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The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

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Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for sharing. I think we're seeing a lot of the same thing occurring in these comments. :( You'd probably be interested in my main comment too[0]. The signal has always been a terrible candidate for alien communication. Classic conspiracy problem where people become fixated on one aspect while ignoring all others. Like Carl Sagan said "extraordinary claims require extraordinary science". It's sad but I think a…

Your take on complexity as a filter reminded me of a fascinating paper I read. You might find it interesting because it claims that evolution does tend to favor simplicity, except when under a certain kind of pressure. The paper is titled "Nothing in evolution makes sense except in the light of parasitism: evolution of complex replication strategies" and you can find it at https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.10…

Thanks, I wasn't aware of that paper. It definitely is interesting!

But I'd be careful generalizing too much from it. I'm not saying my proposal is correct but rather just recognizing issues with the paper. The reason for my proposal is that 1) here we are as complex entities. We humans exist. 2) One of, if not the, things in physics we are most confident about is that everything will be in its lowest possible energy state. It's true for the electrons that emit light while doing so just as much as it is true that creatures need to eat more to do more.

Notice something subtle but important in the paper. Their focus of efficiency is based on string length and reaction time. They note that string length decreases. Think about this a bit. For these strings to reduce it must mean that there was redundancy or excess in them. If mutations are random then modifying some of the characters in those strings will have no effect. We should also similarly look at parasites and see that these are a lower entropy state, in that they are able to leverage the information from the other "microbes" to perpetuate their own reproduction. They can't dominate because they can't live without the hosts but also at the same time this means they can't mutate as much and survive. There is a self selection bias to the results that isn't being properly accounted for. A survival bias that needs to be accounted for.

Now let's contrast to our more complex forms of life that my proposal is being based on. These lifeforms have lots of repetition in their genetic sequences. This is actually an important fact that the foundation of things like CRISPR are based on: clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats. Even the acronym is a bit repetitive (which makes it great!). This is a defense mechanism made so that we're robust to mutations. My proposal is dependent on some complex life already existing. I don't know how to explain how life got to this complex level (something these researchers are working on), just that we are here, that I myself exist. I hope this is not a contentious axiom :)

They're tackling a really interesting problem and in no way am I trying to diminish their work. The best way to solve complex problems is to first solve overly simplified variants of them. Even if those result in completely inaccurate results the process is highly beneficial to tackling the more complex variants. Due to this we need to take results being mindful of the context. A post on the Relativity of Wrong hit the front page this morning[0] and it links to a page I've had bookmarked for over a decade. It captures what science is really about: being less wrong. Despite my disdain for that site (because it often runs contrary to the meaning of those words), the sentiment is right. Jun8's comment in [0] hits on this. It's not about being right, because "right" does not exist in an absolute sense. There is always more specificity that can make something more right. So instead, it is about decreasing our error. Just because you can't reach an idealized thing doesn't mean you can't get closer to it.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45025600

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#142

Earlier quoted context omitted.

HN armchair astronomer question time. What's your favorite answer to the Fermi Paradox? Any crazy far-fetched sci-fi / pseudo-scientific ideas? I'm not really a fan of "Dark Forest". I prefer these: - We're truly rare, maybe even first. Intelligence is extremely hard. LUCA is old, civilization happened yesterday. - Fragile universe. It's easy to destroy universes by accidentally setting off vacuum collapse. This woul…

> What's your favorite answer to the Fermi Paradox? Space big + speed of light is too slow. Sprinkle in a little "suns are fucking loud as shit" but the first two are more than enough to explain all of it. Not to mention the million other factors that make transmitting a viable signal across interstellar distances an incredibly challenging problem.

Radio signals are bunk. The transit method is where it's at.

While the transit method won't find all planets, it'll certainly find a lot of them. And with spectroscopic imaging, we'll be able to read the atmospheric spectra of these planets and have pretty good guesses for what's happening on them.

Do you think we'll find organics? Biosignatures? Technosignatures?

The survey should give us a good feel for what's out there. And as we gather data, we'll have a clearer picture of the rarity of life, intelligent or otherwise.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for sharing. I think we're seeing a lot of the same thing occurring in these comments. :( You'd probably be interested in my main comment too[0]. The signal has always been a terrible candidate for alien communication. Classic conspiracy problem where people become fixated on one aspect while ignoring all others. Like Carl Sagan said "extraordinary claims require extraordinary science". It's sad but I think a…

I would put forward that we can do many things collectively but not individually because we are part of a collective organism much more than we are individuals, though we are unable to see it due to a human having a limited perspective of only a part of a whole. It is a common tendency to see humanity as a set of standalone humans[0] (if we cannot do something individually, but we can collectively, then we sort of ca…

I don't think you're wrong, I think it is just semantics. I mean as long as you're agreeing we're not like the Borg or some other hive mind collective haha. But yeah, the old saying has stayed true: it takes a village to raise a child.

Just that I think there's a lot of utility in using the terminology of "individual" to talk about each human. It's true, we're dependent on one another for our survival and reproduction. But the "independence" is not a description of our capacity of survival but in that our consciousness is independent.

We have terms like community (and a ton which make implicit approximations about the size) to describe what you're talking about.

I think maybe that part of the problem is, as you point out, there's often a misunderstanding in ants themselves. It is easy to see the emergent behavior of them operating as a group. As if there's some collective mind. But you're absolutely right you could say the same about humans. We know a lot more about ants than we did centuries ago and do know they do operate independently. While it is much more like a monarchy structure, each ant operates, in some form, as a self contained unit. It can exist outside a colony. It's not likely to survive long, but this distinction is worth assigning some word to, right? Clearly there's a distinction from were I to claim that the ant's body were independent from its head. We'd claim that false because the separation causes an immediate (or rather an exceptionally quick) death.

Maybe that is semantics, but I think those semantics are helpful to us communicating and we would be the worse were we to call these things the same.

  > I’d argue an individual human being able to understand enough to navigate major problems of their world can’t be expected to exist and was probably never the case.
Fwiw, I actually believe this too. I stated it the way I did because I think most people underestimate complexity (there's definitely advantages to that trait lol). But to refine my position more, I'd say that the current complexity of the world and what is required to solve its problems vastly exceeds that of millennia ago. I'd agree, the world has always been too complex for one man to understand, but certainly the scale of things has changed. In the past the forces pushing on a person or even community were primarily local. There were still global phenomena but if you go to 10000 BC a person's actions on the Eurasian continent had no meaningful effect on a person living in the Americas. Maybe Genghis Khan killed so many he that there was a small change in global temperature, but even then the main reason was that even just 1k years ago there were so few people that their combined efforts itself had little effect on the global temperature haha. Today, these things aren't true. One ship gets stuck in one canal and the whole system is put into chaos. There's lots of advantages to this global interaction but that's for the same reason these issues exist. With an over simplification that I think can be helpful to extrapolate from, just treat every person on the planet as a node and their relationship to others as an edge. Nor only do we have more nodes, but the average node also has more connections.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#144
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> truth has a lower bound in complexity while lies don't Very well said

I don't think that word salad really means anything. People fall for complex lies all the time. We just experienced it with 'public health experts' who had never done a single cost vs. benefit analysis in the real world nearly destroy civilization because they were enjoying the power trip. And they lied their asses off to us and many of you on HN still believe it because it's a huge blind spot for your intellects. I…

> People fall for complex lies all the time.

Of course. My comment was nothing about what people choose to believe.

> I don't think any truth is fundamental at all

Neither did I mean that.

> You all seem to want "settled science" but science is never settled, nor is truth.

I don't think there was any intent of this in my comment or in the comment I replied to.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#145

Simple programmer here. I have a dumb question. What about the "Wow!" signal is special, or unique? What makes someone see it and think "wow"? Is there some kind of information encoded in the signal?

It had a high intensity:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wow!_signal#Intensity

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#146
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> truth has a lower bound in complexity while lies don't Very well said

I don't think that word salad really means anything. People fall for complex lies all the time. We just experienced it with 'public health experts' who had never done a single cost vs. benefit analysis in the real world nearly destroy civilization because they were enjoying the power trip. And they lied their asses off to us and many of you on HN still believe it because it's a huge blind spot for your intellects. I…

  >  People fall for complex lies all the time.
This is not in contention with what I said.

The existence of a believable but complex lie does not disprove the existence of a believable yet simple lie.

Nor have I made the claim that because something is complex that it must be true.

Maybe it would help if I wrote like this

  min(complexity | truth) > x
  min(complexity | lie)   = 0
I've said nothing about max complexity, only that some lower bound of complexity must exist when something is true.

And again, this statement does not imply that the complexity of something can indicate if it is truthful or not.

We could also write it this way if you want: min(complexity | truth) > min(complexity | lie)

  > I don't think any truth is fundamental at all
You and I are actually in agreement. But to be clear, while I do not think anyone can make a claim (in a finite amount of time) that is perfectly correct, I am quite certain that there are things that are more correct than others. Science can always improve, and my previous comment stated as much. It would be wrong to say "the Earth is flat" but certainly it would be more wrong to say "the Earth is the sound a Gorilla makes while eating the color purple." And there's definitely statements even more wrong than that. At least that one was intelligible, even if incoherent.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#147
post #97

My money is still on the janitor plugging a faulty vaccum cleaner in the wrong electrical socket!

There is a theory that if we could find the same janitor and get them to plug the same broken vacuum cleaner to the same socket in exactly the same way, mankind's energy problem will be forever solved, one way or the other. There is another theory that this has already happened.

Vacuum cleaners are an illusion. Broken vacuum cleaners, doubly so.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Advanced aliens (and we 'almost') will have robots for that. And they would also have less resource issues than us, so, they would have trillions of them.

I remain unconvinced of the viability of robots, as much as I love scifi renditions.

Have you seen a modern car manufacturing plant? Many parts of the production pipeline are fully automated. Granted, most of these machines are not ambulatory but they're still considered robots. Or consider modern freight shipping: many ports rely on intelligent automation for container handling. The development path of 3d printing is also leaning more heavily into robotics, featuring freely-moving articulated arms controlled by cameras and sensors.

I'd say robots are entirely viable, and we don't need science fiction to validate them.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> What's your favorite answer to the Fermi Paradox? Space big + speed of light is too slow. Sprinkle in a little "suns are fucking loud as shit" but the first two are more than enough to explain all of it. Not to mention the million other factors that make transmitting a viable signal across interstellar distances an incredibly challenging problem.

Radio signals are bunk. The transit method is where it's at. While the transit method won't find all planets, it'll certainly find a lot of them. And with spectroscopic imaging, we'll be able to read the atmospheric spectra of these planets and have pretty good guesses for what's happening on them. Do you think we'll find organics? Biosignatures? Technosignatures? The survey should give us a good feel for what's out…

Sure, but that's a completely different conversation. We're talking about life, not habitable planets. Detection of planets is a step in the right direction but only because it helps us narrow candidates. We were already certain those planets existed without confirmation.

The Fermi Paradox is about the difficulty of confirming life while there's such strong evidence that life should exist elsewhere. These signatures only strengthens the "paradoxical" nature of the Fermi Paradox.

Also, mind you, many of those signatures come through radioastronomy.

Re: The “Wow!” signal was likely from extraterrestrial source, and more powerful

#150

Simple programmer here. I have a dumb question. What about the "Wow!" signal is special, or unique? What makes someone see it and think "wow"? Is there some kind of information encoded in the signal?

There is no information in it, it looks like a continuous wave of radio energy coming from space. It is on a frequency that might be a natural one for any intelligent civilization to consider broadcasting on, and it is a narrowband signal, meaning it only covers a small range of frequencies.
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