Fairly certain that model sizes and computational requirements will grow as the price for LLM compute drops.
Maybe there's a conversation to be had about how much is enough... Unless something beyond my imagination happened, I would be happy enough with Opus 4.5 levels of productivity
This really sounds like “640kb should be enough”.
I’m sorry, but I just can’t imagine us running smaller models than we are using right now in 5-10 years from now.
I run Q4_K_XL. All it takes to run to get about 6tk/sec is 512gb of ram and 2 3090 GPUs with llama.cpp -cmoe. I also have crappy DDR4, 2400mhz, 3200mhz will bring that speed up to about 9tk/sec. I also have ok 32core epyc CPU, a better 64core would bring it up to about 11tk/sec. I did a budget build before the crazy hardware cost and I regret it everyday. Nevertheless, it's fantastic being able to run this model at h…
I have pretty much almost this exact setup with 2x3090s and with slightly faster DDR4 512GB and 64 core Epyc! [0] I've been enjoying it a lot. Can't wait to give this model a try.
Apart of running local models I use this rig as my main remote development platform. All Claude Code sessions are running there in tmux now. And my fingers can't be happier not having to deal with constantly hot laptop. Not to mention that Claude Code is such a battery hog.
Running that full load is at least 600 W, so in a day ~14 kWh. At $0.2 a kWH, that would be $2.80/day or $1k a year of op-ex in electricity. Unless you really want privacy or the fuzzy feeling of owning your own, it’s cheaper, more convenient and has much faster tok/s if you pay a hyper scaler. That said, I do like the direction we are heading and look forward to seeing what host your own hardware we get in 2 years.
Not everyone lives in a place where electricity is $0.20 a kWh. For instance BC Hydro residential rates are $0.11 (CAD) for the first tier and $0.14 for the second tier of consumption in a month. At current exchange rate $0.14 CAD is $0.099 USD a kWh. Hydro Quebec is even cheaper. At a theoretical 6 tok/s, 86400 seconds in a day, approx 500,000 tokens of GLM5.2 output for 2 bucks a day seems like a pretty good bargai…
if only there was a magical place where geothermal and hydroelectric is ubiquitous and the weather is cold enough that no one is going to be complaining about free heating.
Not everyone lives in a place where electricity is $0.20 a kWh. For instance BC Hydro residential rates are $0.11 (CAD) for the first tier and $0.14 for the second tier of consumption in a month. At current exchange rate $0.14 CAD is $0.099 USD a kWh. Hydro Quebec is even cheaper. At a theoretical 6 tok/s, 86400 seconds in a day, approx 500,000 tokens of GLM5.2 output for 2 bucks a day seems like a pretty good bargai…
if only there was a magical place where geothermal and hydroelectric is ubiquitous and the weather is cold enough that no one is going to be complaining about free heating.
To be fair, Vancouver is such a magical place in terms of electrical cost, but the cost of living and real estate are otherwise through the roof, with decrepit and nasty (would need $100k in renovations immediately if you're not treating it as a teardown) single family detached homes on the east side of the city selling for 3.2 million.
I run Q4_K_XL. All it takes to run to get about 6tk/sec is 512gb of ram and 2 3090 GPUs with llama.cpp -cmoe. I also have crappy DDR4, 2400mhz, 3200mhz will bring that speed up to about 9tk/sec. I also have ok 32core epyc CPU, a better 64core would bring it up to about 11tk/sec. I did a budget build before the crazy hardware cost and I regret it everyday. Nevertheless, it's fantastic being able to run this model at h…
I applaud all you tinkerers for pushing on the state of the home-brewed art here. Like crypto, AI is drowned out by hucksters, very few people talk about developing resilience. Or the researchers who will push on open source models in efforts to cram them onto an electric toothbrush or tamagotchi. Bravo to you all.
I have been putting up with it forever. We are spoiled by MixtureOfExperts. Folks were delighted to run llama3-70B at such speed. We were happy with 15-20tk/sec with 8b models, and if you could run llama3-405B at 1tk/sec you were a god. To each their own. I can live with 6 high quality tokens. If I could get a Fable equivalent model, I'll gladly take 2tk/sec if that's what it took to run it locally.
But what is it doing for you that you couldn’t do yourself at that speed? I‘m really curious and on the fence of partly going local.
Not a Local LLM user, but I regularly kick off meaty jobs in Claude Code then check on them 1-2hrs later.
I run Q4_K_XL. All it takes to run to get about 6tk/sec is 512gb of ram and 2 3090 GPUs with llama.cpp -cmoe. I also have crappy DDR4, 2400mhz, 3200mhz will bring that speed up to about 9tk/sec. I also have ok 32core epyc CPU, a better 64core would bring it up to about 11tk/sec. I did a budget build before the crazy hardware cost and I regret it everyday. Nevertheless, it's fantastic being able to run this model at h…
Running that full load is at least 600 W, so in a day ~14 kWh. At $0.2 a kWH, that would be $2.80/day or $1k a year of op-ex in electricity. Unless you really want privacy or the fuzzy feeling of owning your own, it’s cheaper, more convenient and has much faster tok/s if you pay a hyper scaler. That said, I do like the direction we are heading and look forward to seeing what host your own hardware we get in 2 years.
We do want privacy, and we also want to own the hardware so the US can't just turn it off whenever it feels like it.
I think the main reason not to run locally is to get the full models instead of quantized versions.
"it can fit" on 256GB of RAM, but it will be heavily quantized and still run very slowly. The headline number is not token generation, its prompt processing. So if you get 10 tok/s and an API gives you 20-30 tok/s, it doesn't seem that bad on its face, but a mac studio or any other machine that's not loading all of it into GPU will do PP 20-50X slower than a purely GPU based setup, which is what actually makes this u…
A nvidia spark thingie has 128GB unified RAM. They also have a dual port version of one of these things: https://www.nvidia.com/content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/networkin... . ie 2 x 100GB/s ports, they may even be 2 x 200GB/s. Once I've got my paws on one, I'll know more. You can cluster these beasts too. Two and three (with two IP subnets) is fairly obvious. Four or more might need a switch depending on how much network…
It is 2x200Gb/s physically but the PCIe bandwidth is basically only 200Gb/s so it may as well be one, and actually its a weird 2xPCIe4 not 1xPCIe8 so it appears in software as dual 100Gb/s. Its a bit odd.
Where I live prices are often higher than 20c/kWh, but lets take your example and halve it (10c/kWh) so it's ~$1.40/day or ~$500/year. On Openrouter, the cheapest GLM 5.2 provider costs $3/MTok (at 44 tps). Assuming most use is output tokens, that's still the equivalent of 450k token/day, so we're in the same ball park, but without the capex for 2 3090's and the machine. Self hosted only makes economic sense if your…
That's true, there's a lot of places where power is considerably more expensive than $0.20 USD/kWh. But also the 600W figure assumes that it's fully loaded 24x7x365. Running a system that will be 600W under max CPU usage on all cores and RAM and a few 3090-class GPUs, that same system might be only 90W or around there when idle at 0.00 unix load. If we say: (600 * 24 * 31)/1000 = 446kWh in a month at full load 24 hou…
I think that's the biggest difference for most. If you can amortize the hardware costs, then 'burst usage' is cheaper at home to a degree, because you are paying a fixed monthly rate elsewise. Overall thought for most, it is likely cheaper to use the cloud than at home, but really depends on what you want.
There is a push from multiple directions at the same time: - new AI desktops with GB10s. They are relatively cheap and you can cluster them and load 1TB of VRAM - Nvidia, amd, intel, Cerebras etc pushing new hardware - oss models getting crazy good, like glm 5.2 - flash models getting very good like deepseek V4 flash - quantizations - harnesses being able to use different models (big for difficult stuff, small for gr…
I feel like "relatively" is doing a lot of work, there: at about $4k per GB10, that's $36k for a 1TB cluster. Cheap compared to equivalent H200's, but out of reach for home labs that aren't funded with OpenAI or Anthropic RSUs.