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Japan's cherry blossom: as indisputable as climate change evidence gets

greenash.net.au

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Re: Japan's cherry blossom: as indisputable as climate change evidence gets

#131
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It disappoints me to see this kind of article so uncritically received here. This is on par with, say, a "scientific" article claiming that the lack of a changing trend in the date of the Canadian wheat crop harvest is indisputable evidence that climate change does not exist. As well as the possible influences you list there are many more - changes in local water or air chemical content, changes in cultivation techni…

It's easier to see nuance in an area you're an expert in.

In this case though it's not nuance but blatant gaps and bad logic. In this case it is because it's easy to shut down your rational thinking when confronted with something that seems to affirm your beliefs.

An equivalent article that used the flowering date of a different plant to as "indisputable evidence" for the non-existence of global warming would have been rightly torn to shreds on here.

Re: Japan's cherry blossom: as indisputable as climate change evidence gets

#132
post #4

It's a great article. The real problem with evidence like this is that the "believer" must strive for 100% accuracy; that is really hard. The "skeptic" only needs to have one single piece of data turn out to be inaccurate, and then can doubt the entire thing; that is really easy. And, we can hold both things in our heads. I just went to the Newport Aquarium in Oregon. There is a terrific exhibit which shows a paleobo…

Those fossilized palm fronds don't represent the climate of Alaska in its present latitude. Alaska was positioned in the tropics 250 million years ago when the dinosaurs were still wandering about. Alaska started heading North 160 million years ago.

Source:

- https://www.gi.alaska.edu/alaska-science-forum/equatorial-al...

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