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US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

cnn.com

191–200 of 816 posts

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#191

That’s hilarious … so he’s arrested and put on trial and all the senate and congress are doing the exact same and free? lol

At this point insider trading issue has run away so hard I don't see how it can be tamed without revolutionary frameworks. If we look at crypto then I'm not sure we want to live in a world where insider trading is normalized either so we ought to start working on these new frameworks as soon as possible but nobody seems to care.

Speculation has historically been solved by a workers vanguard party.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#192

That’s hilarious … so he’s arrested and put on trial and all the senate and congress are doing the exact same and free? lol

At this point insider trading issue has run away so hard I don't see how it can be tamed without revolutionary frameworks. If we look at crypto then I'm not sure we want to live in a world where insider trading is normalized either so we ought to start working on these new frameworks as soon as possible but nobody seems to care.

> without revolutionary frameworks

I’d argue that the level of corruption we’re seeing, not just in the USA but all over the Western world, hasn’t risen to a level that warrants revolutionary action.

> nobody seems to care

And it would seem that the masses tend to agree.

We are much much better off tolerating this level of corruption than we would be attempting a revolution.

Ultimately, it doesn’t matter how fat the fat cats are so long as the general population’s standard of living doesn't go backwards too far too fast.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#193

It seems like it would be highly demoralizing to US soldiers that they are prosecuted for betting on the outcomes of the battles they are risking their lives for but those insider trading commanding them aren't.

Imagine doing an easy tour in your air conditioned Kuwaiti logistics office and then getting blown to bits by a ballistic missile because no one bothered to tell you about the war that was being initiated which would cause such missiles in retaliation. Yeah, that's demoralizing too.

I would offer a small correction to your point: Instead of "ballistic missile", I would substitute "Shahed-type drones". It is much easier to detect (and shoot down) a ballistic missile than a Shahed-type drone.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#194
post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Everyone knows how the parties are different Its valid to be more annoyed by the ways that they’re the same your cause is not my cause, its better for the viability of your preferred party if you remember that

Its valid to say a lot of things. But it doesn't escape you from having to own those choices. You are what you'll accept, and you looked at the choices given and said "I'm okay with either one". Because the consequences of whatever mutual dissatisfaction you had still means one of them gained power and implemented their agenda anyway. And you were okay with that. You don't get to not make a decision and then pretend…

the other person was talking about not making a decision, so you've transposed an idea not mentioned at all onto my comment

good luck out there

what to remember: the goal of the parties are to win friends and influence people, it's a weird meme that you aren't doing that and neither is the other party. time to re-evaluate the communication style yeah? proselytizing isn't working

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#195

That’s hilarious … so he’s arrested and put on trial and all the senate and congress are doing the exact same and free? lol

It's not legal for him, but it is for them.

That’s not it.

It’s that there isn’t an Attorney General who would dare attempt raise a case against the hand that feeds them.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#196
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah enlightened centrism rears its head again. Remember folks: at all points both sides are exactly the same /s.

If you guilt me into voting, I'll probably vote for somebody you don't like. Isn't it better that I don't vote?

> Isn't it better that I don't vote?

Maybe. I'm not actually that invested in people voting. But that doesn't negate the hypocrisy of complaining when you're, through inaction, endorsing the status quo.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#197
post #36

Are prediction markets regulated? Is this about breaking the laws regarding prediction markets or is this about leaking classified information? I skimmed but not sure still. Someone more cynical can say that this is about protecting Thiel’s investment(if people think it’s rigged may stop playing) or making sure that only big G makes money with classified information.

All fungible markets are prediction markets. The idea that only some are is a mirage.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#198
post #180
post #130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah the DoJ proclaims, “Our Office will continue to hold accountable those who misuse confidential or classified information in a way that undermines and exploits our national security.” But isn’t wire fraud harder to prove than leaking classified facts?

Unless the prosecution can prove that the trades meaningfully moved the market prices, it's probably going to be really hard to use the term "leaking". I can't shake the feeling that there may be political reasons to not even attempt that angle. What legal precedent would it set if a judge actually ruled on that and the prosecution won ? Which entities within the government would be financially inconvenienced?

So in prediction markets I've heard a lot of times people will collaborate in order to make certain predictions pay off higher sums by having more people put money on a certain bet.

Is it true with these markets the more people bet on a specific day and time, the value will increase more, increasing the overall payout? If that is true, I wonder if they're looking at anybody else helping place the bets or a group of people trying to wager a higher amount of money to increase the return?

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#199

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"A military operation is being planned" is very different from "Maduro will be kidnapped in the next x hours". "Pentagon planning a military operation" is not exactly classified information as it is safe to assume that Pentagon is always planning a military operation.

Yes, it seems in this case an adversary who was paying attention could have learned something very, very valuable.

Yes. Especially if the casino (or "prediction market") has access to the identities of players via id verification, fingerprinting, or other means.

Re: US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, it seems in this case an adversary who was paying attention could have learned something very, very valuable.

Yes. Especially if the casino (or "prediction market") has access to the identities of players via id verification, fingerprinting, or other means.

You mean any non crypto payment system? :)
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