Earlier quoted context omitted.
The information problem is exactly what I'm referring to. We have a lot of means of gathering and analzying information that we didn't have before, and those could be used to accomplish this. I'm also not advocating for a fully planned economy either, that has a lot of problems including the ones you mentioned.
> The information problem is exactly what I'm referring to I'm not sure you understand the information problem I meant. The information problem I meant is that, heuristically speaking, the amount of information required to make correct economic decisions goes up exponentially with the size of the economy, while the bandwidth of information channels available to any central authority only goes up linearly with the siz…
IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
171–180 of 199 posts
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#172Earlier quoted context omitted.
What's offensive is, the thought that the only good in a life is working like a slave to please an intellectual's ideal. Its the old Protestant work ethic, which served us for a time but is rapidly becoming obsolete. In the 1950's we wrote about how robots would remove the yoke of labor from our shoulders, let us go on to be creating and enjoy leisure. Now that it's happening, folks are panicking. Cries of "But peopl…
> What's offensive is, the thought that the only good in a life is working like a slave to please an intellectual's ideal. Which is not at all what I said. > What might people accomplish if they're not required to labor at McD's for 8 hours a day? Lots of things, I'm sure. And as long as those things improve people's lives in some way, I'm all for it.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#173Earlier quoted context omitted.
> they have been more than capable to support the industry and take credit for it's successes Well let's face it, we're all getting a huge break from the government right now in a ton of different ways, so they do get some credit for making the laws incredibly lax around here. Even Trump's government gets credit until it screws up this sweet deal we're on. And if you wanna see how sweet it really gets, go into fintec…
But that guy at Google is very much in the minority, as are all of the people causing problems with various *isms. But that doesn't stop people from continuing to paint us specifically with too broad a brush, and I don't think that's just an accident, I think it's because they have an issue with us personally, and that's probably due to negative stereotypes about "geeks".
Can you prove this? I'm curious. I don't entirely disagree, but I sure would love verification.
I think that whole thing about "unconscious bias" is very real, and it's quite fair to rigorously examine our biases and accept constructive criticism of them. There's also a matter of perception lagging behind reality, and reality being difficult to assess because of availability biases.
> But that doesn't stop people from continuing to paint us specifically with too broad a brush,
Deep apologies for going so far on a tangent here, but I'd like to encourage you to step back from these for a moment.
Firstly, don't be that person and allegations aimed at said people don't really apply to you? If you accidentally behave in a way that lines up with these allegations, then own it, accept the censure, identify what steps you'll take to correct yourself then execute on them.
> I think it's because they have an issue with us personally, and that's probably due to negative stereotypes about "geeks".
I'm sure that there is a bit of this still lingering in the world, but by-and-large the stereotyping about "geeks" has ended. Geeks rule the damn world. Geeks dominate the news cycle. In terms of combating anti-intellectualism? We're winning that handily.
Here's the part where I sorta agree with your previous statement, even if I wouldn't bet the whole farm on it:
One of the reasons that the extreme-conservative-and-extreme-liberal rhetoric is amplifying so much lately is that fact-and-experiment-driven flexibility is actually gaining so much cultural mindshare from more dogmatic methods of thinking. This empirical method is decried by both sides of the aisle as "centrism" or painted as anti-humanist. I don't believe it is, but such is the defense mechanism of those those thoughts. Examine the rhetoric of a "nationalist" or a "monarchist" or even a "communist"; exclusion is baked into their doctrine. It's why these ideas are so tenacious.
As these more dogmatic groups get backed further and further into corners, they seem outsized cultural impact more and more desperately to avoid the perception that they are in decline.
To this end, enduring slings and arrows while focusing on doing the right and fair thing, with an eye towards incremental improvement, is exactly what folks attacking our community hate us doing. Part of the reason they're eager to amplify our failures at self-policing is because they're flustered by the fact that for the most part the valley has calmly agreed that the current situation is in fact illegal and untenable and started taking steps to correct it.
These steps can't happen overnight, nor can they be "one simple thing." We both know that. But dogmatic thought thrives on the notion that if you just listen and do whatever they say (often without any pre-planning at all) then it'll all go away.
Looping this all back around to the topic, it's up to us to figure out how to use the power-disparity we're developing (and that's precisely what a difference is technology is) to make the world a better place. Criticism needs to be in our lives to remind us that we're shaping things that can affect generations and generations to come.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#174Earlier quoted context omitted.
The information problem is exactly what I'm referring to. We have a lot of means of gathering and analzying information that we didn't have before, and those could be used to accomplish this. I'm also not advocating for a fully planned economy either, that has a lot of problems including the ones you mentioned.
> We have a lot of means of gathering and analzying information that we didn't have before, and those could be used to accomplish this. I'm also not advocating for a fully planned economy either... Accomplish what? If you don't mean accomplish central control over the economy, then I fail to understand what you mean by "an efficient socialist economy".
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#175Earlier quoted context omitted.
> You are basically limiting "produce" to mean produce basic subsistence items like food, clothing, and shelter. I would also include the arts, entertainment, service work, craftsmanship, etc. But going on... > Yes, of course the fraction of people that need to work to produce those things will decrease with automation--that's been happening for most of human history, and has been happening a lot faster since the Ind…
> I would also include the arts, entertainment, service work, craftsmanship, etc. But that destroys your argument, because these things are not automated and won't be any time soon. Automation certainly does not remove the need for humans to create works of art and entertainment, to perform services, to provide craftsmanship, etc. So if all those things are included in "produce", then there are lots of ways for human…
After the limited time I've spent in my life paying attention to this, I'm not assuming any job, including my own, is safe from automation.
> Historically, farm laborers whose jobs disappeared went to the cities and started working in factories or learned a trade.
And that is the difference, except this time the cities jobs are being automated and there's no where left to go, as even the farms don't need nearly so many people. And yes there's certainly an argument to be made for the trades which I'm sure are (mostly) safe from automation for awhile, but not forever, and there's a limited pool of people who are skilled enough to do those jobs, and even past that is a limited availability of those jobs, AND AFTER THAT is the fact that as more and more former factory workers, truck drivers, and coal miners all sign on to be plumbers, electricians, etc. all of which are needed that the supply of those workers will explode and the wage they make will therefore shrink.
> Agreed, but my argument is that if those are the only two choices, we're doomed. Basically, you're saying society will, in the fairly near future, end up stagnant--all important jobs will be automated and all of the humans will just sit around watching soap operas (except, perhaps, for the small number of humans who oversee the automation).
That't not at all what I said: I said we should have a system in place for that certain group of people who have nothing to contribute, because there's nothing wrong with that. The alternative to feeding and clothing them in their homes is to feed and clothe them in prison, and the former doesn't enrich private prisons and we don't need to pay for guards, not to mention the ethical cost involved in the current situation which is mass incarceration.
I'm saying, by virtue of being born, you should be fed, clothed, and sheltered because we can do that and the notion that we simply shouldn't so Mark Zuckerburg can have a fifth house is I'm sorry, a DISGUSTING idea to me.
> I would put this differently. I would say that the idea that someone could receive a basic living without producing anything that improves anyone's lives is offensive to huge numbers of people. And it should be.
Why is that offensive? With what we currently spend on defense, we could feed, house, and clothe every homeless person in the United States with Gucci bags, mansions and caviar. Why is it so important that we not? And if you cannot answer without citing tradition or work ethic or something equally arbitrary and archaic, then I'm sorry but I'm not convinced.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#176Corporations rarely use tech to fight other Corpos. When they do the best strategy is to commoditize competitor's main market [1].
Ex1. free Google maps have killed many GIS / mapping businesses.
Ex2. Free Google Docs hurts badly MS Office (office is 33% of their revenue)
[1] Smart companies try to commoditize their products’ complements. https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2002/06/12/strategy-letter-v/
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#177Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What's offensive is, the thought that the only good in a life is working like a slave to please an intellectual's ideal. Which is not at all what I said. > What might people accomplish if they're not required to labor at McD's for 8 hours a day? Lots of things, I'm sure. And as long as those things improve people's lives in some way, I'm all for it.
How about, leave that up to them to determine? Again, intellectual ideals work as long as we all think alike. Which we don't.
Up to whom? Yes, you get to decide what improves your own life. But you don't get to decide what improves someone else's life.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#178Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I would also include the arts, entertainment, service work, craftsmanship, etc. But that destroys your argument, because these things are not automated and won't be any time soon. Automation certainly does not remove the need for humans to create works of art and entertainment, to perform services, to provide craftsmanship, etc. So if all those things are included in "produce", then there are lots of ways for human…
> But that destroys your argument, because these things are not automated and won't be any time soon. After the limited time I've spent in my life paying attention to this, I'm not assuming any job, including my own, is safe from automation. > Historically, farm laborers whose jobs disappeared went to the cities and started working in factories or learned a trade. And that is the difference, except this time the citi…
So you think things like artistic creativity, service work, craftsmanship, etc. are going to be automated soon? That there will literally be no productive things that humans can do, sometime in the not too distant future?
If that is indeed what you think, then I can see why you want some rule put in place that ensures that all humans get a basic living, uncoupled from work. But I still think that, if that's the case, humanity is doomed. See below.
> With what we currently spend on defense, we could feed, house, and clothe every homeless person in the United States with Gucci bags, mansions and caviar.
But that's not what you're talking about. You're not just talking about homeless people. You're talking about, eventually, all people. You're saying that there will come a time in the not too distant future where every single human on the planet has effectively zero productivity. And your way of preparing for this is to put a rule in place that says that humans don't have to produce anything in order to get a basic living.
One problem with this is, as I said before, change. If you haven't automated dealing with change, then any state where, for the moment, humans don't have to produce anything won't be stable.
But if you have automated dealing with change, then you're up against a bigger problem: you have basically invented AI, and there is no guarantee that the AI will care about humans. We will be at the mercy of the AI, just as other life forms on Earth today are at the mercy of humans. We will basically be zoo animals, preserved only at the sufferance of the AI. And in that situation, humanity is doomed.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#179Earlier quoted context omitted.
Alt-right is white nationalism. So you've gone from libertarian which is not really left or right (depends on issue but revolves mainly around a weak central government except as it relates to protecting civil liberties and national defense), completely skipped moderate conservatives, conservatives, and right wing, and even hard right, and landed on a blatantly racist movement that has no f'n idea how the economy eve…
"The base ideology requires people believe vicious things about 'the other' who happen to be merely different." The "alt-right" are not the only ones who are guilty of this, unfortunately. This is a characteristic of the extremes of pretty much every political position or ideology. Personally, the whole "if you're not with us you're against us" mentality of both of the mainstream political parties is what drove me to…
The ensuing dissonance upon understanding this punishment is what encourages our low voter participation rates, as well as hyper-partisan politics, tribalism. In addition, there's a pervasive "government sucks" that contemplating a state by state change in voting law, and it would have to be state by state, seems like dark comedy. It would take a lot of political committment way beyond that of voting 3rd party to fix the problem we have in the American political system. Americans are politically lazy, content to not vote, or vote 3rd party, and suffer the inevitable result, engage in political denialism, than the critical thinking required to fix it.
The effect of closed primary elections also enhances this tribalism and discourse problem. It's maybe 8-12% of the total eligible electorate that get a presidential primary candidate the nomination for the two major parties.
Both major political parties sabotaged the Electoral College by stacking it with party loyalists rather than, you know, smart people or even contemplative people or even randomly selected citizens. We could hardly do worse choosing dead people for Electors.
A case to watch is Gill vs Whitford before the Supreme Court next year.
Re: IT is the cause of rising income and wealth inequality since the 1970s [pdf]
#180Earlier quoted context omitted.
Alt-right is white nationalism. So you've gone from libertarian which is not really left or right (depends on issue but revolves mainly around a weak central government except as it relates to protecting civil liberties and national defense), completely skipped moderate conservatives, conservatives, and right wing, and even hard right, and landed on a blatantly racist movement that has no f'n idea how the economy eve…
I skipped those other things because there's actually less of your typical conservatives in this industry than average, but there's a disturbingly high number of alt-right software engineers. Like 10% of the last company I worked for! Plus, people have been referring to liberals as libtards since way before the alt right was a thing, and the alt right doesn't really tend to advocate for tax cuts for the rich. They ar…
In another conversation on HN about the social benefits of shaming people, I'd say a possible reason "basket of deplorables" approach didn't work is because it was quickly followed by milquetoast apology. If you want an invidious recipe for political fallout, that would be it. If you're going to try and shame people effectively as a bully you have to stick with it (see Trump).