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Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

telegraph.co.uk

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Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#161

Post by [deleted] »

Andrex wrote: post #145
randycupertino wrote: post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Zuckerberg's leadership style feels very reactionary and arrogant, defined by flailing around for the new fad and new hyped thing, scrapping everything that when the current obsession doesn't work out and then sticking head in the sand about abandoned projects and ignoring subsequent whiplash. Remember when he pivoted the entire company to the meta-verse and it was all about avatars with no legs? And how proud they t…

> Zuckerberg's leadership style feels very reactionary and arrogant, defined by flailing around for the new fad and new hyped thing, scrapping everything that when the current obsession doesn't work out and then sticking head in the sand about abandoned projects and ignoring subsequent whiplash. Maybe he's like this because the first few times he tried it, it worked. Insta threatening the empire? Buy Insta, no one re…

[deleted]

Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#163

Post by gdbsjjdn »

BoredPositron wrote: post #4

What I don't get is that they are gunning for the people that brought us the innovations we are working with right now. How often does it happen that someone really strikes gold a second time in research at such a high level? It's not a sport.

You're falling victim to the Gambler's Fallacy - it's like saying "the coin just flipped heads, so I choose tails, it's unlikely this coin flips heads twice in a row".

Realistically they have to draw from a small pool of people with expertise in the field. It is unlikely _anyone_ they hire will "strike gold", but past success doesn't make future success _less_ likely. At a minimum I would assume past success is uncorrelated with future success, and at best there's a weak positive correlation because of reputation, social factors, etc.

Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#164

Post by ethbr1 »

phkahler wrote: post #157
lelanthran wrote: post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 1000 people can't get a woman to have a child faster than 1 person. I always get slightly miffed about business comparisons to gestation: getting 9 women pregnant won't get you a child in 1 month. Sure, if you want one child. But that's not what business is often doing, now is it? The target is never "one child". The target is "10 children", or "100 children" or "1000 children". You are definitely going to overrun…

>> Sure, if you want one child. But that's not what business is often doing, now is it? Your designing one thing. You're building one plant. Yes, you'll make and sell millions of widgets in the end but the system that produces them? Just one. Engineering teams do become less efficient above some size.

You'd think someone would have written a book on the subject.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mythical_Man-Month

Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#165

Post by logicchains »

cedws wrote: post #108
ekianjo wrote: post #28

> Sam Altman, OpenAI’s chief executive, has compared hype around AI to the dotcom bubble at the turn of the century Sam is the main one driving the hype, that's rich...

Now that you mention it, there's been a very sudden tone shift from both Altman and Zuckerberg. What's going on?

GPT-5 was a massive disappointment to people expecting LLMs to accelerate to the singularity. Unless Google comes out with something amazing in the next Gemini, all the people betting on AI firms owning the singularity will be rethinking their bets.

Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#168

Post by deltarholamda »

morkalork wrote: post #152

Really feels like it went from "AI is going to destroy everyone's jobs forever" to "whoops bubble" in about 6 weeks.

It'll be somewhere in between. A lot of capital will be burned, quite a few marginal jobs will be replaced, and AI will run into the wall of not enough new/good training material because all the future creators will be spoiled by using AI.

Re: Mark Zuckerberg freezes AI hiring amid bubble fears

#169

Post by scrollop »

koakuma-chan wrote: post #48
matusp wrote: post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What about him?

Right, what about him? Didn't he start his own company and raised 1 billion a while ago? I haven't heard about them since then.

Didn't he say their goal is AGI and they will not produce any products until then.

I admire that, in this era where CEOs tend to HYPE!! To increase funding (looking at a particular AI company...)

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