Live data from Hacker News

How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

bbc.co.uk

151–159 of 159 posts

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#151

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>turn their guns outward Different kinds of calibre guns, so far PRC has not brought out the big ones nor firing with intent to kill. PRC foreign propaganda is still overwhelmingly boring "tell china story well", distinctively different from Russian troll farms. They're fundamentally different attack vectors. Both also influence diaspora, as does every country. There's just more Chinese abroad with perspective of bot…

> Different kinds of calibre guns I'm sorry but you aren't paying attention to recent developments. Chinese trolls are attaching themselves to wedge issues in the US culture war (guns, BLM, etc.) in the same way Russia did, as a strategy of general harm. Also vaccine related disinfo isn't general/vague or long term in it's harm, it's doing real damage today. https://www.thedailybeast.com/pro-china-trolls-dubbed-spamo…

>paying attention to recent developments

I follow the subject closely. The "no intent to kill" pertains to scope of Chinese influence operations, in terms of harm they're minimal relative to other actors. IRC the dailybeast link was about PRC trolls mocking lockdown skepticism, listening to them would have helped not harmed. These events do not occuring in void, PRC/US responds to each other's disinformation efforts. And will continue to, that's expected, what's unexpected IMO is PRC isn't pushing propaganda nearly that hard according to recent analysis.

>bridge the gap becomes

No one's figured out a solution to tribalism. Much of the "blame CCP but not Chinese people '' narrative out there does not feel genuine, doubting western criticisms is not misplaced. Which overlooks the point that the propaganda environment with competing antithetical claims is designed to fracture. The more absurd narrative west feeds their populus, which diaspora sees through, the more the gap continues to widen.

>should not speak for natives in this regard

...

>VPN's are becoming more and more unreliable

Why not? I follow developments in PRC cyber policy and deal with it myself back and forth. I didn't claim it was safe to conduct anti-state activities, even nationalists get punished for using VPN occasionally. Overall it's fine, like torrenting. Sometimes copyright letters get sent out to unsuspecting victims, but most people slide by. VPN more unreliable, especially leading up to CCP centennial, but seems like there's more Chinese nationalists trolling abroad than ever, and since current analysis suggest CCP coordinated disinfo is not large, it's fair to presume whatever VPN and cyber policies changes, it hasn't substantially impeded PRC ability to interact with abroad.

To circle back on topic, the condition is such that lots of genuine PRC voices are making it’s way over the GFC, but not vice versa. That’s just unfortunate asymmetry between open and close internet, and it’s a problem west needs to deal with, so far strategy seems to be maligning PRC voices as inauthentic shills / 50c with the aim of discrediting pro-China or anti-west opinions. Narrative has been manufactured to the point where PRC discussions in many spaces online are saturated with useful idiots calling for bans of pro-China opinions because it must be state funded 50c activity. Like why even highlight the two anti-BBC replies above, lots of people, especially diaspora from the global south, do not trust the FVEY media machine, it's staple compaint in variety of reporting on IR news.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#152
post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

More than any other tech company, negative things about Apple will get you quickly down voted into oblivion. Hard to know if its just rabid fanboys, or PR firms. Unfortunately, HN isn't interested in naming and shaming companies caught astroturfing and they don't like us to speculate. Its too bad because I would consider that information a huge kindness to humanity.

This is cognitive bias. People who feel the opposite way about $BigCo see exactly the opposite pattern, and post isomorphic complaints to yours.

I’ll respect your “opinions” as a worker, but seriously dang. One year from now on you will be banning the very people i am complaining about now. My apologies, and have a good one.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#153
post #136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is cognitive bias. People who feel the opposite way about $BigCo see exactly the opposite pattern, and post isomorphic complaints to yours.

I’ll respect your “opinions” as a worker, but seriously dang. One year from now on you will be banning the very people i am complaining about now. My apologies, and have a good one.

If you're a year ahead, let's see some links. Maybe we can all save time.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#154

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'll leave the issue of the comparisons you're drawing, though I'll note that you've drawn them yet again. > I'm sorry is that your opinion? It's the result of a peer-reviewed study conducted by the Gamelaya Institute and published in the prestigious journal The Lancet.[1] > And Russia, like China, have done all they can to obscure standardized third-party testing of their vaccines (because they are worried that less…

The sole study you quote: > Funding - Moscow City Health Department, Russian Direct Investment Fund, and Sberbank. I seriously can't tell if you are trolling at this point. > The phase-III trials weren't even conducted in China. You are confusing the Russia Trial with the Chinese one. I'm sure both have studies that were paid for by the state, analyzing data GIVEN TO THEM by the state. Both the Chinese and Russian va…

> I'm sure both have studies that were paid for by the state, analyzing data GIVEN TO THEM by the state.

How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III trials were conducted outside of China, by institutions that are unrelated to the Chinese government? It's not even possible to conduct a phase-III SARS-CoV-2 vaccine trial in China, because there is basically zero community spread. If the virus isn't spreading naturally, the only way to conduct a trial is to do a challenge study, and that's widely considered unethical.

> Both the Chinese and Russian vaccines refuse to release raw patient data. They think this shell game with the Lancet and others will fool people...maybe they are right.

Are you accusing the various institutes around the world that conducted studies on the Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines from withholding data? What are you basing these allegations on?

> But China's internal numbers were > 90%.

I don't know what you're trying to refer to here.

This is what the Chilean Health Ministry found for the Sinovac vaccine:[1]

> In the fully immunized group, the estimated adjusted vaccine effectiveness was 65.9% (95% CI, 65.2 to 66.6) for the prevention of Covid-19 and 87.5% (95% CI, 86.7 to 88.2) for the prevention of hospitalization, 90.3% (95% CI, 89.1 to 91.4) for the prevention of ICU admission, and 86.3% (95% CI, 84.5 to 87.9) for the prevention of Covid-19–related death

A vaccine that reduces chance of hospitalization or death by a factor of 10 is a Godsend. This is the vaccine that the NY Times was attacking in the article I linked earlier.

> Keep in mind we are left to speculate about this only because we don't actually have raw data to either prove or disprove efficacy.

We do. It's right there in the Chilean study, in addition to several other peer-reviewed studies published in prestigious medical journals. I don't know what more you want. Do you want to know the names of the patients who enrolled in the studies?

> So all the people in SE Asia, the Middle East, South America, etc. that are tracking down western shots as boosters, they are all misguided?

By "Western shots," you mean two specific vaccines using mRNA technology, which everyone acknowledges have the highest efficacy. You're not referring to the other widely used "Western vaccines," developed by AstraZeneca and J&J, which have similar efficacy to the Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines. Yes, most people in the world, if they had a choice, would pick whichever vaccine had the highest efficacy. That's not the world we live in, unfortunately. The mRNA vaccines are currently almost impossible to obtain outside of the developed world. Sinovac and Sinopharm have already exported hundreds of millions of doses around the world.

> What we do have is example after example of countries that either have Chinese vaccine and don't use it, or are tracking down alternatives after getting destroyed by variants only 6 months later.

The US is battling a horrifying surge in cases and deaths. I don't expect to see a NY Times article titled, "They Relied on American Vaccines. Now They're Battling Outbreaks." Imagine an article with that title, which led with a bunch of anecdotes about breakthrough infections and deaths, and which only mentioned near the end that actual scientific studies show that the vaccines are highly effective. I think whatever editor approved such an article about the US would get fired within short order for pushing anti-vax propaganda.

> Your name is Greek, China invests a lot in Greece. Are you employed either directly or indirectly by the Chinese government?

I live in a barrel in the Athenian marketplace.

1. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2107715

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#155

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The sole study you quote: > Funding - Moscow City Health Department, Russian Direct Investment Fund, and Sberbank. I seriously can't tell if you are trolling at this point. > The phase-III trials weren't even conducted in China. You are confusing the Russia Trial with the Chinese one. I'm sure both have studies that were paid for by the state, analyzing data GIVEN TO THEM by the state. Both the Chinese and Russian va…

> I'm sure both have studies that were paid for by the state, analyzing data GIVEN TO THEM by the state. How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III trials were conducted outside of China, by institutions that are unrelated to the Chinese government? It's not even possible to conduct a phase-III SARS-CoV-2 vaccine trial in China, because there is basically zero community spread. If the…

> How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III

You keep interchanging the Russian and Chinese trials, perhaps on purpose. The only study you quoted was a Russian government funded study, with incomplete data and heavily criticized conditions.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccin...

> Are you accusing the various institutes

You aren't following. Without raw patient data, you can only study:

1. The data given to you by a government 2. The affects of the vaccine in real life trails, which has so many variables that it cannot alone tell you anything concrete about vaccine effectiveness.

The ONLY set of data that matter is the initial patient data the developers of a vaccine measured. Western vaccines released this data openly, Russian and China refused. And it's obvious why.

> A vaccine that reduces chance of hospitalization or death

50-60% is better than nothing, which is a separate argument that I agree with. Getting Chinese and Russian vaccine to the third world now is better than western vaccines a year from now. But that's not what is being discussed here.

> We do. It's right there in the Chilean study

Again, measuring a vaccine's effectiveness by giving it out and measuring outcome has so many variables it's almost useless. The only standard that would apply is a study controlling for variables, done by its manufacturers. Which, for the millionth time, authoritarian countries won't share.

https://www.statnews.com/2021/05/26/data-needed-know-if-sput...

> That's not the world we live in, unfortunately.

"Of course western vaccines have higher efficacy". There's moving the goalposts, then there's whatever you just did there. Weird for you to argue for 3-4 posts that Chinese vaccines are just as effective then just flat out say they aren't.

> The US is battling a horrifying surge in cases and deaths. I don't expect to see a NY Times article titled, "They Relied on American Vaccines. Now They're Battling Outbreaks."

This is officially a bad faith interaction. You don't seem like an idiot. You surely must know that the surge in the US is due to UNVACCINATED individuals, which has absolutely fuck all to do with the discussion we are having about vaccines. Yet you bring it up with the smugness of having uncovered some Trump card.

We're done here.

> You still haven't answered my question

So why do you spend you days defending authoritarian governments on western news sites? I think I guessed correctly the first time, but i'm curious if you'll come clean.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I'm sure both have studies that were paid for by the state, analyzing data GIVEN TO THEM by the state. How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III trials were conducted outside of China, by institutions that are unrelated to the Chinese government? It's not even possible to conduct a phase-III SARS-CoV-2 vaccine trial in China, because there is basically zero community spread. If the…

> How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III You keep interchanging the Russian and Chinese trials, perhaps on purpose. The only study you quoted was a Russian government funded study, with incomplete data and heavily criticized conditions. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccin... > Are you accusing the various institutes You aren't following. Without raw patien…

> You aren't following. Without raw patient data, you can only study: 1. The data given to you by a government

Again, the phase-III trials for the Chinese vaccines were not done by the Chinese government. They were done in other countries, by various institutes. In Brazil, for example, the Sinovac study was conducted by the Butantan Institute, which has a very good reputation. Are you accusing the Butantan Institute of hiding data?

> Again, measuring a vaccine's effectiveness by giving it out and measuring outcome has so many variables it's almost useless.

Many countries carefully monitor real-world effectiveness of vaccines. This is incredibly informative data, and in the case of the Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines, real-world data is matching the clinical study data.

> The only standard that would apply is a study controlling for variables, done by its manufacturers. Which, for the millionth time, authoritarian countries won't share.

China has no control over the phase-III data for Chinese vaccines developers. The studies were all done internationally. And once the vaccine is out there and is being widely administered, national health agencies can do their own studies, completely beyond China's control.

> You surely must know that the surge in the US is due to UNVACCINATED individuals, which has absolutely fuck all to do with the discussion we are having about vaccines.

In Chile and Mongolia, the epidemics were also heavily concentrated among the unvaccinated population. We know that because of the solid follow-up work that those countries' health agencies have done on the vaccines.

When it comes to US vaccines, you get it. All I have to do is change "Chinese" to "American," and you instantly recognize how outrageous the NY Times' headline is. The NY Times should not be using anecdotes about breakthrough infections to sow doubts about vaccines, regardless of whether the vaccines were developed in the US or China.

I'm not okay with anti-vax propaganda, regardless of which countries' vaccines it targets. It's upsetting that the NY Times will publish anti-vax propaganda for nationalistic reasons. That should upset you too.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#157

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> How many times do I have to repeat that the Sinovac and Sinopharm phase-III You keep interchanging the Russian and Chinese trials, perhaps on purpose. The only study you quoted was a Russian government funded study, with incomplete data and heavily criticized conditions. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-vaccin... > Are you accusing the various institutes You aren't following. Without raw patien…

> You aren't following. Without raw patient data, you can only study: 1. The data given to you by a government Again, the phase-III trials for the Chinese vaccines were not done by the Chinese government. They were done in other countries, by various institutes. In Brazil, for example, the Sinovac study was conducted by the Butantan Institute, which has a very good reputation. Are you accusing the Butantan Institute…

> Again, the phase-III trials

The only citation you ever provided was to a Russia study, paid for by the Russia government.

> Many countries carefully monitor real-world effectiveness of vaccines. This is incredibly informative data

Yes they do, it's a very helpful supplement to clinical data. What it isn't meant to do is stand by itself, and in the case of Russian and Chinese vaccines third parties are left to scramble to determine efficacy because, again, raw patient data isn't released and gov-run studies are not to be trusted, ever.

You managed to not respond to a single thing I said and not give anything of substance in response. I'm not going to spend any more time trying to figure out why you are arguing against open and transparent vaccine development and in favor of dictatorships hiding/obscuring and lying about their products.

My guess is you sold your soul for a job and now you have to convince others (and yourself) that it was worth it, that the authoritarians really aren't that bad. Maybe this is all ideological and you never got over your Uni communist phase. Maybe you married in, idk.

In any case, good luck with that.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#158
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is there any evidence for the scale of such operations being conducted domestically?

> Is there any evidence A core part of any domestic intelligence service is having the means to discredit and publically ridicule anyone who has or claims to have such evidence. Asking for it in this context is noble, but should be viewed as fundamentally futile. Either you will not have it, or the people providing it will most likely be crackpots to your perception.

In this case the GCHQ isn't a domestic intelligence agency. In addition there usually is some slight evidence available for claims like these which would help support its existence. For example before the Snowden disclosures there were several other disclosures that demonstrated that mass surveillance was ongoing, for example with ECHELON and Room 641A.

Re: How a fake network pushes pro-China propaganda

#159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> You aren't following. Without raw patient data, you can only study: 1. The data given to you by a government Again, the phase-III trials for the Chinese vaccines were not done by the Chinese government. They were done in other countries, by various institutes. In Brazil, for example, the Sinovac study was conducted by the Butantan Institute, which has a very good reputation. Are you accusing the Butantan Institute…

> Again, the phase-III trials The only citation you ever provided was to a Russia study, paid for by the Russia government. > Many countries carefully monitor real-world effectiveness of vaccines. This is incredibly informative data Yes they do, it's a very helpful supplement to clinical data. What it isn't meant to do is stand by itself, and in the case of Russian and Chinese vaccines third parties are left to scram…

> The only citation you ever provided was to a Russia study, paid for by the Russia government.

I also linked to phase-III studies carried out for Sinovac and Sinopharm (both conducted by institutions outside China), as well as a real-world study on the effectiveness of the Sinovac vaccine carried out by the Chilean Health Ministry.

> What it isn't meant to do is stand by itself, and in the case of Russian and Chinese vaccines third parties are left to scramble to determine efficacy because, again, raw patient data isn't released and gov-run studies are not to be trusted, ever.

I'm really puzzled. I've pointed out over and over again that the phase-III trials of the various Chinese vaccines were carried out outside of China, by institutions that have nothing to do with the Chinese government. Yet you keep saying that the Chinese government ran these studies and refuses to release the data. Am I not writing English?

> I'm not going to spend any more time trying to figure out why you are arguing against open and transparent vaccine development and in favor of dictatorships hiding/obscuring and lying about their products.

I'm pointing out that you don't understand how the trials were conducted. I haven't argued against transparent vaccine development. I've tried to explain to you that your belief that the vaccines we're discussing were not transparently developed is provably wrong. Just open up the papers I've linked and take note of which institutes carried out the Sinovac and Sinopharm studies, and where those institutes are located. That's already enough to show that your claims that the Chinese government won't release trial data make no sense.

Post reply on HN