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Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
21–30 of 441 posts
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#22Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#23We cannot have a decade of 0% interest rates and expect no consequences. Peter Schiff predicted this from the moment the fed bailouted the banks in 2008.
There's nothing the fed can do to escape this one, it's either massive inflation or massive recession. The fed has avoided the latter by bailing out the banks again so expect double digit inflation for the next decade.
PS: My personal CPI (rent + food) is 23% so I'm already experiencing this. I would advise everyone to calculate their personal CPI because that's what affects your standard of living...The government numbers are rigged and everyone's reality differs...
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#24Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#25Banking will only change when we keep the management fully responsible. The bank goes bankrupt, the management goes bankrupt, see how they will gamble with your money then.
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#26Serious question: Is it a good idea (ever) to trust a bank's take on a financial crisis?
In the same way that you should take a software engineer's take on why a a SQL query is slow. They're probably the most knowledgeable person in the room but that doesn't always mean that they're right.
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#27I’m a quarter way convinced mid-sized banks’ stock shouldn’t be publicly traded.
Or money creation should be more exclusive to public institutions.
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#28Serious question: Is it a good idea (ever) to trust a bank's take on a financial crisis?
In the same way that you should take a software engineer's take on why a a SQL query is slow. They're probably the most knowledgeable person in the room but that doesn't always mean that they're right.
Should you trust meta about monopolism in the social media space, data ownership, child safety, the effects of new media on professional journalism, etc. etc. Big political questions intertwined with his companies' interests.
In any case, both in the hypothetical fb case and the real chase case: (1) you should listen, because they're in a position to have knowledge and insight. (2) You should also be extremely skeptical, and assume that they are making statements in pursuit of their interests.
That said, the content of this particular article is quite worth listening to. It's not really about the what. It's about the why.
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#29CS AT1 bondholders now have gigantic $17bn hole in their balance sheet/portfolio
The whole AT1 bond market is experiencing losses of similar size to the treasury bond market
If anybody collateralized those? Bigger losses
Losses aren't controversial, but they are when theyre losses with other people’s money who arent investors
Re: Reasons the banking crisis isn’t a repeat of 2008
#30Earlier quoted context omitted.
Or money creation should be more exclusive to public institutions.
Loans create more money; in other words, according to your proposal, private banks shouldn't lend out more money than what they have (as customers' deposits).