Gemini all day.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#259

My opinion about this is that Google see it as a way to weaken OpenAI, and few other side benefits, including the option to acquire Anthropic. And it may very well be bad news for OpenAI.

> including the option to acquire Anthropic.

I have feeling that Dario is not the type of man who would want to be acquired and then have Google's CEO telling him what to do.

Re: Google plans to invest up to $40B in Anthropic

#260

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s what’s needed when you go from $9B in ARR … to $30B in ARR literally just one quarter later . That kind of insane growth & demand is unprecedented at that scale. https://www.anthropic.com/news/google-broadcom-partnership-c...

What is all this AI doing? People are spending 10’s to 100’s of billions and no service or technology seems better or cheaper. Everything is more expensive and worse.

For myself, its a massive boost when solo developing. Perhaps this is a different use case than most. It can work across multiple programming languages and frameworks that I had zero experience in. I use my existing knowledge of programming to ensure the new code written is correct. Also it really excels at translating from one language/framework to another. I can spend time getting it working well in a platform I know then just ask it to convert to another platform. It gets it 90% right in the first prompt, then its just a matter of fine-tuning, reviewing etc. This last 10% is where I supercharge my learning on those languages/framework. To lean all the new languages and frameworks would have taken me months before I would be productive. Now with a single prompt, we get 90% of the way there. That is incredible value for us.
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