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US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

cnn.com

241–250 of 816 posts

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#242

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's interesting they don't think they can get him for leaking classified information. To me that seems like the biggest issue--I mean sure, it's bad he made money on it, but it would have been really bad if he'd gotten someone killed by blabbing to the internet.

did he leak the information, or just speculate on it? is it leaking classified info when pentagon officials order lots of pizza and thus inform the world that a military operation is being planned?

The site that he bought the crypto from to make a bet could trace it back to him, and many, if not all, crypto trading sites have shady ties with some governemnts around the world.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#243

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> without revolutionary frameworks I’d argue that the level of corruption we’re seeing, not just in the USA but all over the Western world, hasn’t risen to a level that warrants revolutionary action. > nobody seems to care And it would seem that the masses tend to agree. We are much much better off tolerating this level of corruption than we would be attempting a revolution. Ultimately, it doesn’t matter how fat the…

So a slow decline is OK? Nah, life would be better if a cleptocrat couldn’t find his way into power.

Slow?

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#244

That’s hilarious … so he’s arrested and put on trial and all the senate and congress are doing the exact same and free? lol

I like how when people talk about corruption they think about Nancy Pelosi or some other congressman/senator making couple million $ on the stock market over their entire careers due to insider trading. Just last week Trump made a bet of around $1B on the price of oil going down before doing a fake announcement.

Nancy pelosi’s net worth is around a quarter billion dollars, most of it attributable to insider trading.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#246
post #128
post #36

Are prediction markets regulated? Is this about breaking the laws regarding prediction markets or is this about leaking classified information? I skimmed but not sure still. Someone more cynical can say that this is about protecting Thiel’s investment(if people think it’s rigged may stop playing) or making sure that only big G makes money with classified information.

Kalshi is regulated and trading in this way on Kalshi is explicitly illegal. PolyMarket does not operate under US laws and I don't know if the same insider trading rules are a separate violation on top of just participating.

Why would Polymarket not operate under US laws? It's based in New York, and has already been fined by the CFTC. It's all in the wikipedia page.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#247
post #224

What’s the point of prediction markets? They are just ordinary gambling unless you allow insider trading and manipulation, because that’s the only way the market can acquire and represent novel useful information. But if you allow those things, you run into a host of well-documented problems which are the reason why those things are forbidden in other markets. As it stands, prediction markets seem like a tech-aligned…

In theory no, because it provides financial incentive to perform a comprehensive analysis of available data or conduct thorough investigations. In practice, yep.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#249

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not legal for him, but it is for them.

That’s not it. It’s that there isn’t an Attorney General who would dare attempt raise a case against the hand that feeds them.

In theory the separation of powers should prevent this.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#250

That’s hilarious … so he’s arrested and put on trial and all the senate and congress are doing the exact same and free? lol

Only aristocrats can play that game. The soldier is being punished for doing something not allowed for his class status. This is how a caste system works. People is not judged based on their actions but their relationship to power.

> This is how a caste system works.

Not at all. In a caste system a lower caste person will get attacked if he (or especially she) has any success at all. Whether or not what they did was legal or not does not factor into the equation. First priority is that the highest up dalit is lower than the worst drunkard brahmin, even if they have to kill them.

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