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Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

governor.wa.gov

201–210 of 568 posts

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#201
post #42

This is going to be an economic catastrophe unless there's somehow a nationwide bailout to literally all brick and mortar businesses. I know of several local bar/restaurants that are considering shutting down for good, and a colleague near Melbourne told me of 4 that already have (I'm eastern US). Even if this all blows over in 3 months, we'll have a huge surge in homelessness and folks needing social assistance acro…

Suspend rent payments

Landlords don't have expenses?

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#202
post #88

My Daughter was working as a temp between jobs and the work has now been stopped, she had two second interviews planned in Sydney this week now both positions have been retracted and nobody hiring or interviewing, she has about 7 weeks of cash savings and 4 months lease on a rental. Oh and no unemployment benefit or subsidies as she is New Zealander working in Australia. Young People at the lowest risk from this viru…

>The UK's answer to the problem is starting to look a lot more sensible than total economic chaos being caused by all other methods.

Closed shops can be reopened, dead people can't be brought back.

EDIT: it really scares me to see there a real actual living human beings on HN here who would in all seriousness downvote this.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#203

I’m probably in the minority but I lean towards the UK model. My suspicion is that the mortality rate is lower due to inadequate testing. Call me a cynic but after 9/11 I’m weary of temporary measures that become permanent in one way or another.

I'm going to go ahead and call you a cynic here. Do you really think there's any way that the State of Washington will be permanently banning events over 50 people? Do you really think there's any way that the State of Washington will be permanently preventing the operation of bars, dine-in restaurants, and entertainment facilities? I'm generally pretty skeptical of creeping government powers myself, but this just...…

No, but it could normalize doing all of that in the future. Giving up rights once usually make these rights less untouchable in the future which doesn't have to mean that the current measures will be permanent.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#204
post #42

This is going to be an economic catastrophe unless there's somehow a nationwide bailout to literally all brick and mortar businesses. I know of several local bar/restaurants that are considering shutting down for good, and a colleague near Melbourne told me of 4 that already have (I'm eastern US). Even if this all blows over in 3 months, we'll have a huge surge in homelessness and folks needing social assistance acro…

I'm a little surprised that commercial landlords of businesses that are affected aren't stepping up to offer rent concessions. Yes, I get they don't want to take a hit -- but they're generally in much better positions to do so than restaurants and cafés that run on less than 5% profit margins during good times.

(And, yes, I'm sure the more leftist and anti-capitalist out there will say "but are you really surprised?," and they'll absolutely have a point.)

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#205

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Many of them, no. And bars, for instance, aren’t allowed to serve their primary purpose via delivery. Or movie theaters. Or music venues. Or retail. Or.... It’s gonna be a mess, because we already know the government is going to fail to alleviate the impact.

Retail can't deliver... What is the primary non-deliverable thing you get from retail?

The context was in harm to retail stores that can't do delivery, not in problems for the consumer.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#206
post #8

IMO the only question now is how long it takes the rest of the country to follow suite. Here in NC our governor announced the closing of all public schools on Friday, but I've heard from several friends that in my city (Raleigh) the downtown bars and restaurants were pretty much at normal capacity this weekend. I don't think the general public is going to truly take this seriously until they're told that they have to…

Just look at some of the comments in this very thread, calling for us to adopt the "UK model".

It's clear that some people DO NOT see this as a threat worth worrying about. Shame on them, I say. They're probably the same idiots that show up to work sick, and cough without covering their mouth around others.

A lot of people who apparently don't believe in biology, and don't have the ability to see past their own 2 feet.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#207
post #183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lives and dollars are not totally different things. How many lives will be ruined by total financial destruction? How many will commit suicide in the months and years after due to financial issues?

Even if we accept your premise, how many dollars in economic activity will be destroyed by the deaths of enormous numbers of working age people because the hospitals were overloaded and they couldn't get the critical care they needed?

I know this is horrible, but likely not too many. In Italy they are currently kicking people over 60 out of the hospitals to make way for the younger people who are more likely to survive with medical treatment.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#208

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lives and dollars are not totally different things. How many lives will be ruined by total financial destruction? How many will commit suicide in the months and years after due to financial issues?

> How many will commit suicide in the months and years after due to financial issues? Hopefully 0 if we provide a robust social safety net for people who's livelihoods are harmed.

I predict a 1% chance of that happening in the US. The 1% is due to the possibility that so many people are affected that they overthrow the government.

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#209

I’m probably in the minority but I lean towards the UK model. My suspicion is that the mortality rate is lower due to inadequate testing. Call me a cynic but after 9/11 I’m weary of temporary measures that become permanent in one way or another.

The WHO mission to China couldn’t find the supposed submerged iceberg of undetected cases. They tested 320,000 people in Guangdong province, found very few they hadn’t traced through contacts.

Diamond princess looking to be 1% mortality. Korean mortality matches China’s, when you adjust for age groups.

Further, mortality rises when the health system is overwhelmed, as in lombardy and wuhan. The math of this suggests every place gets overwhelmed without containment.

Not only does coronavirus morality rise, but you ALSO get excess mortality as the hospitals are taken out of commission for stuff like heart attacks, trauma, etc. hospitals become covid-19 treatment centers.

Source on WHO mission: https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-ch...

Re: Washington governor announces shutdown of restaurants, bars

#210
post #2

Good. Aggressive steps like this are the only way we'll get a handle on what's happening. The alternative is exponential runaway and complete disaster. Full disclosure: I live in Seattle.

Another Seattle resident here... I wonder if we're only a few days away from a Hubei/Italy-style lockdown where you can't go outside except for groceries and pharmaceuticals. Is there precedent for that in American history?

Not at all.

But, if the US is ~11 days behind Italy in terms of infection rate, then we can expect a lockdown by ... Friday, March 20.

Good Lord.

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