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The Strongest El Niño Ever

theclimatebrink.com

191–200 of 370 posts

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Bomb fossil fuel power plants. They’ll be replaced with the least expensive alternative, solar and batteries.

You should also bomb billions of cars, presumably while they are parked, and heating boilers. Better option for all: just turn them off.

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It would be one thing if Europe immediately stopped using coal, drastically reduced airline usage, quit building gasoline cars, but if anything it is only marginally better than the US. Europe mostly shifted their dirty work to Asia and North America, while restricting themselves from using air conditioning as some kind of virtue signaling. That's the problem as I see it.

There's a lot to criticise of every country, but we're trying. The US is not trying (*) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement#/media/File:Pa... * Not aimed at all the wonderful, sane and reasonable people of the USA.

There is no such thing as a binding 'agreement' like this in the USA system of government. We have treaties. That have to be ratified by the Senate. The governments of the world understood this, and understood that the Paris climate agreement was an attempt by the US executive branch at the time to bluff to a hollow 'deal' (instead of creating a true binding treaty) hoping future politicians would be too embarrassed to go against it. It was incredibly disingenuous/misleading of the United States Executive branch at the time to do play politics this way outside of the actual US system of treaties. It was part of the breaking of American laws/norms by the executive that led us to where we are today (with chaos, tribalism instead of a legal system, and a breakdown of our government).

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#193
post #95

I wrote to Alan Kay over 8 years ago about my fears of global warming and how tech seems to dismiss it as a concern on the whole. A little known fact about Alan Kay is 17 years ago he was part of a group of "systems people" who published for the NFS about various systems including the climate. He helped write "Transitions and Tipping Points in Complex Environmental Systems" ( https://nsf-gov-resources.nsf.gov/2022-12…

> Ask yourself, where are we spending our energy right now as a species?

Hey Claude, enter plan mode

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#194
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Europe. We have in fact invented air conditioning here too, but I am not concerned with what we should be doing next year. That's a trivial matter. I'm concerned about what will happen if this trend continues another 5-10 years. How do we make sure that doesn't happen?

> How do we make sure that doesn't happen? That's the neat part, you don't. Europe has saved on CO2 emissions by moving production to China, and more recently to India and Southern Asia, moving energy generation for factories onto coal power, significantly INCREASING the rate at which climate change occurs. China and India have made it very clear that, first, they will continue to do this. Also adding solar power, bu…

Your take is too fatalistic because any reduction in Co2 emissions is helpful. It isn't an all or nothing thing.

The cost estimates for eliminating Co2 emissions are also not very high. In the range of 1-2x total GDP. Would be doable if 3-5% of GDP is spent over the next 20-30 years.

I agree that all oil will be dug up and sold but there is a caveat: not at any price. If solar and wind continue their trajectory their dominance is inevitable.

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It would be one thing if Europe immediately stopped using coal, drastically reduced airline usage, quit building gasoline cars, but if anything it is only marginally better than the US. Europe mostly shifted their dirty work to Asia and North America, while restricting themselves from using air conditioning as some kind of virtue signaling. That's the problem as I see it.

There's a lot to criticise of every country, but we're trying. The US is not trying (*) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement#/media/File:Pa... * Not aimed at all the wonderful, sane and reasonable people of the USA.

Even if the US isn't part of any climate agreements, it has still made substantial progress toward achieving climate goals – yes, even under the Trump admin and much to his chagrin. You need only compare the country's emissions and green energy output from 2016 to 2026 to see it.

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bomb fossil fuel power plants. They’ll be replaced with the least expensive alternative, solar and batteries.

You should also bomb billions of cars, presumably while they are parked, and heating boilers. Better option for all: just turn them off.

They're a comparatively small contributor. Greatest impact would be to shut down coal plants.

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Now the best idea we come up with is burning more fuel for aircon... I mean really what else is there? We can't undo the warming, we can't rebuild every building in Europe (even if we could, would it work? Winter will still happen too). We can install solar panels and air conditioners, though.

We can install adjustable shades and ceiling fans. Cheap and efficient. It practically pays for itself in saved energy bills if we decide to add an aircon anyway. Plus the saved energy saves carbon emissions too. We can update building regulations so that new building are better. We can plant trees. It brings shade in summer but lets sun through in winter. We can stop taking the plane. I mean, there really are tons o…

The one thing I want is for everyone to tick the box on their power company's website that says "only give me electricity from renewables".

If everyone does this, hopefully the problem will be fixed quickly, plus you can enjoy all the guilt-free AC you want!

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The thing is that both sides have a point. European countries (notably France) have known for at least 30 years that this was coming, but was ideologically insisting not to install proper AC or even ventilation in public spaces and transport. This does not contradict the wider angle about Americans ignoring climate change.

> ideologically insisting not to install proper AC or even ventilation This is not supported by facts. People won't spend money on equipment they don't need. Most places in France do not need air conditioning (or did not need it). It makes no sense that a building owner or transit agency would spend limited funds on something that they do not need. One may argue that the government of France should have imposed some…

> something they do not need

Except France very much does need AC. They may keep it off 99% of the time, but anyplace that experiences 38C+ temperatures should have AC systems installed for public safety. The cost benefit ratio is extremely in favor of having AC in France even if they don’t fully cool indoor temperatures to 22C, there’s a huge advantage to limiting temperatures to below 30C.

Paris has hit 42+C before, in places without AC those temperatures result in deaths.

Re: The Strongest El Niño Ever

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's a lot to criticise of every country, but we're trying. The US is not trying (*) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement#/media/File:Pa... * Not aimed at all the wonderful, sane and reasonable people of the USA.

There is no such thing as a binding 'agreement' like this in the USA system of government. We have treaties. That have to be ratified by the Senate. The governments of the world understood this, and understood that the Paris climate agreement was an attempt by the US executive branch at the time to bluff to a hollow 'deal' (instead of creating a true binding treaty) hoping future politicians would be too embarrassed…

Hmm... If only there were a tangible reason why a treaty would have been impossible to get through the US Congress as currently constituted.
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