Earlier quoted context omitted.
How would you avoid seeing 500M indians/Chinese landing in America on the very next day? I think there is a middle ground between the disaster that are immigration laws today, and full open borders.
[idea retracted; proposed a tax-based solution but maybe too distracting]
Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
191–200 of 1001 posts
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
The changes described in the article do not change your hypothetical whatsoever.
It does indirectly. Hiring for the later will hopefully cease to be cost effective. But the former should still be worth it.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#193Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your numbers are wrong [1]. > The United States has more immigrants than any other country in the world. Today, more than 40 million people living in the U.S. were born in another country, accounting for about one-fifth of the world’s migrants. > The U.S. foreign-born population reached a record 44.8 million in 2018. > More than 1 million immigrants arrive in the U.S. each year. What amazes me is how much hate the US…
Let's get some terminology right. Immigrants are defined in US law as lawful permanent residents, i.e. green card holders. Congress caps the number of green cards issued at 366,000 per year. Therefore, the number of new immigrants to the US each year is 366,000. The 140,000 number I initially used incorrectly was the number of employment based green cards as compared to family based. I've updated the math. [edit] It'…
From: https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/yearbook/2018/tab...
Table 1. Persons Obtaining Lawful Permanent Resident Status: Fiscal Years 1820 to 2018
Year Number
2018 1,096,611
2017 1,127,167
2016 1,183,505
This also obviously doesn't even count the number of illegal aliens coming here every year.
> The immigrant and descendent of immigrant population of the US is roughly 100%, because there are only 5 million native Americans in the US.
Native Americans came from elsewhere at some point too, I suppose they are immigrants also according to your meaningless definition.
Forgive me if I don't care about the per-capita number of refugees in Canada.
You are the one who is mistaken.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#194Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is right. The answer that's best for the economy is to allow more immigration, not less (especially skilled immigration). This move will just make it more dificult for the average company to sponsor H1B workers
Serious question: wouldn’t that be leaving less jobs open for Americans? As an American myself, I want to see my fellow Americans getting good jobs over people from other countries.
I don't understand how people can go through this pandemic, where at least 50% of the people on this site are of the view that we can all work from wherever we want all time, and think that a company who is willing to pay 90k to hire somebody in the US, will not be willing to pay half that to hire that same person in Bangalore or Kiev instead.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#195If you've got an undergraduate degree in CS looking for work as a SWE does that mean you'll need to get paid at p95? Won't this isolate all employment opportunities to places like the Bay Area at companies that pay a high base-salary (no equity counted)?
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#196I agree 100% with you. My view is even more extreme, I think we should allow anyone who passes a criminal background check to be able to get a work visa, with no quotas. But barring that pipe dream, this seems like a good interim step.
How would you avoid seeing 500M indians/Chinese landing in America on the very next day? I think there is a middle ground between the disaster that are immigration laws today, and full open borders.
If our economy grew by 500M new jobs, that would be unequivocally good. Those 500M people would be paying taxes, buying goods and services, paying for housing, etc.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#197I really, really want to like this move. I've written on HN before that the Trump admin's revealed immigration preference is, in effect, "as few immigrants as possible" [1]. Every past move this administration has made with regard to visas has been ill-advised and badly executed (imo). That they solved problem 1 (ill-advised) does not mean they've solved problem 2 (badly executed). In that light, I can't help but thi…
This could be trivially avoided by simply aggregating the job posting requirements for similar positions or doing any sort of survey of the qualifications and education of currently employed highly paid data scientists.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#198Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Canada, a country 1/10th the size of the US, brings in 300,000 new immigrants each year. The US brings in 140,000. This means Canada brings in 20X the number of new immigrants per capita than the US does. Actually, "more than 1 million immigrants arrive in the U.S. each year. In 2018, the top country of origin for new immigrants coming into the U.S. was China, with 149,000 people, followed by India (129,000), Mexic…
Those are non-immigrants, guest workers or temporary workers. Immigrants are defined, in US law, a green card holders. Congress caps the number of green cards to be issued at 366,000 (140,000 for employment based green cards) per year. [edit] It's about 1M once you factor in family members of US citizens.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#199I mean they will pay H1bs higher but still doesn’t make a company pay a us citizen higher. Maybe it will open up space for lawsuits based equivalent responsibilities and help the equal pay for equal movement. Even excluding H1bs we know there are people doing the exact same work for vastly different
H1Bs usually require the employer to prove they couldn't find someone within the country.
Re: Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
#200Credit where credit is due, this is a good move. The H1B program has been abused for a long time. It sounds like these changes should help make it too expensive for the fraudulent abuse to continue.
I've been pretty impressed with Taiwan's Gold Card work visa program, where you either need certain educational achievement qualifications, or need to be a highly-paid employee in specific fields — but not both. And it's not tied to a specific employer, which I think helps negotiation (and thus also helps domestic workers, by raising labor prices). I wish America's immigration program worked more like that — specific quibbles about what exactly the rate should be aside; Taiwan's is certainly too low to use for the US — since I think encouraging high-skill immigration would help much more than it would hurt: high-skill immigrants tend to generate more jobs, and also tend to pay more in taxes than the services they receive, meaning it's a win-win where immigrants can get the jobs they want in the country they want to be in and Americans end up with more jobs available and more government services per (American) tax dollar spent.