> We can completely ignore the fact that over the years the average location of all the contributing stations has moved slightly northward to colder territory[.] Woah, that's not something I'd considered. Are weather stations that contribute to NOAA operated by the volunteer public, kind of like Weather Underground? Either way, that's pretty interesting that there's a distinct northward migration in at least one "dem…
But everything is area-weighted, so if we move a southern station northward, that means the southern stations previous neighbours will need to carry more weight. The station moved northward will steal some of the weight from its new northerly neighbours. So, it should only impact the accuracy of the results, not necessarily shift things colder.
USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
161–170 of 247 posts
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#162Honest question: Why such vitriol against "climate deniers?" The term "climate denier" is loading with negative connotation just on it's face, and it's rarely used in isolation in an otherwise respectful way. There will always be people that disagree with you about something. Some are honest, some are not. Why be an asshole and treat people poorly and disrespectfully? That makes you as bad or worse than them IMHO. Ev…
I think part of that is a sign of our time, everything is either black or white, the good guys against the villains, "whoever disagrees with me is a bastard, no discussion, no debate, let's aim at the throat". At the moment the right is taking the blunt of these insults. Whoever disagree with the current feminist campaign is a misogynist bigot, a traditional patriarchy advocate. Whoever disagrees with the black lives…
Climate change isn’t. It’s a scientific fact. On the same footing as the second law of thermodynamics at this point. There just is no disagreement to be had that isn’t as ludicrous as debating political sides of the flat earth “theory”
The only thing we should be disagreeing on is what to do now that we know these facts. Not on wether they are facts.
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#163Earlier quoted context omitted.
Does “* denier” really count as vitriol? I don’t personally use this language, but for what I think is a different reason: if removing a noun-forming suffix yields a verb which defines the extent of a category, I just think this results in an extraneous lack of specificity (you could instead just describe the subject as performing the action). I also think it’s collectively beneficial to not go out of our way to cate…
> Does “* denier” really count as vitriol? Great question. I agree with your logic, and that on its face it isn't vitriolic, or even really offensive (or shouldn't be at least). However I've only ever really seen the term used by people that are using it as a pejorative. For that reason I take more of a structuralist view on the meaning, which is subjective. I've never heard somebody (excluding trolls) describe thems…
How do they describe themselves?
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#164Honest question: Why such vitriol against "climate deniers?" The term "climate denier" is loading with negative connotation just on it's face, and it's rarely used in isolation in an otherwise respectful way. There will always be people that disagree with you about something. Some are honest, some are not. Why be an asshole and treat people poorly and disrespectfully? That makes you as bad or worse than them IMHO. Ev…
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#165Honest question: Why such vitriol against "climate deniers?" The term "climate denier" is loading with negative connotation just on it's face, and it's rarely used in isolation in an otherwise respectful way. There will always be people that disagree with you about something. Some are honest, some are not. Why be an asshole and treat people poorly and disrespectfully? That makes you as bad or worse than them IMHO. Ev…
Because their stupidity is going to kill us all. I'm very vitriolic against people that are trying to kill me and my family, I can't help it.
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#166Earlier quoted context omitted.
> appeal to authority is still a logical fallacy The data are publicly available and the papers relatively accessible. The dismissal isn’t because climate deniers reject the mainstream. It’s because they reject the mainstream without trying to understand it.
So, how many research papers did your parents read when bringing you up? Can they cite the list of publications that convinced them to give or not give you the vaccinations? This is not how it works the real world. Saying "research is out there" is absolutely meaningless in convincing people, especially if you don't even post actual links/citations (which most people never do).
They listened to their doctors. Modern life is too complex for everyone to understand everything fully. So we delegate decisions to reliable authorities.
If one wishes to disagree with said authorities, i.e. with the status quo, the burden of proof is on the person bringing the disagreement. The problem with anti-vaxers and climate deniers is their rejection of the status quo without any proper evidence. (Also making decisions that negatively impact other people.)
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#167It's despicable, isn't it? Like, there are climate change deniers that are overly-skeptical or gullible and buy into the mountains of misinformation. And then there are those like Steve Goddard who sit down every day and work their asses off creating said misinformation (check his twitter). Actively manipulating and cherrypicking data to deceive for personal gain (whether it be paychecks, political favor, whatever).…
A fair question: has the climate alarmist side not cherry picked or even used fraudulent data to suit their cause as well? https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2010/feb/01/leaked-e... Our skepticism isn’t about the climate changing, (remember when it was called global warming?) it’s a skepticism about the causes and the degree to which human influence plays a significant role. Any time there is any skepticism at a…
I've seen people arguing that climate change is a Western conspiracy (full with Jewish Bankers and the usual cast) to stunt the economy of the East, by robbing them of cheap fossil fuel they need and deserve. Maybe you guys should talk to each other.
God it's hard being a socialist liberal working for the World Bank...
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#168Honest question: Why such vitriol against "climate deniers?" The term "climate denier" is loading with negative connotation just on it's face, and it's rarely used in isolation in an otherwise respectful way. There will always be people that disagree with you about something. Some are honest, some are not. Why be an asshole and treat people poorly and disrespectfully? That makes you as bad or worse than them IMHO. Ev…
2. No, treating people poorly who continually spread misinformation and lies does not make you bad or worse than them, this is a silly misrepresentation that would almost arise to this question fitting classic sealioning.
3. There is no expectation to win over hearts and minds, and this isnt a debate - its simply evidence being denied out of hand because it doesn't fit the person's narrative. It should be dealt with just as much scorn as a flat earther.
There's no good points when someone isn't willing to bring table stakes of "willing to acknowledge evidence"
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#169Earlier quoted context omitted.
Same reason for the vitriol against anti-vax. These are people who are claiming to know better than the vast majority of the scientific community (seriously, it's something like 99%+), despite having little to no expertise in the field. Multiple independent governments, thousands of peer reviewed studies across multiple disciplines, data collected from satellites, billions of dollars across decades of research... but…
All this may be true, but appeal to authority is still a logical fallacy. You can't just shame people into believing something they don't understand because "smarter" people believe it. It's a shameful failure of communication more than anything else. And I don't understand why people like you don't understand that.
Re: USA Temperature: can I sucker you?
#170Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's a common argument deniers make to try and spread FUD. > They used to call it global warming , then they rebranded it to (the more accurate) climate change because their narrative was coming apart/everything is fine/elitist climate scientists trying to get money. If they can't even get their story straight why should we believe them?? > This message was brought to you by the 'Sensible Patriotic Americans Against…
The irony is that the phrase "climate change" was actually pushed initially by a Republican advisor (Frank Luntz) as it was considered less frightening to the public than "global warming". The other irony is that this phrase was used a lot of few years back when many were claiming there was no warming going on by cherry picking the 1998 El Nino spike as a starting point for temperature graphs. Then the argument was -…
Academic publications were using the phrase "climate change" to discuss the warming effects well before Frank Luntz. He may have been important to putting that phrase in front of the general public, but "climate change" isn't a euphemism invented by PR hacks. The foremost summary assessments are assembled by the IPCC -- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, whose first report came out in 1990.
Here are publications from 1980 and 1970 also using the phrase to discuss warming phenomena.
"On the Distribution of Climate Change Resulting From an Increase in CO2 Content of the Atmosphere", Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, January 1980
https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0469%28198...
"Carbon Dioxide and its Role in Climate Change", Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, October 1970