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Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

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Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#231
post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> At 05:40:35, the First-Officer called out “stab trim cut-out” two times. Captain agreed and First- Officer confirmed stab trim cut-out. > At 05:41:46, the Captain asked the First-Officer if the trim is functional. The First-Officer has replied that the trim was not working and asked if he could try it manually. The Captain told him to try. At 05:41:54, the First-Officer replied that it is not working. I guess the F…

Pilots are often wrong about what their aircraft is doing. In fact, that's a big reason why they crash. So yes, the First Officer said that but that is not conclusive proof that they couldn't manually trim. He may have misinterpreted the question and tried the electric trim again. Or maybe he tried turning the wheel and didn't do it right. Or maybe he needed to try again. Or maybe he needed the pilots help. Or maybe…

[deleted]

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#232
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In all fairness this plane is only a danger to its crew (and to regular commuters). Even without the software fix, the probability that you get into a crash in one of the few times in a year when you make a leg in this plane is still infinitesimal. For the crew that spends the whole year in there, different story.

I assume that AoA sensor disagree would have been warned about still on the ground. Even if both fail, a new take off checklist will probably include comparing AoA information with analog instruments. If one sensor failure is 10E-5, two simultaneous should be 10E-10, multiplied with assumption of competence (say 99/100 will now know how to deal with it), which gives 10E-11 - 10E-12. I.e. I wouldn't worry about MCAS a…

From the FDR data in the report, it seems that the AoA sensor disagreements on this flight didn't start until after takeoff. I don't know if this is the normal failure mode.

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#233
post #33
post #11

Any PR pro worth their rate would have him and senior management very publicly flying only on 737 Max flights when they comeback online. Assurances alone are going to mean a very rocky road back for this plane.

I think they should fly on 737 Max flights piloted by Ethiopian or Lion Air Pilots. Not some Boeing/South West pilots.

I think you think "3rd world country" pilots are less trained or less capable than "American" pilots, and I think that makes you a racist.

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#235
post #212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

These airplanes were not designed for third world lower IQ pilots. Boeing still has the thinking of the 80s and 90s when the pilot demographics (even in the third world) was quite different. The tasks of dumming down the controls and much more training is the new reality that Boeing must implement.

> third world lower IQ pilots Ewww. Not here, please.

Just flag and move on. Don't give the trolls the attention they crave.

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#236

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I owned a Volkswagen. Why wouldn’t regulatory capture be a thing everywhere?

Why is corruption in some countries is more than others? I dont know the answer but it is.

If anything corruption seems more common in countries with fewer regulations, if anything (not that I have any data to back this up).

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#237
post #232

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I assume that AoA sensor disagree would have been warned about still on the ground. Even if both fail, a new take off checklist will probably include comparing AoA information with analog instruments. If one sensor failure is 10E-5, two simultaneous should be 10E-10, multiplied with assumption of competence (say 99/100 will now know how to deal with it), which gives 10E-11 - 10E-12. I.e. I wouldn't worry about MCAS a…

From the FDR data in the report, it seems that the AoA sensor disagreements on this flight didn't start until after takeoff. I don't know if this is the normal failure mode.

Indeed. The speculation is that it was caused by a bird strike during takeoff.

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#238
post #175

I know better than to read between the lines on a press release like this, but can't help but notice that it falls far short of accepting responsibility for the problem. He admits that MCAS "activated in response to erroneous angle of attack information" but doesn't admit that this alone directly resulted in the crashes. Rather, he implies that this sets off a chain of events which the pilots are unable to deal with…

Indeed, the whole press release brings to mind a couple of points from "Engineering a Safer World" which, if you're interested in this stuff, I can't recommend enough[0]. In the section "Questioning the Foundations of Traditional Safety Engineering": Old Assumption Most accidents are caused by operator error. Rewarding safe behaviour and punishing unsafe behaviours will eliminate or reduce accidents significantly. Ne…

The same quotes in an easier to read format, and I agree with them:

"Old Assumption

- Most accidents are caused by operator error. Rewarding safe behaviour and punishing unsafe behaviours will eliminate or reduce accidents significantly.

New Assumption

- Operator error is a product of the environment in which it occurs. To reduce operator "error" we must change the environment in which the operator works.

---

Old Assumption

- Major accidents occur from the chance simultaneous occurrence of random events.

New Assumption

- Systems will tend to migrate toward states of higher risk. Such migration is predictable and can be prevented by appropriate system design or detected during operations using leading indicators of increasing risk."

Just a day ago, user Gibbon1 also posted a link to a talk by the author of that book:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WBktiCyPLo4

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#239
post #45

"We regret the impact the grounding has had on our airline customers and their passengers." - I really hated this. As if they did the grounding for safety reason and regrets the cost. As if the passengers and clamoring for flying in 737-MAX. There's obviously a lot of concern and outrage. But I wonder if Boeing's share price would have been higher than last year if the two crashes were in first world countries specia…

Indeed. Less a case of "sorry 300 people died" and more a case of "sorry it caused an inconvenience for everyone else".

Re: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg Addresses the Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 Report

#240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It sounds like you are dreaming of it tough. To make such a strong statement. It is like saying all corporations end up like Theranos or Enron eventually. Economists do a lot of research and disagree with each other violently. So I will not take your links as any proof that regulatory capture is an inevitable end. Yes it is concerning that it happens but there is absolutely no reason to believe it is the fate of all.

Economists don't disagree on most things, but people who don't like to adjust their beliefs according to Economic science often like to think that. To be fair, Public Choice theory is certainly on the more controversial half of the subfields. And of course you shouldn't blindly take some random post on this forum as complete proof of how the world works. That would be a foolish gullibility. Then again, completely rej…

'Economic science'?

When has economics ever been a science?

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