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A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

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Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

you are wrong. https://epoch.ai/data-insights/llm-inference-price-trends this is accounting for the fact that more tokens are used.

The chart shows that they’re right though. Newer models cost more than older models. Sure they’re better but that’s moot if older models are not available or can’t solve the problem they’re tasked with.

OpenAI has always priced newer models lower than older ones.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#172
post #65

I worry about the "brain atrophy" part, as I've felt this too. And not just atrophy, but even moreso I think it's evolving into "complacency". Like there have been multiple times now where I wanted the code to look a certain way, but it kept pulling back to the way it wanted to do things. Like if I had stated certain design goals recently it would adhere to them, but after a few iterations it would forget again and g…

My disillusionment comes from the feeling I am just cosplaying my job. There is nothing to distinguish one cosplayer from another. I am just doordashing software, at this point, and I'm not in control.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#173

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not true. Many technologies get more expensive over time, as labor gets more expensive or as certain skills fall by the wayside, not everything is mass market. Have you tried getting a grandfather clock repaired lately?

"repairing a unique clock" getting costlier doesn't mean technology hasn't gotten cheaper. check out whether clocks have gotten cheaper in general. the answer is that it has. there is no economy of scale here in repairing a single clock. its not relevant to bring it up here.

Clocks prices have gone up since 2020. Unless a cheaper better way to make clocks has emerged inflation causes prices to grow.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's not true. Many technologies get more expensive over time, as labor gets more expensive or as certain skills fall by the wayside, not everything is mass market. Have you tried getting a grandfather clock repaired lately?

No. You don't get to make "technology gets more expensive over time" statements for deprecated technologies. Getting a bespoke flintstone axe is also pretty expensive, and has also absolutely no relevance to modern life. These discussions must, if they are to be useful, center in a population experience, not in unique personal moments.

Bought any RAM lately? Phone? GPU in the last decade?

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#175
Instead of a 17 paragraph twitter post with a baffling TLDR at the end why not just record your screen and _demonstrate_ all of what you're describing?

Otherwise, I think you're incidentally right, your "ego" /is/ bruised, and you're looking for a way out by trying to prognosticate on the future of the technology. You're failing in two different ways.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#176
post #65

I worry about the "brain atrophy" part, as I've felt this too. And not just atrophy, but even moreso I think it's evolving into "complacency". Like there have been multiple times now where I wanted the code to look a certain way, but it kept pulling back to the way it wanted to do things. Like if I had stated certain design goals recently it would adhere to them, but after a few iterations it would forget again and g…

It's not just brain atrophy, I think. I think part of it is that we're actively making a tradeoff to focus on learning how to use the model rather than learning how to use our own brains and work with each other. This would be fine if not for one thing: the meta-skill of learning to use the LLM depreciates too. Today's LLM is gonna go away someday, the way you have to use it will change. You will be on a forever trea…

Businesses too. For two years it's been "throw everything into AI." But now that shit is getting real, are they really feeling so coy about letting AI run ahead of their engineering team's ability to manage it? How long will it be until we start seeing outages that just don't get resolved because the engineers have lost the plot?

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#177
post #11

> LLM coding will split up engineers based on those who primarily liked coding and those who primarily liked building. I’ve always said I’m a builder even though I’ve also enjoyed programming (but for an outcome, never for the sake of the code) This perfectly sums up what I’ve been observing between people like me (builders) who are ecstatic about this new world and programmers who talk about the craft of programming…

Maybe there's an intermediate category: people who like designing software? I personally find system design more engaging than coding (even though I enjoy coding as well). That's different from just producing an opaque artifact that seems to solve my problem.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#178

Instead of a 17 paragraph twitter post with a baffling TLDR at the end why not just record your screen and _demonstrate_ all of what you're describing? Otherwise, I think you're incidentally right, your "ego" /is/ bruised, and you're looking for a way out by trying to prognosticate on the future of the technology. You're failing in two different ways.

[deleted]

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#179

Earlier quoted context omitted.

this is incorrect. the cost to achieve the same task by old models is way higher than by new models. > Newer models cost more than older models where did you see this?

On the link you shared, 4o vs 3.5 turbo price per 1m tokens. There’s no such thing as ”same task by old model”, you might get comparable results or you might not (and this is why the comparison fail, it’s not a comparison), the reason you pick the newer models is to increase chances of getting a good result.

> The dataset for this insight combines data on large language model (LLM) API prices and benchmark scores from Artificial Analysis and Epoch AI. We used this dataset to identify the lowest-priced LLMs that match or exceed a given score on a benchmark. We then fit a log-linear regression model to the prices of these LLMs over time, to measure the rate of decrease in price. We applied the same method to several benchmarks (e.g. MMLU, HumanEval) and performance thresholds (e.g. GPT-3.5 level, GPT-4o level) to determine the variation across performance metrics

This should answer. In your case, GPT-3.5 definitely is cheaper per token than 4o but much much less capable. So they used a model that is cheaper than GPT-3.5 that achieved better performance for the analysis.

Re: A few random notes from Claude coding quite a bit last few weeks

#180
post #171

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The chart shows that they’re right though. Newer models cost more than older models. Sure they’re better but that’s moot if older models are not available or can’t solve the problem they’re tasked with.

OpenAI has always priced newer models lower than older ones.

https://platform.openai.com/docs/pricing

Not according to their pricing table. Then again I’m not sure what OpenAI model versions even mean anymore, but I would assume 5.2 is in the same family as 5 and 5.2-pro as 5-pro

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