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Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

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Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#191
post #185

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Strongly agree. Free markets often fail to adopt low cost protections to tail events. E.g. the free market didn't get us 100% of new cars having seatbelts and airbags, government requirements did. And those standards were fought by the car manufacturers. My point is we need regulations to mandate our energy system to be resilient to outlier events (heat/cold/flooding/high wind etc.) and that's a government function s…

What if I've got a prepper bent and am OK with losing power for a few days in a 1:100 year event? Can I still get cheap, slightly unreliable power? Not to make light of the events in Texas - it sounds scary and they need to be prepared for next time. But the answer isn't automatically "they should have had a gold plated the grid!". The answer might be "they should be have been prepared for a few days without power in…

This is a week about every 10 years best case, right now, where I’m at (near Austin). We lose water for twice that long every 5 years. The reliability is probably less than 99% for power, and 95% for water.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#192
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the market solves all problems why would the government even need to mandate winterization? Wouldn't smart businesses have done the risk analysis and done the work? Maybe the problem here is that loss of electrical power has a significant external cost that isn't absorbed by the utilities. In other words, the cost of winterization was more than the cost to fix the damage to their equipment but doesn't take into ac…

Strongly agree. Free markets often fail to adopt low cost protections to tail events. E.g. the free market didn't get us 100% of new cars having seatbelts and airbags, government requirements did. And those standards were fought by the car manufacturers. My point is we need regulations to mandate our energy system to be resilient to outlier events (heat/cold/flooding/high wind etc.) and that's a government function s…

> Free markets often fail to adopt low cost protections to tail events.

Especially when they can foist off the costs of black swan events onto their customers, investors, insurance, and/or the government. In the mean time, they will optimize for profit in the average case.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#193
post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Free markets do account for huge shortages, but we’ve eliminated the motivation for actors to do something about it with anti price-gouging regulations. There would be tons of stockpiles if businesses could appropriately upcharge when there was mass panic buying. Instead we stupidly lock prices, which wipes out most of the point of paying extra storage costs compared to a just in time competitor. The problem is we’ve…

I don’t think what you’re saying jives with the reality of what happened in Texas. The price of electric and natural gas skyrocketed during the shortage. A company that winterized their equipment stood to make a killing. And yet, despite the massive profit incentives, large swaths of Texas were blacked out due to lack of preparation. Besides that, the economic damage of the outages far outweigh how much winterization…

>The price of electric and natural gas skyrocketed during the shortage.

AFAIK the price was capped.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26160546

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#194

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Any indication of what those links showed? I get ‘Access denied’.

I've noticed that happen when browsing from outside the US on many sites recently, including Ercot. Extremely annoying. It's companies paying for Imperva's web firewall ("Cloud Application Security") that just blocks IPs based on country for no reason. https://www.imperva.com/why-am-i-seeing-this-page/

Yes, extremely annoying and not adding any security.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#195
post #83

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Strongly agree. Free markets often fail to adopt low cost protections to tail events. E.g. the free market didn't get us 100% of new cars having seatbelts and airbags, government requirements did. And those standards were fought by the car manufacturers. My point is we need regulations to mandate our energy system to be resilient to outlier events (heat/cold/flooding/high wind etc.) and that's a government function s…

[flagged]

Why do you think electrical regulations in Texas have anything to do with gender studies in Pakistan?

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's completely defeating the purpose of the price signal, which is to cause whoever is the most price sensitive to cut usage. By charging less to the people who are most price sensitive, the average price charged in order to deter usage would have to increase dramatically. It also creates ridiculous perverse incentives where people with little money waste electricity in the midst of a shortage because they're not…

You are right it creates perverse incentives, but so does the current system. For instance check this article [0] that shows pictures of Houston's skyline during the recent power outages where completely empty skyscrapers are wasting power while ordinary people freeze. I'd rather have poor people using electricity than rich corporations. At least keeping people warm is productive. [0] https://heavy.com/news/photos-ho…

>You are right it creates perverse incentives, but so does the current system.

Does the current system charge customers by minute by minute spot prices? I don't think so. If electricity costs $5/kWh you bet the CFO is going to tell the janitor to turn off the lights.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#197
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honestly, I reach a very different conclusion. Comparing ERCOT to other grids (PJM or CALISO), ERCOT system has delivered very low prices and very high levels of renewable penetrations. PJM wastes billions of dollars a year in capacity payments to coal plants for no reason. What you write, "The market in power should only exist to optimise" well, that is exactly what ERCOT does. As for the disaster last week, that wa…

If the market solves all problems why would the government even need to mandate winterization? Wouldn't smart businesses have done the risk analysis and done the work? Maybe the problem here is that loss of electrical power has a significant external cost that isn't absorbed by the utilities. In other words, the cost of winterization was more than the cost to fix the damage to their equipment but doesn't take into ac…

> Maybe the problem here is that loss of electrical power has a significant external cost that isn't absorbed by the utilities.

The utilities don't have to pay for the deaths caused by not providing power, or charging so much they might as well not be providing it.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#198
post #185

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What if I've got a prepper bent and am OK with losing power for a few days in a 1:100 year event? Can I still get cheap, slightly unreliable power? Not to make light of the events in Texas - it sounds scary and they need to be prepared for next time. But the answer isn't automatically "they should have had a gold plated the grid!". The answer might be "they should be have been prepared for a few days without power in…

This is a week about every 10 years best case , right now, where I’m at (near Austin). We lose water for twice that long every 5 years. The reliability is probably less than 99% for power, and 95% for water.

Fellow Austinite here. To what events are you referring? I have no recollection of multiday power or water outages in the last 10 years.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#199
post #196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are right it creates perverse incentives, but so does the current system. For instance check this article [0] that shows pictures of Houston's skyline during the recent power outages where completely empty skyscrapers are wasting power while ordinary people freeze. I'd rather have poor people using electricity than rich corporations. At least keeping people warm is productive. [0] https://heavy.com/news/photos-ho…

>You are right it creates perverse incentives, but so does the current system. Does the current system charge customers by minute by minute spot prices? I don't think so. If electricity costs $5/kWh you bet the CFO is going to tell the janitor to turn off the lights.

The current system allows rich customers to negligently waste electricity that poor customers need to stay warm. If the system prioritized usage and charged the corporations $5/kWh while charging poor customers the standard rate, people wouldn't have frozen to death.

Re: Clearing price for supplying power to Texas grid –$31.65

#200
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