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The Great A.I. Awakening

nytimes.com

141–147 of 147 posts

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#141
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>By the time AGI is developed, it would be able to improve itself/build improvements, I see no reason that's necessarily true. I'm a general intelligence, and I can't make myself smarter.

Singularity-style outcomes do seem unlikely, in the same way a lot of exponential threats stop being scary if they turned out to be logistic curves. That said, a key counter to the idea is that humans possesses very limited real control over how they are manufactured. Even if you had a solid idea how to make yourself smarter, it seems likely you wouldn't have the tools and potential to implement that idea in practice…

> The intelligence can act on itself more readily

I have a feeling that the closer such systems come to general intelligence, the harder it is going to be to prevent them from putting themselves into a positive feedback loop and "blissing out".

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#142
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>By the time AGI is developed, it would be able to improve itself/build improvements, I see no reason that's necessarily true. I'm a general intelligence, and I can't make myself smarter.

Even if we discarded ethics about eugenics and human genome manipulation the iteration cycles for wetware are still a lot longer than they are for silicon.

> The intelligence can act on itself more readily

Given the ever greater resources needed to build a new fab, the gap seems to be narrowing.

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#143
post #37

Honest question - have you read this entire article ? ... I'm sure it's written by a smart and talented journalist - but it's just too long. I cannot possibly allocate so much of my time to read a single news article! I know it's kind of my problem, but I'm sure lots of others are just like me - it's just the nature of our tech-provoked ADD. I skimmed through it all right, but I didn't get too much out of that. If I…

I read the whole article, but I didn't read it all at once. It was interesting enough that after I'd read the first half, I kept thinking about it, and made sure I finished it the next day.

Same here. Actually read it twice, with the pauses in different spots.

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#144

The author gets it close to right when he talks about Google Maps as a form of AI, and the notion of raising the bar. What's missing in this article as well as most reporting on AI is the differentiation between artificial intelligence and artificial consciousness, otherwise known as individuality or self awareness. To me there's a whole smoke and mirrors phenomenon going on in the AI topic, especially the idea of "e…

You've shifted the goalposts and erected strawmen so many times in this brief passage, I hardly know where to start...

> No matter how many Turing Test they pass, intelligent machines will be no more conscious or self-aware than the Mechanical Turk!

I see. Well, this is just a rephrasing of the "Chinese Room" discussed in the article. Taken to it's logical conclusion, I am certainly self aware, but the rest of you are all just acting out complex behaviors encoded in chemical and electrical gradients, successfully mimicking consciousness.

I think that if any entity exhibits the behaviors associated with conscious thought, it would well behoove us to treat such entities as conscious, or we may very well find ourselves holding the short end of that particular stick sooner than we'd like.

> That's because solving the problem of self-awareness, or consciousness is a different engineering challenge than solving problems of AI. Consciousness is a more complicated, and specialized a thing.

Since there is no doubt that ML/AI has a long way to go toward AGI, and along the way we can expect the discipline to evolve considerably in many unexpected directions, this assertion of yours is close to tautological.

> Were we to build an artificial self-awarene machine we would not expect it to pass a Turing Test.

Why not?

> Instead we might expect different things of it and ask different questions to determine if it is self aware: can it adapt and survive without human help,

So, anyone severely ill to the point that they cannot do without assistance is not conscious and self aware?

> ie can it trap and store energy and reproduce itself,

So, a single-celled organism is conscious?

> and what purpose does it find for itself is what objective does it pursue ...

Ah, this seems a relevant criteria, but keep in mind that humans can be subjected to operant conditioning ("brainwashing") to impose external goals, not to mention that humans actually require a couple of decades of such conditioning (albeit rather more gradual and haphazard) before being considered competent members of society, but we don't consider humans to be less conscious or less self-aware on either side of that particular divide.

> it's a different engineering challenge than producing information that is organized to be sensible to human mind, which is the AI challenge, and the Turing Test.

Given that people have to be specially educated to produce information that is organized to be sensible to a computer, I don't see why an AGI, whatever it's capabilities "out of the box", so to speak, shouldn't be expected to be capable of learning to be sensible to humans.

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Smarter" has no nessisary or consequent intersection with "Shares human values" or even "Values human existence" https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Paperclip_maximizer One of the reasons AGI will be so dangerous is the near certainty it will have utterly alien values and intentions. It seems exceedingly unlikely that we will be able to program in what consitutes "human values". We can't even begin to remotely agree and…

> pretty much every story he wrote was about how the laws could be subverted via "loopholing" of sufficently intelligent AI. The most chilling of these is the "Robot Dreams" short story.

I still think the AGI will have more to fear from people than people from it. We're together on this little boat called earth, 7 billion of us with access to weapons and many of us utterly crazy and willing to do stupid things for stupid reasons (see religion). We don't need AGI to blow ourselves up, plenty capable of that using our wetware neural nets. Imagine being locked in a prison cell with so many dangerous HGIs (Human GI's). I think the first thing for AGI would be to make sure we can't kill ourselves and it at the same time, by teaching us to become less stupid.

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#146

The author gets it close to right when he talks about Google Maps as a form of AI, and the notion of raising the bar. What's missing in this article as well as most reporting on AI is the differentiation between artificial intelligence and artificial consciousness, otherwise known as individuality or self awareness. To me there's a whole smoke and mirrors phenomenon going on in the AI topic, especially the idea of "e…

You've shifted the goalposts and erected strawmen so many times in this brief passage, I hardly know where to start... > No matter how many Turing Test they pass, intelligent machines will be no more conscious or self-aware than the Mechanical Turk! I see. Well, this is just a rephrasing of the "Chinese Room" discussed in the article. Taken to it's logical conclusion, I am certainly self aware, but the rest of you ar…

I am not sure we are going to be able to understand each other. I find your thoughts to be completely missing a foundation that I'm thinking would be necessary to understand what I'm saying. I don't mean to be rude ...

Yes of course a single celled organisim is conscious.

Exactly the way an amoeba is self aware is how an self-conscious intelligence system would need to be to pose any kind of threat: organized to find energy sources and metabolize, replicate, etc.

I'll tell you: a single celled organism is way more self aware, and way more functionally complex than any computer or software - in fact it's orders of magnitude more complex of a machine.

That's my point: solving problems that make a machine capable of producing intelligence that is sensible to you and I is not solving the and problems that make a machine like a single cell organism, which is to say vertically integrated from the atom upwards to be a self-sustaining, self propagating, energy trap.

A self-aware human who is disabled and can't live without intervention of other humans, can't self-sustain without others and therefore will not pass the test of being able to self-sustain. It's a test, and so one failure isn't validation of hypothesis. It can still be a great test affairs fail a percentage of the time.

In general we know that all self conscious organisms self-sustain, even social, super-organism ones that need each other to survive so a criteria for a self aware organism is that it be capable of self sustaining. We don't even have a good test for that yet. But a test that would fail a perfectly self-aware disabled human wouldn't be a good one.

We could very well administer a Turing Test to an artificial consciousness, but my point is that it wouldn't be a very accurate test. A Turing Test only proves the accuracy of a facsimile of human intelligence. It proves nothing about self consciousness systems. An amoeba would fail it in an instant as would a parrot or dolphin - and if you tell me these organisms aren't self-aware and conscious then we are definitely not on the same page.

I could be wrong. I'm absolutely interested in anyone who can make a convincing argument otherwise, however until then I'm pretty certain that no emerging conscious machine will happen by accident. Rather it would take a Manhattan project or greater to produce an artificial consciousness on par for sophistication with an amoeba. And we don't have much motive to attempt it either, so I'm doubting we will do it anytime soon.

Re: The Great A.I. Awakening

#147
That round-trip translation the article starts with is way way better than anything I've ever obtained from Google Translate.

Let's use it to translate what I just wrote, into Spanish:

"Ese viaje de ida y vuelta el artículo comienza con es mucho mejor que cualquier cosa que he obtenido de Google Translate."

That's readable but the "el articulo comienza con" is bush league — a clear sign Google is translating word for word. No one would ever mistake this translation for real Spanish.

If we translate back to English, the result is better than the Spanish!

"That trip back and forth the article starts with is much better than anything I've gotten from Google Translate."

So, amusingly, a weakness on one-way translation — the word-for-word method — becomes a strength on round trip translations. (Not that round trip translations are going to be useful to anyone.)

I did Spanish so that a lot of people here would understand. But now let's do Hebrew. I get

תרגום הלוך ושוב כי המאמר מתחיל עם הדרך דרך טוב יותר מכל דבר שאי פעם שיתקבל מ- Google Translate.

That's beyond merely bad, it's pretty unintelligible as Hebrew. (In fact the only way a Hebrew speaker would make any sense of it is if he knew English and tried translating word for word back to English.)

And indeed, once again the round trip translation is better, though the original meaning is pretty much lost:

"Translating back and forth that article begins with a way better way than anything I've ever received from Google Translate."

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