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Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

cdc.gov

21–30 of 140 posts

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#21
post #3

>This virus is NOT currently spreading widely in the United States. Curious how this is known given practically zero tests have been done and numerous cases with no contact external to the US have been discovered.

Oh really: https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1233970271318503426 "This strongly suggests that there has been cryptic transmission in Washington State for the past 6 weeks."

You mean as described in, and entirely consistent with the CDC summary?

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#22
post #13
post #6

My family just got over some sort of respiratory bug that had most of us sick last week. This morning I awoke to find that 2 cases of this thing have been identified in my area. Huh. We most likely just had a cold. Most likely.

Go for testing. The virus is still present (but not contagious anymore) some time after you recover.

why would s/he pay $3000 to get tested for something s/he already recovered from?

https://twitter.com/NickKristof/status/1234140218023989253

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#23
Sent this to my friends and family yesterday:

> it is important to note that current global circumstances suggest it is likely that this virus will cause a pandemic.

CDC really isn’t mincing words - this is going to be bad and we should start social distancing to slow the spread.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Easy. %20 of the cases require some type of hospitalization. %80 are mild and don't require medical attention. If you have Covid-19 rampant in your town - the hospitals will fill with persons experiencing a bad flu - that %20. https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-80-percent-cases...

Is it still the case that you have a two week latency before symptoms? If so, that would make detecting the early stages of an outbreak without testing exceptionally hard.

Last I read it was anywhere from 2 - 14 days.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#25

Sent this to my friends and family yesterday: > it is important to note that current global circumstances suggest it is likely that this virus will cause a pandemic. CDC really isn’t mincing words - this is going to be bad and we should start social distancing to slow the spread.

Sometimes, it's good to be an introvert.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#26
the data posted to the CDC website seems all over the place. e.g. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

right above the table the report says:

   Updated February 29, 2020
Looking at their editing history on archive you can see how their numbers evolved over time: https://web.archive.org/web/*/https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru...

inconsistencies/errors in the report (e.g. 21st Feb they claimed 479 total tests): https://web.archive.org/web/20200221040933/https://www.cdc.g...

updating sites without linking to versioned data doesn't give a lot of confidence, but then it's hard to blame them considering Trump admin slashed their budget in 2018.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#27
I find it interesting to compare what's CDC is doing right now ( messed up tests, not enough testing, protecting markets but not people) to what we can see CDC doing in movies like Contagion where they are on top of everything before anyone else even knows that the there is a new virus in the wild.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Easy. %20 of the cases require some type of hospitalization. %80 are mild and don't require medical attention. If you have Covid-19 rampant in your town - the hospitals will fill with persons experiencing a bad flu - that %20. https://www.businessinsider.com/coronavirus-80-percent-cases...

Is it still the case that you have a two week latency before symptoms? If so, that would make detecting the early stages of an outbreak without testing exceptionally hard.

> Current estimates of the incubation period range from 1 to 14 days with a median of 5 to 6 days, although recent case reports suggest that the incubation period may be as long as 24 days, which is longer than the 14 days that WHO and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have been using to inform quarantine policies.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762510

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#30
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Go for testing. The virus is still present (but not contagious anymore) some time after you recover.

why would s/he pay $3000 to get tested for something s/he already recovered from? https://twitter.com/NickKristof/status/1234140218023989253

This is plain ridiculous. It's like the US is 50 years late on social/health/worker conditions. Mandatory paid sick leave sounds like a win/win thing no matter how you look at it.

> The U.S. is the ONLY wealthy nation that doesn't guarantee all workers paid sick leave, paid family leave & health coverage. This means many workers go to work sick

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