How far are we from reliable AI? One that could, for example, handle 80% of office jobs without screwing up more than humans?
Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
131–140 of 524 posts
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#132Earlier quoted context omitted.
Someone should document these cringe comments for posterity. As a warning to future generations. It's too bad the previous singularity cult manias 10 and 15 years ago weren't documented and are lost in time.
Ten years ago, most of the skeptics in these threads would have said the success of AlphaFold 3 was impossible.
It doesn't mean everything you can think of is possible.
People who say every jobs will be automated never held any tool more advanced than a screwdriver and never worked a single day outside of an air conditioned office.
They were predicting flying cars for "the year 2000"...
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#133Humanity doesn't fully leverage the intelligence it already has, so I think people are overestimating the disruption ahead.
> The intelligence it already has
Makes me think of a Stephen Jay Gould quote:
> "I am, somehow, less interested in the weight and convolutions of Einstein’s brain than in the near certainty that people of equal talent have lived and died in cotton fields and sweatshops."
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#134Earlier quoted context omitted.
Someone should document these cringe comments for posterity. As a warning to future generations. It's too bad the previous singularity cult manias 10 and 15 years ago weren't documented and are lost in time.
Ten years ago, most of the skeptics in these threads would have said the success of AlphaFold 3 was impossible.
Ten years ago, most people would have said cold fusion was impossible... and still is.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#135Earlier quoted context omitted.
Again, do you have an example of a prediction that was drastically wrong? I don't think it's productive to speculate about which things might or might not come true in the next 18 months. There were people last year making fun of Dario for predicting that writing code would be automated in the next year.
From the 2nd link I posted: > Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, who once claimed AI could eliminate 50% of white-collar jobs, now says automation may actually expand the work people do. Is pivoting from 50% elimination to actually expanding work not a drastic enough? Do you think AI has eliminated writing code? I still write code every day. The AI is more a thing I ask questions and it gives me right answers about 40% of t…
YOU still write code. I would say over 65-70% of modern programmers no longer write code. The paradigm shift happened within the last 365 days.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#136We don't need to live "side by side" with AI. AI is not alive, it's a technology we use. This is like talking about living side by side with your toaster.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#137Honestly, this article has too many words which don't mean anything. 'AI Experts', 'superintelligence', and hand-waving doom scenarios. As an example- > Within a couple of years, possibly much sooner, AI may achieve so-called closed-loop recursive self-improvement (RSI): the capacity to rewrite its own code to become more capable, without human intervention. Should that happen, the result could be an intelligence exp…
There’s a meme in finance circles that by the time some trend appears on the economist front cover it’s a top signal and time to get out of the trade and this is why.
It’s a very normie magazine written by and for normies, and by the time an idea has got that far down the easy money has already been made
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#138How far are we from reliable AI? One that could, for example, handle 80% of office jobs without screwing up more than humans?
There is no reliable data on how many of these jobs shouldn't exist at all, even without AI
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#139We don't need to live "side by side" with AI. AI is not alive, it's a technology we use. This is like talking about living side by side with your toaster.
But I do live with it. It lives in my kitchen.
Re: Humanity isn't ready for the coming intelligence explosion
#140We don't need to live "side by side" with AI. AI is not alive, it's a technology we use. This is like talking about living side by side with your toaster.
> This is like talking about living side by side with your toaster.
It is not.