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Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

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Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#211
post #208

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In a general sense is it not better for all people to be in he business of creating value than to quarrel over transferring it from one to another? I believe that if you care about human welfare, then it is obvious that it is.

Because distribution of value is important, and people believe that distribution of value is important. After all, there are limits to how much I can feel your well-being, and vice versa.

That is not even exclusive of my statement.

I actually support wealth redistribution, and I even buy in to the concept of diminishing returns in utility to increases in wealth, like you said--though, economists do debate whether that's actually true.

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#212

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If I can get the temperature online for my neighborhood (I can), then how can it be hard to get the local spot electricity price online? I don't see anything unnatural or difficult about this. No infrastructure changes are needed.

What's the behavior of the system when the home cannot access the marketplace via their normal ISP? I think power utilities don't want to bind their QoS fate to a company outside of their control or specification.

Um, if it can't connect to the internet, it reverts to the default behavior it has now? Or it could revert to the pattern seen yesterday? Besides, an internet connection is critical infrastructure for about everything else. What's so special about this?

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#213
post #166
post #155

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To be clear, in Aus we don't have 99% reliability. It's about 45 min every 2 years (whatever that works out to). That number was to explain the cost savings. In much of the world those cost saving are directly applicable. Most of the world's population doesn't have 99% reliable electricity, and so they build reliability at the edges with everything from batteries in phone towers, to batteries in lighting. It isn't at…

Rooftop solar is on average a $25,000 - $35,000 investment, and that's not even counting energy storage required to actually be off-grid. I don't think that only the rich should have reliable energy, and the poor should suffer brownouts to theoretically save some infrastructure costs. For countries who don't yet have a reliable electric grid, I think investing in providing quality / reliable electricity to their popu…

The Tesla powerwall is currently $3000[1]. There are installation costs etc on top of that of course though.

Solar is separate - I'm talking about charging the battery from the grid.

Brownouts are expensive, but so is the cost of making sure they don't happen. Peaker plants cost more than $10m/year without even turning them on[2]. There are over 40 in California[3] currently available. Hopefully they don't all cost $10M each to keep available, but it doesn't take many years to surpass that $10B cost...

[1] http://www.wholesalesolar.com/tesla-powerwall-for-solar

[2] http://www.nj.com/business/index.ssf/2010/07/peakers_plants_...

[3] http://www.energy.ca.gov/maps/powerplants/EmergencyPeakerPow...

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#214

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Sure peakers are expensive, but they are profitable, otherwise no-one would build and run them. Supply and demand etc. I'm not sure what you mean by Tesla cannibalizing the peakers? Do they already own traditional peaker plants? I agree revenue is revenue, I'm just saying this is perhaps unlikely to provide more revenue from sales outside CA.

Peakers aren't "profitable" per se, they're a result of the government granted monopoly given to power utilities. In california, at least, a brown or blackout caused by insufficient capacity can cost the utilities tens or hundreds of millions in fines so the peaker plants are a relatively cheap way to avoid having your margin wiped out in the summer. That said, I'm not sure 20MWh would really help replace any peakers…

That's because a blackout costs the customers the same tens or hundreds of millions.

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#215
post #180
post #140

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I'm with you all the way up to affecting appliances. The key is the power shift should be virtually invisible to consumers. You don't turn off A/C, you just bump up the set point by 1 degree for that 15 minutes. The individual impact is minuscule, the aggregate impact is leveling out the peak. But you need everyone to be wired for this in order for a small change to add up to a big impact. Which isn't worth the cost…

Nest is planning this.

They actually already do it, we enrolled in Boston this summer in "RushHour". They pre-cooled our house 6 times over the summer before a expected peak demand and gave us a $40 or $50 credit. It was great, we were not home 3 of those times and the others we didn't notice at the time at all, so it was basically just free money.

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#216
post #15

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It's pretty important to realize that this isn't the problem that needs solving. Batteries aren't great for large amounts of power for long periods of time (yet). What they are good at is smoothing out the supply curve from potentially intermittent suppliers like solar and wind, and that is one of the things that causes price spikes.

Having real-time pricing of electricity coupled with users who can adapt their usage automatically to real-time prices will also considerably moderate power demand.

I'd prefer batteries to having to regulate my electricity usage in real-time.

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Batteries are now cheaper than peakers everywhere, not just CA. That's what I'm saying. Tesla's PowerPack installs (battery storage receives federal incentives, nat gas does not) will replace peakers, leaving them as stranded assets (the cannibalization I refer to). Edit: unepipe: Tesla packs perform the exact same role as a peaker plant: energy on demand. They are distributed, dispatchable loads and generators, avai…

Since they're not technically a "plant" - just storage - is there any advantage to be had to build in many smaller (say per-neighborhood) battery plants? Seems like they could act not only as peak providers, but also battery backup in the case of storms and whatnot. Plus it reduces a single-point of failure. I ask for I am uneducated in this area.

Yes to both your suggestions. It also would stave off transmission line upgrades.

Re: Tesla Wins Contract to Help Power the California Grid

#218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or you can use PHS: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricit...

Wasn't Danielle Fong and folks doing pumped (and cooled) air for this? I wonder if that's still around and if maybe they lost this bid.

we didn't bid. we're still around though. we have plans :)

it will be interesting to see how Tesla makes money. it's probably mainly a test site.

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