Google will come out with an AI answer bot. In Beta.
Will make it non Beta in 2025.
Will shut it down in 2026.
Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
171–180 of 816 posts
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#172Earlier quoted context omitted.
Those are all weak reasons. Musk was correctly anticipating a major down turn in the economy for 2022. He was saying this at the end of 2021. Of course Tesla went down, everything else did as well. This is not a surprise. Fun fact he and Thiel also correctly anticipated the dotcom crash before it happened and pushed for the last round of PayPal funding to get done quickly at the peak as they expected it to be the las…
It's a bit weird to overpay for Twitter if you're expecting a downturn, no?
That was the right price at the time and patience is certainly not his virtue. Like I said putting it all on the line is how he operates.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#1731. Deglobalization accelerates as the Bretton woods organisations become increasingly irrelevant and trade moves to being bloc and region based. 2. The web continues to fracture into separate Euro, Sino, Russo and Americano nets due to increasingly different views in privacy, surveillance, freedom of speech etc. SV companies are slow to pick up on this. 3. Tech layoffs in the Bay Area intensify. When hiring begins ag…
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Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#174Full out invasion by Russia to Ukraine.
It already happened this year.
I don't think it was full out from Russia's side. They could still mobilize millions and use nukes. They haven't really bombed Kyiv's critical infrastructures and government buildings, for example president's office.
I think Putin will bet it all on full out war to conquer Ukraine in 2023. I wish I would be wrong.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#175- Full Self Driving will be "1-2 years away", much as it has been for the last 7 years - Nuclear fusion "is only 2 decades away", just as it has been the last 40-60 years. - same for other "right around the corner" predictions - the world will change; most of that change is incremental; any real radical shifts will only be apparent with hindsight. - the superrich are going to get loads more superrich; the environment…
Re: - Nuclear fusion "is only 2 decades away", just as it has been the last 40-60 years. Has recent advances in the last month not made you more optimistic?
I have a degree in theoretical physics and I would bet money against commercial nuclear fusion within the next 40 years. It's important research, but it's one hell of a long shot.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#176Earlier quoted context omitted.
Was there something ambiguous about destroying the most prosperous African nation?
Are you refering to Libya? If so, you mean that Gadaffi was a saint or something?
I call your lockebie bombing.
I raise you 1 bush iraq invasion and 1 obama Afghanistan quagmire and drone assassinations.
I'll throw in a trump TMZ secret bus recording too, just for kicks.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#1771. A breakthrough in "deepfake voice" is made that can emote convincingly. It is used to add Marilyn Monroe or James Dean to a TV show or movie. A US supreme court challenge to the admissibility of audio recordings is begun, after a murder case is thrown out due to evidence being shown to be an audio deepfake.
2. A single climate catastrophe-linked weather event causes tens of thousands of deaths. Governments pledge action, but nothing is done.
3. A hedge fund backed landlord service is launched. Sold to businesses, it is promoted as another benefit like health insurance for employees. Businesses love it because they can move people around like cargo.
4. Evidence is found that links microplastics to anti-social behaviour.
5. russian losses in Ukraine top 250,000. A new attempt to take Kyiv is made by russia, using the better-trained mobilized troops.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
No but I think said increase is hardly influenced by human activity and is instead part of a cyclical behavior of Earth, which has been reconstructed by several studies (by reputable institutions I should add) I'm fairly certain the biggest threat that human industry poses is the chemical and polymer poisoning of the environment. Rising temperatures are only of concerns in the view that planetary conditions should be…
> which has been reconstructed by several studies (by reputable institutions I should add) Sources would be helpful.
(I'm not the person you replied to and talking in general)
Most likely they wouldn't. You can find sources to back up almost any claim. Without the context they're not actually all that useful.
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#179- The one who was laid off/fired will form a to-be-billon-dollar company.
- Suddenly there will be high quality, eloquent and verbose written form of English everywhere (emails, books, movie scripts, blogs, news, poems, school/college essays).
- Climate change protests turns fatal.
- Twitter will be on the path to profitability (don't know what it will have to pay for it though).
Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2023?
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Breakthrough treaty between Taiwan and China. This is impossible on several levels. Most Chinese citizens are 100% convinced that Taiwan is a breakaway province and the mere idea of its independence is extremely offensive. Even if Xi himself were amenable to the idea of a treaty (which he is not — rather, he sees the “reclamation” of Taiwan as his opportunity to write himself into the history books), his government…
I think he meant a treaty of quasi independence yet on face a special autonomous region of China for Taiwan. And your assessment is right. It is unimaginable for any leader of CCP to grant independent state to Taiwan. He would be buried by party members and mainland Chinese. This sort of treaty still needs to be approved by China's parliament. Though in most cases it is a just formality for parliament to approve any…
Oh yes, I didn’t mean that protests never happen — I was in one of the cities with protests as they were happening. I only meant that I think it’s unlikely we’ll see more large-scale protests related to Covid.
Edit: and thank you for your first-hand input on Taiwan.